Can this team run the table?

#76
#76
If UT can split with UK. Split the LSU and Auburn games. And not trip up against anybody else then it would be fantastic. But there are other road games that could cause issues - Saturday night could be one. At Ole Miss for sure could be one. The UF and Miss St games at home are not guaranteed locks. Anybody can beat anybody in this league. The SEC tournament will be a war, also.
 
#77
#77
There is nothing Kentucky would want more than to ruin our #1 ranking...These upcoming games will be good for the rivalry and the sport...I would love nothing more than to go into Rupp and whip their tails again...Nothing is more satisfying.

Honestly, and this is just me, but if we lost to MSU, LSU, & AU, and beat UK twice, I'd would be happy as can be.
 
#78
#78
I don’t think Gonzaga gets a 1 unless everyone in front of them implodes

Let's see. The Zags are currently ranked #2 in the NCAA "NET" rankings, #3 in BPI and #4 in KenPom. They have 2 losses this season (UT/UNC) ... neither loss at home but both losses while missing 2 of their Top 6 guys (not sure if you've heard the Duke guys whine about missing Tre Jones for 2 games "The horror" ..."The horror" in Marlon Brando "Apocalypse Now" voice) ... meanwhile the Zags missed Wooden/Naismith/Jabbar nominee 6' 11"Killian Tillie ... GU's best returning player ... for the first 15 games of the year and perimeter defensive specialist pg Geno Crandall (16.6 ppg/4 apg last year for UND) for the last 9 of those games.

Looking ahead 9 of the Zag's last 12 games before the dance will be against KenPom Top 100 ... 5 against Top 45. There's no guarantee Gonzaga will run the table but it certainly wouldn't take "everyone in front of them" to implode for GU to snare a coveted #1 seed. After all, while it's not "Power 5" or "Big 6", the West Coast Conference this year is ranked #8 out of the 32 D1 men's hoops conferences.
 
#80
#80
Let's see. The Zags are currently ranked #2 in the NCAA "NET" rankings, #3 in BPI and #4 in KenPom. They have 2 losses this season (UT/UNC) ... neither loss at home but both losses while missing 2 of their Top 6 guys (not sure if you've heard the Duke guys whine about missing Tre Jones for 2 games "The horror" ..."The horror" in Marlon Brando "Apocalypse Now" voice) ... meanwhile the Zags missed Wooden/Naismith/Jabbar nominee 6' 11"Killian Tillie ... GU's best returning player ... for the first 15 games of the year and perimeter defensive specialist pg Geno Crandall (16.6 ppg/4 apg last year for UND) for the last 9 of those games.

Looking ahead 9 of the Zag's last 12 games before the dance will be against KenPom Top 100 ... 5 against Top 45. There's no guarantee Gonzaga will run the table but it certainly wouldn't take "everyone in front of them" to implode for GU to snare a coveted #1 seed. After all, while it's not "Power 5" or "Big 6", the West Coast Conference this year is ranked #8 out of the 32 D1 men's hoops conferences.


#8 is Better than I expected


How does this compare to other years you have been a #1 seed?


I assume there has been a few years
 
#81
#81
They shouldn't, but there still seems to be this fascination with Gonzaga. Is it justified? Time will tell.

Hmmm ... Number of schools with 20+ NCAA consecutive tourney appearances - 4 - Kansas, Duke, Michigan State, Gonzaga

Number of schools with at least 1 win in the past 10 consecutive NCAA tourneys - 2 - Kansas, Gonzaga

Number of schools reaching Sweet 16 (or beyond) last 4 consecutive dances - 1 - Gonzaga

Number of schools with at least a dozen wins the last 4 consecutive dances -4 - Nova 14, UNC 14, Duke 12, Gonzaga 12

How much "time" do you need in an attempt to "justify" Gonzaga
 
#82
#82
Let's see. The Zags are currently ranked #2 in the NCAA "NET" rankings, #3 in BPI and #4 in KenPom. They have 2 losses this season (UT/UNC) ... neither loss at home but both losses while missing 2 of their Top 6 guys (not sure if you've heard the Duke guys whine about missing Tre Jones for 2 games "The horror" ..."The horror" in Marlon Brando "Apocalypse Now" voice) ... meanwhile the Zags missed Wooden/Naismith/Jabbar nominee 6' 11"Killian Tillie ... GU's best returning player ... for the first 15 games of the year and perimeter defensive specialist pg Geno Crandall (16.6 ppg/4 apg last year for UND) for the last 9 of those games.

Looking ahead 9 of the Zag's last 12 games before the dance will be against KenPom Top 100 ... 5 against Top 45. There's no guarantee Gonzaga will run the table but it certainly wouldn't take "everyone in front of them" to implode for GU to snare a coveted #1 seed. After all, while it's not "Power 5" or "Big 6", the West Coast Conference this year is ranked #8 out of the 32 D1 men's hoops conferences.
I repeat, I don’t see Gonzaga getting a 1 seed even if they run the table, same deal as Nevada and Houston, unless like I said teams ahead of them falter. It’s also going to be easier for teams behind them to pass them up than for Gonzaga to pass teams ahead of them up.

Total expected Q1&Q2 games...
Michigan State-24
North Carolina-23
Michigan-22
Kentucky-21
Duke-20
Virginia-19
Tennessee-18
Houston-16
Gonzaga-12


2013 Gonzaga was 31-2 and got a 1 seed
2015 Gonzaga was 32-2 and got a 2 seed
2017 Gonzaga 32-1 and got a 1 seed

So you better hope to run the table all the way through conference tourney to have a chance given history.
 
#83
#83
Yea it's justified that the Zags are a top 10 program but I'd say they need to do more to move into the top 5
 
#84
#84
I repeat, I don’t see Gonzaga getting a 1 seed even if they run the table, same deal as Nevada and Houston, unless like I said teams ahead of them falter. It’s also going to be easier for teams behind them to pass them up than for Gonzaga to pass teams ahead of them up.

Total expected Q1&Q2 games...
Michigan State-24
North Carolina-23
Michigan-22
Kentucky-21
Duke-20
Virginia-19
Tennessee-18
Houston-16
Gonzaga-12


2013 Gonzaga was 31-2 and got a 1 seed
2015 Gonzaga was 32-2 and got a 2 seed
2017 Gonzaga 32-1 and got a 1 seed

So you better hope to run the table all the way through conference tourney to have a chance given history.


Wow didn't realize houston has played that tough of a schedule
 
#85
#85
Without reading any other comments, let me say NO. As Great as this team is; I expect 2-3 more losses by seasons end. AT UK will be very difficult, as will at TBA. Tennessee is unbeatable with the game they took to SC, but you can't expect them to be that perfect (near) every time out. Vandy and bama came CLOSE. I see a possible L at LSU; and at UK. Throw in one unexpected Loss and you are at 4 on the season. That's about where they'll finish. And that will be amazing.
 
#86
#86
Everyone knows that anybody can get beat on any given night, that alone makes it near impossible to do. In order to beat this Vol team you're going to have to score 40 or more in at least one half. Its going to take 75+ to beat us as the offense simply doesn't have any weakness. Most games we are doing whatever we want. I'd guess that we only play a game or two the rest of the way and not score 75. Therefore an opposing team must really be able to score in order to keep up and very few teams on our schedule are likely to put up points against the Vols defense. Kentucky and Auburn in my opinion are the only 2 teams left on our schedule that can score 40+ in 2 halves.

We'll likely see Ky 3 times this year and Auburn once. Those 4 games will determine how many losses this team has entering into the tournament. Any other losses can happen but at this point would be considered huge upsets.

I think we go 3-1 those 4 games, win everything else that we'll be heavily favored in and enter the tournament as the number 1 overall seed. If we smash Ky in Rupp then I definitely believe we can run the table.

Lots can happen between now and the end, we could go 0-4 vs Ky and Auburn and lose 2 more that we shouldn't and limp into the tourney as a 3 seed with 7 losses. Sounds farfetched to me!

Curious as to who everyone thinks could break the roll that we are on?

if we say no then someone will call us negavols. the answer is no. they will make it to the elite 8 and also lose in the sec tournament final. sorry guys. we are too inconsistent on D to beat top notch teams in march. if grant or schofield get hurt we wont even make it to the sweet 16
 
#87
#87
Yea it's justified that the Zags are a top 10 program but I'd say they need to do more to move into the top 5

I'm not hung up on a 1 seed at all. I'd just like to stay out West. Also ... "if" the committee considers losses incurred with key injuries i.e. I KNOW Tre Jones will factor in ... not sure about Lamonte, Killian or Geno ... we'll have to see.
 
#88
#88
I'm not hung up on a 1 seed at all. I'd just like to stay out West. Also ... "if" the committee considers losses incurred with key injuries i.e. I KNOW Tre Jones will factor in ... not sure about Lamonte, Killian or Geno ... we'll have to see.


Good point on Duke. Lol
 
#89
#89
Hmmm ... Number of schools with 20+ NCAA consecutive tourney appearances - 4 - Kansas, Duke, Michigan State, Gonzaga

Number of schools with at least 1 win in the past 10 consecutive NCAA tourneys - 2 - Kansas, Gonzaga

Number of schools reaching Sweet 16 (or beyond) last 4 consecutive dances - 1 - Gonzaga

Number of schools with at least a dozen wins the last 4 consecutive dances -4 - Nova 14, UNC 14, Duke 12, Gonzaga 12

How much "time" do you need in an attempt to "justify" Gonzaga
You get a free pass every year into the tournament because of your conference schedule. You play in-conference lightweights. Yes, your out-of-conference schedule is good because it has to be. Through no fault of your own, you're in a conference that is not very good, so you have to spruce it up out-of-conference. You keep playing that injury card, but you get what you have. Same with us. That being said, your schedule is weak, at least three-fourths of the year. I think you all will be able to advance because you have a very good team, but the proof will be in the pudding. I like your coach and your team.
 
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#92
#92
You get a free pass every year into the tournament because of your conference schedule. You play in-conference lightweights. Yes, your out-of-conference schedule is good because it has to be. Through no fault of your own, you're in a conference that is not very good, so you have to spruce it up out-of-conference. You keep playing that injury card, but you get what you have. Same with us. That being said, your schedule is weak, at least three-fourths of the year. I think you all will be able to advance because you have a very good team, but the proof will be in the pudding. I like your coach and your team.

Zags sure don’t get a “free pass” to the Round of 32 each of the last 10 years, do they? And they sure don’t get a “free pass” to the Sweet 16 (including 2 Elite 8’s, a Final Four and a National Title game) each of the last 4 years, do they?

Other than that, good point.
 
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#94
#94
I hope we win them all! Before the SEC tournament I can see trouble with KY x 2, LSU, Miss and Auburn. If we so drop a few I think it's a hot shooting 3 pt team. I just wish we would stop flying out of the play on defense trying to block 3 pt attempts. GO orange!
 
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#95
#95
Watched LSU for the first time last night. I realize that had to be a bad game for them. 3 of their starters didnt even score......If waters has an average night, they lose and A&M is pretty bad.
 
#96
#96
if we say no then someone will call us negavols. the answer is no. they will make it to the elite 8 and also lose in the sec tournament final. sorry guys. we are too inconsistent on D to beat top notch teams in march. if grant or schofield get hurt we wont even make it to the sweet 16
You get called a NegaVol because all of your views and takes are of a whining crying little baby. You're a NegaVol because that's how you act. Grow up and learn how to interact with people.
 
#97
#97
Without reading any other comments, let me say NO. As Great as this team is; I expect 2-3 more losses by seasons end. AT UK will be very difficult, as will at TBA. Tennessee is unbeatable with the game they took to SC, but you can't expect them to be that perfect (near) every time out. Vandy and bama came CLOSE. I see a possible L at LSU; and at UK. Throw in one unexpected Loss and you are at 4 on the season. That's about where they'll finish. And that will be amazing.
Why do folks believe that we are going to lose to LSU? Are they the better team? I just don't understand fans picking us to lose 3 more games when we'll be the favored team in every game but Ky the rest of the way. This bunch has shown that they do not lose to less talented teams.
 
#98
#98
Can I win the lottery - yes Will I win the lottery - no. We have already overachieved and I don't think anyone runs the table these days. Playing on the road with questionable officiating -- we will not be running the table.

I don't think it's powerball odds against Tennessee running the table. it's more like making more than $2 on a $2 scratcher odds.
 
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#99
#99
They have ball in hand and are coming off a 15 rack run featuring some tough outs.....yeah, they can run the table.
 
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