Tennessee, despite a pretty bad talent deficit, will win 7-8 games in the regular season this year. Can't see any scenario under which they win more than 9 or fewer than 6.
In the offseason, the staff, primarily Orgeron and Wilson, will mine their junior college connections to find immediate help for both lines. Tennessee will sign two quality QB recruits, one of whom will eventually take the starting job from NS, either in fall camp or early in the season.
The schedule in '10 will give Kiffin a shot at his first real signature win, with Florida and Alabama both in Knoxville. He'll pick at least one of them off. The Vols are still a bit callow, so I'll call it 9 wins in the regular season.
Another top 10 recruiting class in the offseason.
The schedule in '11 will mask the fact that Tennesse is on the cusp of being a top 5 team. Call it another 9 win regular season, but anyone with half a brain sees where it is going.
Another top 10 recruiting class in the offseason.
Tennessee goes 11-1 in the regular season in '12, wins the SEC title, then we see where the chips fall as to whether or not there are two undefeated teams elsewhere in BCS leagues.
How's that for taking a position? A little more solid than "he needs to be competitive against good teams" don't you think?
Well done, hat. I knew you had it in you. So it sounds like you expect UT to go about .500 in those games, with steady improvement each year. We shall see. I won't disagree with much, except to say that marginal upsets will come in 2009 and 2010 to the Ole Misses and Carolinas and possibly Kentuckys of the league. I would predict 1-2 additional losses in each season as a result. 2011 is a mystery, at this point.