I believe UT's coaching staff is actively pursuing Wilkins as well. And I count Vonn Bell as instate also.
But besides that, your list looks right on. I believe if UT lands JRM (which I expect), I think they will also be set up well to land Gray and retain Carr's committment. I think Herron sticks with LSU, while the word is UT backed off somewhat anyway. Sanders will obviously stick with UT and I expect UT to land Bell soon after a successful season. Patrick will not have the grades, IMO. I think Wilkins will be the most interesting recruitment. I think UT has a better chance than most think, but Vanderbilt will be there if Auburn doesn't have room.
Ultimately, UT signs 5 instate prospects, IMO. Vonn Bell, Austin Sanders, Jason Carr, Jalen Reeves-Maybin, and Gray Jr.