Chances we make it to Atlanta in 2012

#1
Vol Tradition

Vol Tradition

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#1
I know we haven't even played the spring game yet but just for fun. I'm gonna go with 25% as I look through my orange tinted glasses... Get em coached up Dools.
 
#5
#5
I like turtles




...and I'll have to go with 10%, considering Georgia's creampuff of a schedule should we make it to 9 wins.
 
#8
#8
2 % we play at least 4 top 25 teams this year. all in the conference. alabama, s carolina, florida, and georgia. sorry, but maybe 2013
 
#13
#13
Ok, I ran the numbers and assuming that Lattimore comes back like Jamael Lewis did (protecting the bad knee for a large NFL contract), then the mainframe computer simulation of the computational fluid dynamics indicate that the chances of Tennessee winning the SEC East Championship in 2012 are 82.53983716%. We are greatly facilitated that four of the five feeblest teams in the SEC (Missouri, Vandy, Florida, Kentucky) are all in the East division. Richt at Georgia has a long history of underperforming after a good year. USCe will be declining with Lattimore at 70% and Jefferies early departure for the NFL.

Start buying up those tickets for the SEC Championship Game!
 
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#14
#14
UGA 40%
USCe 20%
Vols 15%
Gators 15%
Mizzou 9.9999999999999999999999999999%
Vandy .0000000000000000000000000001%
Kentucky 0%
 
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#15
#15
ACvol3 said:
Fl has to score points to win.
Click to expand...

Yes, Florida couldn't score in 2011 and they lose what little offense they had in Rainey and Demps. Plus their quarterback was also a senior. As LSU, Florida State, Georgia, Alabama, Auburn, South Carolina all showed this past year, the gators ain't all that and a bag of chips.
 
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#16
#16
9-3 regular season.
Losses to Georgia, Bama, and S. Carolina.
Losing to those 2 teams in the east will keep us from making the SEC Championship. Especially Georgia, considering their schedule.
 
#20
#20
Georgia won’t beat us

1) Look at their schedule last year. Yes, they did go on a 10 straight win streak, but with wins over who? They lost their first real challenge vs. Boise, and then lost against USCe at home. Then they go on the streak with wins over Coastal Carolina, Ole Miss, Miss State, an 8 point win against an injury-ridden TN team, followed by 2 close wins against an inferior Vandy team and a Florida team nowhere near their usual caliber. Then they follow up with wins against New Mexico State, Auburn, and Kentucky (by 9). Then, as you all know, their last 2 games were losses to LSU and Mich State. Now tell me, out of these wins, which ones were “quality wins” and which ones show a team that’s “poised to stomp the SEC east.” IMO, UGA showed nothing special with last year’s performance, especially nothing that deserves them a preseason ranking in the top 10.

2) Returning defensive starters: Yes, UGA does return a huge percentage of starters from their great defense (who returns the most starters in the SEC though? Hint: Vols). However, the one area they are weak in continues to be their defensive backs. As of right now, they only have 9 total DBs on their roster, with most of the depth being inexperienced. With the potential of Hunter, Rogers, and Patterson (assuming Hunter plays to last season’s predictions, Rogers plays just as well as last season, and Patterson plays to at least half of his potential) I think we are in a position to chew up Georgia’s secondary. This, in turn, will open up our running game. And I’m not saying Lane will drop 150+ yards, but any respectable running game will only boost the effectiveness of our pass attack. (IMO Da’rick Rogers in the slot next year will be a guaranteed first down…every play). I just don’t think UGA has the secondary to keep up with our offensive potential.

3) Returning offensive starters: Yep, they return Aaron Murray. Big Whoop. I say, who’s he going to throw to? And who’s he going to stand behind? UGA loses their 3 best offensive linemen. Even last year, with experience, this line gave up 32 sacks. Against the pressure from Lathers, Johnson, Maggit, and Mcullers, Sentimore, and Couch I just don’t see this new offensive line giving Murray any time to throw the ball. The only way they could open up their passing is with a solid running game, which has been an issue for the Dawgs for a few years. Will Crowell be healthy? Will the inexperienced backups provide him any relief? In addition, UGA’s biggest offensive target, the Tight End what’s his name, is now gone for the NFL. Murray has no experience to throw to, and our improving secondary, with Wagner at CB where he belongs, is going to be at least a problem for Murray, especially if he is pressured for time like I assume he will be.

4) Coaching Staff: UGA returns the same coaching staff. If I need to remind you, this is the same Mark Richt who was on the hot seat at the beginning of last season, and the same Mark Richt who made some pretty crappy decisions that took them out of the Boise State and Mich State games last year (remember the 2nd down kneel play to put them in a better position for the field goal which ultimately failed in the Outback bowl?) Mark Rich is not a risk-taker, especially the kind of risk taker that warrants success in the SEC. And don’t forget this UGA team’s tendency to choke when they are ranked highly in the preseason.

5) Location: This one’s played in Athens, which is really a non-issue for me. The players will remember losing last year in Neyland and that will light a fire under their bellies (I hope). In addition, UT is not too far from UGA, and I expect a huge turnout next year, so expect plenty of hometown support for our Vols. Besides, I have faith in the Vols between the hedges (see 2004 and 2006).

Overall, I just don’t see how everyone can concede us the Georgia game already. I have faith in the Big Orange, and I absolutely cannot stand losing to Georgia again. We’ve got the tools on offense and the tenacity on defense to stick it to the Dawgs this year, and burn those dang hedges down with a big Orange Flame. GBO. I predict your Tennessee Vols slamming UGA in Athens next year by a score of 35-14.
 
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#21
#21
It all begins with beating the "uhs," georg-uh , s carolin-uh,flori-duh, and alabam-uh. What "duh" hell is going on out there(VL) !! :yes:
 
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#22
#22
sdowell said:
2 % we play at least 4 top 25 teams this year. all in the conference. alabama, s carolina, florida, and georgia. sorry, but maybe 2013
Click to expand...

75% chance we will be in there .we got a dance with destiney ow yah vols vs lsu in the sec champ game then we can go take out the trojans owwwwwwwww yah.:pepper::pepper::pepper:
 
#24
#24
Not much chance. Even if we beat UGA their schedule is so much easier that they could still be in the title.
 
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