Current Probabilities

[rjd970]

IMO...

Dooley is retained as HC at end of season
25%

Dooley gone at end of season, regardless
75%

Dooley gone at end of season, after winning out (including USC win)
75%

Dooley gone after USC win
25%

Dooley gone after USC loss
85%

Gruden named HC after USC loss
50%

Gruden named HC after USC win
10%

Gruden named HC end of season
50%

Somedbody else named HC at end of season
30%

These are the odds, as of tonight, on how I see the next 6 weeks playing out. Will change as things happen and more info comes out.

 

[AJeray4TN]

I heart scientific research.

 

[gordonr24]

I hate probability. Statistics sucks!

 

[rjd970]

lol, why I stated "IMO".

Don't ask about the second order diff eq and parametric analysis that went behind those numbers.

 

[AJeray4TN]

And your confidence interval?

 

[rjd970]

and your confidence interval?

12.75434375%

 

[AJeray4TN]

12.75434375%

That you Basilio?

 

[rjd970]

That you Basilio?

I'm sure Basilio claims the standard 95% CI.

 

[johndoevol]

IMO...

Dooley is retained as HC at end of season
25%

Dooley gone at end of season, regardless
75%

Dooley gone at end of season, after winning out (including USC win)
75%

Dooley gone after USC win
25%

Dooley gone after USC loss
95%

Gruden named HC after USC loss
50%

Gruden named HC after USC win
10%

Gruden named HC end of season
50%

Somedbody else named HC at end of season
30%

These are the odds, as of tonight, on how I see the next 6 weeks playing out. Will change as things happen and more info comes out.

more likely :hi:

 

[Panthro]

50%? Honestly??
I considered myself optimistic about Gruden, and I even think that's a high estimation.

 

[WesternKyVol]

.

 

[rjd970]

eh, some "insiders" are saying the ink is all but dry, other "insiders" are saying it is a fantasy. Corroboration on both sides with information.

I put it dead in the middle at 50% for right now.

 

[WesternKyVol]

0% Dooley
95% Gruden
5% someone else, IMO.

 

[AJeray4TN]

0% Dooley
95% Gruden
5% someone else, IMO.

95%. Lulz.

 

[DD4ME]

 

[TennFan]

If Vols go 6-6, Dooley is gone! No bowl bids will be offered to Vols at 6-6. Not sure who'll be HC but not Gruden.

 

[volnSC]

If Vols go 6-6, Dooley is gone! No bowl bids will be offered to Vols at 6-6. Not sure who'll be HC but not Gruden.

What???? Liberty Bowl will take the Vols at 6-6.

 

[AJeray4TN]

What???? Liberty Bowl will take the Vols at 6-6.

Yeah, in an effort to lure UT there to get shot.