Keeping in mind these ladies are 18-22, but all these transfers make me think they have no idea what really makes them happy or the best fit for them. Butler just wasted her time.
I don't think she wasted her time. She did get a NC ring and experienced a final four. Now, she'll get an advanced degree close to home.
In addition to often poor decision making you mentioned, I think there are other factors that lead to the recent increasing rate of transfers.
Social media is a big culprit. Not too long ago, players only played locally, primarily in their high school league. There were no easy options to make friends with other kids around the country, and now, contact is easy, even internationally. Formerly, you were basically stuck with the kids on your HS team and strong bonds developed with those kids because there were no other options.
Now, tweeting with other players far and wide, at 140 characters per, it's easy to develop a superficial bond with many people. That bond, and the instant stardom players can achieve, can lead to a demand for instant gratification. Most kids now expect more than ever before. So many people are whispering in their ear.
Not too long ago, it would not have been likely that Diamond and her primarily social media friends dreamed they could all go to one school and rule the world. Well, the reality didn't quite channel the dream, and those players soon went their separate ways, perhaps what they should have done initially. Previously, this wouldn't have been possible.
Another problem causing defection is kids playing on travel teams instead of being coached in HS. They are playing games instead of learning the fundamentals. They get an inflated opinion of themselves that doesn't bode well if they encounter future difficulty. Another transfer instead of hard work would be the problem.
Many AAU players are advised to and do pick schools their coaches prefer. Do these coaches benefit personally from close relationships to certain schools? The coach becomes another parent the player might feel obligated to please.This robs the player of their own analysis and can override the players innate desire, causing more transfers.
With the advent of the WNBA and over-seas play money, it's much more important to pick the right school. If the chosen school don't seem to be working out early on, instant gratification desires start the person's eye to wander. It's no longer a big deal to switch schools. Much better than blaming yourself for the lack of success.
For coaches, the desire to increase their earning ability and status in the eyes of the nation, leads them to make promises they can't keep and do other things that would not occur if money was not involved. Pat worked for peanuts and washed uniforms early on. The WBB coaching job wasn't valued monetarily in those days. Now, Look at Dawn. She wins one NC and receives a big contract extension and a $200k raise to $1.1 million and probably doesn't have to wash uniforms either.
It's amazing how many transfers are occurring, and not only the poor players. Sometimes several players from a team. IMO, this trend will continue. Coaches will have to carry a full 15 scholarship roster to protect against a short bench.
Also, it wouldn't surprise me if players, in the near future, won't have to sit out when transferring. Coaches can move with no penalty, why not the student?