All things STOCKS

#19,076
#19,076
DinkinFlicka said:
@Thunder Good-Oil

You get a you told me so. Looks like they're another quarter from profitability. I'll let the puts get assigned and forget about it until January.
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Everything AI took a beating today. The algorithms took control. It’s probably best to hold on for when they start buying up the shares that they’ve crushed.

November and December are usually good months for the longs. So the programmed trading is going to do the unexpected.

We’re in tax loss harvesting season as well.

CarMax is off almost 25%. Ridiculous.

Not a lot of places to hide today. NuScale minus 14%. HOOD minus 11%. MSTR (Bitcoin) and PLTR off almost 7%. Names that have been getting pumped took massive 1-day dumps. It happens several times every year.
 
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#19,077
#19,077
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Everything AI took a beating today. The algorithms took control. It’s probably best to hold on for when they start buying up the shares that they’ve crushed.

November and December are usually good months for the longs. So the programmed trading is going to do the unexpected.

We’re in tax loss harvesting season as well.

CarMax is off almost 25%. Ridiculous.

Not a lot of places to hide today. NuScale minus 14%. HOOD minus 11%. MSTR (Bitcoin) and PLTR off almost 7%. Names that have been getting pumped took massive 1-day dumps. It happens several times every year.
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No doubt. Not a fun week.
 
#19,078
#19,078
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Everything AI took a beating today. The algorithms took control. It’s probably best to hold on for when they start buying up the shares that they’ve crushed.

November and December are usually good months for the longs. So the programmed trading is going to do the unexpected.

We’re in tax loss harvesting season as well.

CarMax is off almost 25%. Ridiculous.

Not a lot of places to hide today. NuScale minus 14%. HOOD minus 11%. MSTR (Bitcoin) and PLTR off almost 7%. Names that have been getting pumped took massive 1-day dumps. It happens several times every year.
Click to expand...
My main man, MSFT, back to mid-summer pricing under $500.


APPL holding up. Are the new phones that good? Or, the last couple were just meh?
 
#19,083
#19,083
taylorvol said:
I think the diff is VITAX is a mutual fund vs VGT being an ETF. Portfolios are identical but min investment for VITAX is $100k.
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Haven't looked, but typically the fees should be lower on that type of index mutual fund.

But yeah $100k min, so a long-term 401k selection for most folks,

Vanguard does a good job of keeping their fees down.
 
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#19,085
#19,085
taylorvol said:
Any good long term buys in the AI or tech space? QQQ overvalued? VGT? Or Utility/Energy play via XLU for all the power demand for AI?
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Long term, there’s a lot of narrative that the long term AI beneficiaries will be those companies that use it more so than those that are the developers and sellers of AI. I believe that that is why PLTR has such a rich valuation.

I’d guess that several of the Select Sector ETFs are some of the less risky ways to get involved. XLV has the aging population demographics as tge underlying source of revenue and you’d think would be a huge beneficiary of AI. But health care also faces the issue of cuts in government spending. XLE as well as an AI ancillary play. Those 2 were up yesterday while the other 9 sectors were down.

XLB, XLI, snd XLU should do well long term but have been on the near term AI frenzy wave as well as the tech and communications sectors..

At some point real estate and lending will have a run. HD. TOL. XLB. MTH. KBH. ITB.

QQQ might see a rotation into less tech names. Maybe SPY is positioned to out perform QQQ. Or even the old school DIAs.

Inside of tech/communications sectors, AMZN and GOOGL might be in position to take a run at the other Big Tech names. NVDA probably won’t crash with their backlog but they’ve gotten such a huge market cap, how much more can it go? They have an interesting China angle. The CCP is a large customer while also being a large threat. They can never be trusted.
 
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#19,087
#19,087
I think BTC's underperformance the last several weeks is foreshadowing more equity market weakness. BTC is actually back below the old high before the tariff freakout. Equities made new highs day after day since June while BTC had a couple failed breakouts in August and October and is now well below the ~106,000 level, which is where that old resistance/prior support was.

BTC is a great sentiment indicator/proxy for risk appetite and liquidity.
 
#19,088
#19,088
05_never_again said:
I think BTC's underperformance the last several weeks is foreshadowing more equity market weakness. BTC is actually back below the old high before the tariff freakout. Equities made new highs day after day since June while BTC had a couple failed breakouts in August and October and is now well below the ~106,000 level, which is where that old resistance/prior support was.

BTC is a great sentiment indicator/proxy for risk appetite and liquidity.
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MSTR from $360 to $225 in 30 days. I was assigned at $272.50.
 
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#19,089
#19,089
Jax_Vol said:
Haven't looked, but typically the fees should be lower on that type of index mutual fund.

But yeah $100k min, so a long-term 401k selection for most folks,

Vanguard does a good job of keeping their fees down.
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For some of their admiral funds you can reach their minimum investment threshold if across all of your investments in other Vanguard funds added up is over the minimum.

And, like you wrote, they’re good at keeping fees low.
 
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#19,090
#19,090
@1RBFjr said:
For some of their admiral funds you can reach their minimum investment threshold if across all of your investments in other Vanguard funds added up is over the minimum.

And, like you wrote, they’re good at keeping fees low.
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Good point. I’m a huge fan of Vanguard. Any ETFs that you like right now?
 
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#19,091
#19,091
Trying to sell AVAV puts today. Shares recently almost doubled in a month and have been giving most of that gain back. I was kicking myself for having bought at $250 and selling at $280. I might be able to get back in under $280.
 
#19,099
#19,099
taylorvol said:
Good point. I’m a huge fan of Vanguard. Any ETFs that you like right now?
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I've held XLE and VOO for ten and twelve years each, but VOO is an S&P 500 ETF and not focused on one industry. I have five different index ETFs with iShares (also ultra low fees), all held a minimum of fifteen years. I'm personally not looking for a new ETF right now. If I come across an individual stock on sale based on what I hope is fleeting bad news, I may be interested. The MCD dip with the bad onions in October 2024 hasn't worked out yet, but the fear of a cheap chip from China that caused NVDA to plummet in August 2024 has worked out nicely (I added to my earlier holdings). I'm patient and can be borderline boring. Sometimes boring is good.
 
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#19,100
#19,100
taylorvol said:
Any good long term buys in the AI or tech space? QQQ overvalued? VGT? Or Utility/Energy play via XLU for all the power demand for AI?
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Have one mid-cap on my radar called Pure Storage (PSTG). I Like the $30b size companies because they can accelerate quickly.

Unfortunately, they can also drop like a rock before you blink twice.

Anyone with an opinion? A rather obscure suggestion
 
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