Volfan1000
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1. First off apologies for the delay, couldn’t watch it live and took me awhile to be able to sit down and watch the replay, love these feast weeks for hoops but work schedules make it difficult too. With that said…another tough loss, much like against Purdue the day before, although thankfully much different stylistically. However once again it’s a game that you feel much like Purdue, very well could’ve won and again went cold when you needed points, resulting in a L. Again no shame in losing that game but the way it was lost makes it feel worse as it was much like Purdue and much like other big game losses in recent memory.
2. Purdue & Kansas are both currently Top 5 defensive teams, so it’s not a total shock that they gave us trouble to score when we needed a bucket. We got points when needed against Wisconsin on the road and that’s a Top 35 defense, so maybe it was just more a case of running into great defenses more than anything. That still doesn’t likely make you feel any better but it does feel worth mentioning imo. I will say though that we combined to go 17-63 from 3, good for 27%, in the 2 losses, that’s just not gonna work. This team is built to shoot the 3 ball (more on that in the next topic), and we need to shoot them often, but we are not going to be near the team we want to be if we shooting sub 30% against the best teams we face.
3. Continuing that thought…we need some guys to find their perimeter shot in a hurry, maybe it was that gym, maybe it was the quick turnarounds or the good defenses or a combination of everything, but it’s gotta improve. I won’t harp on JJJ too much because overall he’s shot well this season, but in those 2 losses he went 1-7 from 3. Vescovi thankfully had a good last game because to that point he had started the season 3-13 (23%) from 3 and really didn’t look like himself behind the arc, maybe that’s adapting to a new role or maybe it was the time away from the team, but hopefully that last game got him going, if it did then that L may have been worth it. Zeigler at 18% on the year is the other one that needs to find it, or quit shooting it lol, more on that in a minute. But yea, this roster is constructed to play small ball, and to shoot a lot of 3’s, if as a team we can’t find a more consistent number and a few guys get it going we will struggle against good teams. Aidoo isn’t a back to the basket player, we don’t have many guys who are good drivers/finishers, this team has to shoot the 3 ball a lot, and that’s fine, but you gotta hit them too.
4. As for Zeigler, really hate it for him, and for us, but right now he’s really struggling on the offensive end. The defense as always has been good, but his perimeter shot and even layups it’s just not there right now, and it’s understandable considering he’s just recently gotten back to full contact, but it’s been bad. With that said, I fully believe that for us to reach our ceiling it involves him being at his best, and for him to get to his best it may very well mean he/we have to grind through the struggles while he gets his legs back and hopefully works things out.
5. Another additional thought on the offense, and this could probably have been lumped in above but oh well…we gotta do some self scouting with our guys and talk about some of these 2’s. Zeigler, Gainey and JJJ along with Aidoo are the 4 who come to mind most. A shot 18’-22’ is among the worst in CBB, and right now we are taking entirely way too many of them. The first 3 are a combined 20/62 (32%) from 2, this counts layups and dunks, so their long 2 percentage is likely much much lower…that’s a horrible shot to be taking and is exactly what good defenses want you to do. Same for Aidoo, his 2% is inflated by shots 3’ and in, but I would guess his 2pt % from 15’+ is around 20%, it’s a horrible shot to be taking and our offense really needs to eliminate it immediately.
6. Big picture losing 2 games against Top 5 teams on a neutral court is not cause for panic, or really even surprising in the least, after all we were underdogs in both, still doesn’t mean it’s not disappointing though. We hopefully learned a lot about ourselves and what we need to work on, and some guys individually who need to get things going. We still sit as a Top 10 team according to pretty much everything, and we have lots of basketball ahead of us still. We go to Chapel Hill on Wednesday and that won’t be an easy game by any means, likely slight underdogs, but a winnable one. After that the schedule lightens up a bit and you’d hope we can go on a bit of a run and build some momentum heading into conference play. Barttorvik projects us still at 22-9 and that’s right where we were to start the year, so no major harm done, and a win against UNC would go a long ways. Going 5-2 against @Wisconsin, N Syracuse, N Purdue, N Kansas & @UNC would be impressive and a great start to a resume for March.
GBO!!!
We need at least 25 to 30 paint points per game to supplement the three point shooters and Awaka should be getting a few more minutes of playing time per game along with Estrella to address that deficiency.
The UNC game at the Dean Dome will be a very tough place to snatch a win.