CFN prediction LSU v. TN

#1
Neyland Law Vol

Neyland Law Vol

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#1
Tennessee (2-2) at LSU (4-0) Oct. 2, 3:30, CBS

Here’s The Deal … There was a time not all that long ago when this matchup would’ve stopped the world. The two battled for the 2007 SEC Championship with LSU pulling out a 21-14 win, and the Tigers screwed up the Vols 2001 national title hopes with a win in the SEC title game, but UT has won two of the last three regular season games. This year, LSU is in the national championship chase, whether it plays like it or not, and if the team is any good, it should win this game in a walk. Tennessee isn’t Tennessee. Derek Dooley’s team is struggling to find its niche after getting obliterated by Oregon, whacked by Florida, and pushed in double overtime by UAB. With four road trips in the next five games, it’s possible things get a whole bunch worse before they get better, but a win in Baton Rouge would change things around in a big hurry before going to Georgia. LSU hasn’t been impressive, but it keeps on winning with a 2-0 SEC record and a solid win over a West Virginia team that will probably win the Big East. However, the passing game is a disaster and there’s just enough inconsistency that could lead to a shocking upset, but the defense is just good enough to win in a blowout if the Vols play like they did last week.
Why Tennessee Might Win: There’s bad, there’s miserable, and there’s the LSU passing game. Despite owning one of the most talented receiving corps in college football, with a stable full of pro prospects, LSU continues to be awful throwing the ball averaging just 110 yards per game while ranking 113th in the nation in passing efficiency. To say things aren’t clicking is being kind, with the Tiger quarterbacks, mostly Jordan Jefferson, combining to complete just 45-of-81 throws for 440 yards and two touchdowns with four interceptions. One of Tennessee’s biggest weaknesses, the pass rush that has generated just three sacks so far, won’t be exposed considering Jefferson can’t get the ball downfield anyway.
Why LSU Might Win: There’s bad, there’s miserable, and there’s Tennessee on third downs. Nevada leads the nation converting 63% of its third down chances, while 40% is the norm. Only nine teams are converting fewer than 30% of their chances, and just two are under 20%. San Jose State is one, and Tennessee is the other converting a mere 18.97% of third down tries. 11-of-58 chances. Meanwhile, the LSU defense has been terrific on third downs allowing teams to convert just 27.6% of their chances. In other words, Tennessee isn’t likely to go on any long drives against a defense that’s doing a fantastic job of getting into the backfield and being disruptive and has been a rock against the run. If Tennessee can’t run the ball, it doesn’t have a shot.
What To Watch Out For: Tennessee, do … not … kick … to … Patrick Peterson. The LSU superstar corner has had a nice year so far on defense, making two highlight reel picks against Mississippi State, but he has been the biggest difference maker on two key punt returns scoring against both North Carolina and West Virginia in six point victories. Along with several other problems, punting has been a problem for the Vols ranking 103rd in the nation in punt return yards allowed giving up 16 yards per pop and a score. Offensively, Tennessee has to hope RB Tauren Poole can come back healthy after suffering a deep thigh bruise, and if he can’t produce, it might be David Oku or bust or else Matt Simms and the passing attack will have to try to pull off the upset.
What Will Happen: LSU doesn’t win pretty, but it wins. Tennessee doesn’t have nearly enough pop on offense to take advantage of all the chances the mediocre LSU offense will provide, but it’ll hang around for three quarters before the final score gets slightly out of hand.
CFN Prediction: LSU 27 … Tennessee 10 … 5Dimes.com Line: LSU -16
Must See Rating: Katy Perry on Sesame Street - 5 … Eastbound & Down - 1 … 2.5

Scout.com: 2010 SEC Fearless Picks - Oct. 2, (LSU-Ten.)
 
#3
#3
Alright! He thinks were gonna play 3 quarters of decent football!
 
#5
#5
the cut on eastbound and down at the end was uncalled for.

this game has upset written all over it. lsu won't be prepared for us the same as we werent prepared for uab
 
#8
#8
Sounds about right....well said and makes the spread. the problem with all this is sometimes crazy things happen...a tipped ball here....sack fumble there and the worst team wins....I hope it is close and fun to watch....keep showing progress guys.....Go Vols! :thumbsup:
 
#13
#13
VolGraduate said:
the cut on eastbound and down at the end was uncalled for.

this game has upset written all over it. lsu won't be prepared for us the same as we werent prepared for uab
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explain. Has CDD said if they plan on kicking to Peterson?
 
#15
#15
VolGraduate said:
the cut on eastbound and down at the end was uncalled for. this game has upset written all over it. lsu won't be prepared for us the same as we werent prepared for uab
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The comparison to the UAB game makes no sense. And saying this game has upset written all over is some big time wishful thinking because it's certainly not based in fact.
 
#16
#16
VolsSportsFan said:
The comparison to the UAB game makes no sense. And saying this game has upset written all over is some big time wishful thinking because it's certainly not based in fact.
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This. I think there is a chance that we win if we do a couple of things right, but to say that there is upset written all over this game is wrong. If we stop the run and keep Peterson neutralized in the return game then there is a CHANCE.
 
#17
#17
VolsSportsFan said:
The comparison to the UAB game makes no sense. And saying this game has upset written all over is some big time wishful thinking because it's certainly not based in fact.
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It looks like a perfect upset for multiple reasons.

First, look at the schedules. UAB was our let down game sandwiched between UF and LSU. We are LSU's let down game sandwiched between WV and UF.

Third, it won't take a large amount of yards on offense to beat LSU based on their offense's production so far this season.

Fourth, we have a good record recently playing in Baton Rouge.

Fifth, LSU is overrated and it is a matter of time before they lose to a team they are favored against.

Sixth, 3rd and Chavis will cure our 3rd down issues.

Seventh, Gerald Jones is back which will take pressure off D.Moore

I say we pull off the upset.
 
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#19
#19
Neyland Law Vol said:
Why Tennessee Might Win: There’s bad, there’s miserable, and there’s the LSU passing game.
Click to expand...

Neyland Law Vol said:
Why LSU Might Win: There’s bad, there’s miserable, and there’s Tennessee on third downs.
Click to expand...

at-first-i-was-like.jpg
 
#22
#22
Just our luck LSU offense will start to "click" for the first time this season, that's always how it goes for us...
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#23
#23
SandoVOL said:
Just our luck LSU offense will start to "click" for the first time this season, that's always how it goes for us...
Posted via VolNation Mobile
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Considering the Vols can't get to the QB if they blitz the 11 players on the field and 20 from the bench, I would say there's a good chance.
 
#24
#24
I'm going to make this more fun by pretending like we got a TD if we convert a third and long.

Good thing we have Lincoln. We are going o have to get the ball inside lsu's 30 multiple times to even have a prayer.
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#25
#25
OWB said:
Considering the Vols can't get to the QB if they blitz the 11 players on the field and 20 from the bench, I would say there's a good chance.
Click to expand...

Anybody willing to drop a few hundy on front row seats from stub hub so we can chuck rocks at Jefferson on third downs?
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
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