Georgia wont beat us
1) Look at their schedule last year. Yes, they did go on a 10 straight win streak, but with wins over who? They lost their first real challenge vs. Boise, and then lost against USCe at home. Then they go on the streak with wins over Coastal Carolina, Ole Miss, Miss State, an 8 point win against an injury-ridden TN team, followed by 2 close wins against an inferior Vandy team and a Florida team nowhere near their usual caliber. Then they follow up with wins against New Mexico State, Auburn, and Kentucky (by 9). Then, as you all know, their last 2 games were losses to LSU and Mich State. Now tell me, out of these wins, which ones were quality wins and which ones show a team thats poised to stomp the SEC east. IMO, UGA showed nothing special with last years performance, especially nothing that deserves them a preseason ranking in the top 10.
2) Returning defensive starters: Yes, UGA does return a huge percentage of starters from their great defense (who returns the most starters in the SEC though? Hint: Vols). However, the one area they are weak in continues to be their defensive backs. As of right now, they only have 9 total DBs on their roster, with most of the depth being inexperienced. With the potential of Hunter, Rogers, and Patterson (assuming Hunter plays to last seasons predictions, Rogers plays just as well as last season, and Patterson plays to at least half of his potential) I think we are in a position to chew up Georgias secondary. This, in turn, will open up our running game. And Im not saying Lane will drop 150+ yards, but any respectable running game will only boost the effectiveness of our pass attack. (IMO Darick Rogers in the slot next year will be a guaranteed first down
every play). I just dont think UGA has the secondary to keep up with our offensive potential.
3) Returning offensive starters: Yep, they return Aaron Murray. Big Whoop. I say, whos he going to throw to? And whos he going to stand behind? UGA loses their 3 best offensive linemen. Even last year, with experience, this line gave up 32 sacks. Against the pressure from Lathers, Johnson, Maggit, and Mcullers, Sentimore, and Couch I just dont see this new offensive line giving Murray any time to throw the ball. The only way they could open up their passing is with a solid running game, which has been an issue for the Dawgs for a few years. Will Crowell be healthy? Will the inexperienced backups provide him any relief? In addition, UGAs biggest offensive target, the Tight End whats his name, is now gone for the NFL. Murray has no experience to throw to, and our improving secondary, with Wagner at CB where he belongs, is going to be at least a problem for Murray, especially if he is pressured for time like I assume he will be.
4) Coaching Staff: UGA returns the same coaching staff. If I need to remind you, this is the same Mark Richt who was on the hot seat at the beginning of last season, and the same Mark Richt who made some pretty crappy decisions that took them out of the Boise State and Mich State games last year (remember the 2nd down kneel play to put them in a better position for the field goal which ultimately failed in the Outback bowl?) Mark Rich is not a risk-taker, especially the kind of risk taker that warrants success in the SEC. And dont forget this UGA teams tendency to choke when they are ranked highly in the preseason.
5) Location: This ones played in Athens, which is really a non-issue for me. The players will remember losing last year in Neyland and that will light a fire under their bellies (I hope). In addition, UT is not too far from UGA, and I expect a huge turnout next year, so expect plenty of hometown support for our Vols. Besides, I have faith in the Vols between the hedges (see 2004 and 2006).
Overall, I just dont see how everyone can concede us the Georgia game already. I have faith in the Big Orange, and I absolutely cannot stand losing to Georgia again. Weve got the tools on offense and the tenacity on defense to stick it to the Dawgs this year, and burn those dang hedges down with a big Orange Flame. GBO. I predict your Tennessee Vols slamming UGA in Athens next year by a score of 35-14.