Bubble Watch

#2
#2
Like it says, win one of the last 2 and we are in. Hopefully we can win both of them and get a little momentum going into the tournament.
 
#4
#4
Tennessee is in the field regardless of the outcomes of the games this week.
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#7
#7
Just wondering, but why didn't you have a post game report today?
I was at the St. Bonaventure-Saint Joe's game in Philadelphia while UT was playing. I didn't feel I saw enough of the action to give a full report.
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#8
#8
Tennessee is in the field regardless of the outcomes of the games this week.
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2 losses to close out the regular season and an opening round loss wouldn't matter? I really didn't think UT was that safe.
 
#10
#10
It would be hard to get left out with an RPI of 29 and an SOS of 3. The NCAA always tends to reward tough schedules.

Getting the win over the Gators was huge. I think South Carolina is seriously on the bubble and will be desperate on Thursday. We're in now, and despite what the anyone said, there ain't no way on earth the NCAA is going to leave out Kenturkey with 19 wins, and I don't see them leaving out UF with more than 20, either.

South Carolina is the odd man out, unless they do something this week. They don't have the national profile and they have a weak schedule.
 
#11
#11
I don't see them leaving out UF with more than 20, either.
Florida's resume this year is no different than last season. Didn't get in than and shouldn't get in this time.
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#12
#12
Hat, if Florida beats UK on Sunday, how do you see their respective at-large hopes being affected?

I think the SEC will get at least four teams in, no matter what happens. I think UF is in if they beat MSU and UK. Likewise, I think UK is in if they beat UGA and UF. The late-charging darkhorse is Auburn, who with two wins this week could make things interesting. They'd be 10-6 in the SEC and would probably play a bubble team from the East in the quarterfinals.

I suppose the Cocks will still be sitting on the bubble at the end of the week if UT beats them.
 
#13
#13
Hat, if Florida beats UK on Sunday, how do you see their respective at-large hopes being affected?

I think the SEC will get at least four teams in, no matter what happens. I think UF is in if they beat MSU and UK. Likewise, I think UK is in if they beat UGA and UF. The late-charging darkhorse is Auburn, who with two wins this week could make things interesting. They'd be 10-6 in the SEC and would probably play a bubble team from the East in the quarterfinals.

I suppose the Cocks will still be sitting on the bubble at the end of the week if UT beats them.

Yeah i brought up Auburn the other day... was told by many that they had ZERO chance. Well, they won again. We'll see what they do Sat.V. LSU. I'm not counting them out.
 
#14
#14
Yeah i brought up Auburn the other day... was told by many that they had ZERO chance. Well, they won again. We'll see what they do Sat.V. LSU. I'm not counting them out.

They would need to beat LSU and get to the finals of the SEC tournament to have any real shot, and it's maybe a coin flip at best even then.
 
#15
#15
They would need to beat LSU and get to the finals of the SEC tournament to have any real shot, and it's maybe a coin flip at best even then.

I disagree. I gotta give those kids credit. their last 8 they are 7-1, if they can beat LSU (which remains to be seen) they will be 8-1 in their last 9 heading into the SECT and get a win or 2 there? And we KNOW that the committee looks at the last 12 games. By the way they only lost by 7 @ LSU and that was when they weren't playing particularly well. It's still a long shot... but if they rack up 2 or 3 more wins... i think they have an argument with Kentucky OR Florida.
 
#16
#16
There should be at least 4 teams from sec. Auburn has a chance to crash the big dance and make it 5. I don't think the sec is down as much as it young. Alot inexperienced young players.:rock:
 
#17
#17
Auburn could crash the party to make it 5, but they could also knock someone out from the East. Depending on how this week shakes out, an SECT quarterfinal between Auburn and a bubble team from the East could be for a bid.
 
#18
#18
Southeastern Conference
Work left to do: South Carolina, Florida

The SEC has had at least five of its teams play in the NCAA tournament in every season since 1996-97. But with only one regular-season game to play, it's looking more and more likely that the SEC will be fortunate to get only four of its teams into this year's NCAA tournament. Kentucky is on the verge of missing the NCAAs for the first time since 1991 after losing to Georgia 90-85 at home Wednesday night. Florida lost at Mississippi State 80-71, leaving the Gators in danger of missing the NCAAs for the second season in a row. And while still a long shot, Auburn has won seven of its past eight, and a win at LSU this weekend would get the Tigers to 10-6 in the SEC and at least back into the bubble discussion.


South Carolina [20-7 (9-5), RPI: 41, SOS: 83] The Gamecocks can win the SEC East title by beating Tennessee at home Thursday night. The game might be even more important to South Carolina's at-large hopes because it no longer has an RPI top-50 victory, thanks to the recent struggles of Florida and Kentucky. The Gamecocks are 0-3 against RPI top-50 opponents, losing at home to Clemson and on the road at Tennessee and LSU. They're 7-6 against RPI top-100 foes, sweeping games against Kentucky and splitting games with Florida. South Carolina's best nonconference victory -- an 85-84 win at Baylor on Jan. 2 -- isn't as strong as it once seemed, either. But as long as the Gamecocks split their last two regular-season games -- after hosting the Vols, they play at Georgia on Saturday -- they should be in pretty good shape for an at-large bid. If the Gamecocks beat Tennessee, they will probably lock up a spot in the NCAA tournament.

Florida [21-9 (8-7), RPI: 52, SOS: 96] The Gators are in big bubble trouble and are in danger of missing the NCAA tournament for the second season in a row after losing three consecutive games. Florida lost at Mississippi State 80-71 on Wednesday night, its fifth consecutive road loss. Overall, the Gators are 2-7 on the road. They're only 2-6 against RPI top-50 opponents, beating South Carolina at home and Washington on a neutral court. Florida won't get much help from its strength of schedule (No. 89 overall and No. 245 nonconference), either. The Gators close the regular season at home against Kentucky on Saturday. It could very well be an elimination game for Florida.



It's always good to see the bubble watch and us a lock and KY not even being considered anymore!!! HAHAHA!!!
 
#20
#20
Don't forget last year with the Dawgs running through the SEC tourney. If something fluky like that happens again, say Vandy somehow winning the tournament, then that throws an enormous wrench into the selection process and some of these teams that we are talking about will be even further on the bubble.
 
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