All things STOCKS

#18,801
#18,801
Thunder Good-Oil said:
He is. This Wednesday at 2:30 after the decision is announced at 2pm. The FOMC meets behind closed doors starting tomorrow.

You’re replying to post #2 of this week’s economic calendar events. The bigger domestic events are listed in the first post.
Click to expand...
Ah ha! I missed that one.

Thank you.
 
#18,803
#18,803
A daytrading group I'm in had an unfortunate individual who had several thousand shares in ATYR. They were 100% convinced it was going to get approval on its third phase of their drug test.

It dropped 80% in the premarket this morning 😅
 
#18,804
#18,804
DinkinFlicka said:
A daytrading group I'm in had an unfortunate individual who had several thousand shares in ATYR. They were 100% convinced it was going to get approval on its third phase of their drug test.

It dropped 80% in the premarket this morning 😅
Click to expand...
Those pharm "final stages of clinical trials" are total crapshoots. I've hit a couple and lost on several. Probably not the wisest avenue to fortune.
 
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#18,805
#18,805
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Elon’s compensation package, if approved, approaches a billion dollars. Mostly stock price improvement measurement based. Which is stupid. Unless it doesn’t vest for about 10 years.
Click to expand...
No. That comp plan could be up to one trillion dollars, trillion with a TR. A billion is for paupers. Only morons would approve that comp plan, but Elon has nothing but yes men on his board.

www.forbes.com

Tesla Proposes $1 Trillion Pay Package For Musk

To receive the maximum compensation, Musk would be required to boost Tesla’s market cap from $1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion in the next 10 years.
www.forbes.com www.forbes.com
 
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#18,806
#18,806
Vol423 said:
No. That comp plan could be up to one trillion dollars, trillion with a TR. A billion is for paupers. Only morons would approve that comp plan, but Elon has nothing but yes men on his board.

www.forbes.com

Tesla Proposes $1 Trillion Pay Package For Musk

To receive the maximum compensation, Musk would be required to boost Tesla’s market cap from $1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion in the next 10 years.
www.forbes.com www.forbes.com
Click to expand...

Yes. I went brain dead for a minute. A trillion. The stock has to perform well, but that’s still crazy AF to give away tgat much of the company to him.
 
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#18,807
#18,807
Elon and the TSLA BoD have failed miserably if they don’t have a succession plan and giving away the current value of the company to Musk to meet the goals is all they’ve got. What happens if Elon drops dead of a massive heart attack? Is he going to abandon his other companies to be the full time CEO of Tesla?

A little more than 3 doubles in the stock price in 10 years probably isn’t worthy of even a billion (1/1000s of this compensation plan).

So Musk controls 1/8th of Tesla and is threatening to steal their IP if his stake isn’t doubled to 25%. He’s the TSLA CEO. He might need to be jailed for this. And I’ve always been an Elon supporter.
 
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#18,808
#18,808
DinkinFlicka said:
A daytrading group I'm in had an unfortunate individual who had several thousand shares in ATYR. They were 100% convinced it was going to get approval on its third phase of their drug test.

It dropped 80% in the premarket this morning 😅
Click to expand...

That was the talk of Reddit for the last few weeks as a bet to win big. Always hard to tell.
 
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#18,812
#18,812
#18,814
#18,814
Jax_Vol said:
We seem to be drifting down a bit this morning.

What's sup with 'dat?
Click to expand...
Some rotation ahead of the announcement. Small caps, financials, equal-weighted S&P up while tech/Mag 7 selling off.

It wouldn't surprise me if we sold off somewhat if the market gets what it wants, which is 25 bps + a statement that alludes to future cuts but still mentions the economy being OK. No cut (impossible) or 50 bp cut (highly unlikely) causes a big selloff.
 
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#18,815
#18,815
DinkinFlicka said:
A daytrading group I'm in had an unfortunate individual who had several thousand shares in ATYR. They were 100% convinced it was going to get approval on its third phase of their drug test.

It dropped 80% in the premarket this morning 😅
Click to expand...
Ugh. That’s harsh. You never know with the FDA, regardless of what initial indications might be.
 
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#18,816
#18,816
Jax_Vol said:
I've returned to commercial real estate with CDP for the end of quarter dividend.

Plus, the Trumpster is moving Space Command from Colorado to Huntsville. That is a Top-2 market for CDP.

Thunder, Per the analyst notes you use for research, have they made any recent updates on CDP? Still somewhatb early..

Click to expand...


Morgan Stanley doesn’t cover CDP. But they published a couple of paragraphs 6 months ago.
====================================

CDP - mission critical space. CDP (not covered) has a total of 195 properties in
their portfolio with 90% of its revenue coming from defensive/IT focused portfolio.
More than 1/3 of their tenants are the U.S. government, as CDP has been partnering
with the government for over 30 years. The company has developed over 13mn sqft
of built-to suit or pre-leased properties, typical under government contracts, where
leases commence before move-in due to the length of accreditation process. CDP
has low level of capex as tenants invest heavily in the building. Approx. 80% of
CDP's defense/IT portfolio contains high security improvement and they believe they
are the largest owner of SCIF (Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility)
buildings, with 6M sft, other than the U.S government. SCIF facilities lead to high
tenant retention, as SCIFs are 1) expensive to build- 3x the cost of normal office 2)
time intensive 3) cannot be relocated, and 4) catch 22 scenario- companies need a
contract to access a SCIF but require a SCIF to secure a contract. CDP expedite
process and save tenant time and money by efficiently designing construct SCIF by
credentialed PM's. CDP also owns ATFP (anti- terrorism force protection) buildings,
designed to minimize casual ties from a terrorist attack on DOD (Department of
Defense) facilities. These buildings cost about 20% more than a typical office
building to construct and CDP believe ATFP buildings lead to long term demand
from DOD.
We toured two of CDP's key assets: The National Business Park (NBP) in Annapolis
Junction, MD, and Columbia Gateway (Columbia, MD). NBP is the crown jewel of
their portfolio, generating 26% of total rental revenue with 34 properties, 4.2mn
total SF that are 99% leased. NBP contains over half of the BWI Class A space and
has demonstrated strong renewal rates with 89%-97.5% retention rate during 2020-
2024. Currently, 1 project is under development at NBP with 138k SF at a total cost
65m. Columbia Gateway has 29 properties with 2.5mn total SF and 92% occupancy
rate. CDP believe they are insulated from DOGE as the portfolio supports priority
knowledge based national defense mission which they believe has permanence and
receive steady funding over the long term. Most CDP's leases are with procurement
authorities of the specific agencies of congress, not with the GSA. Also, DOGE
priorities explicitly exempt from potential defense budget cut. CDP didn't see impact
to their Portfolio from DOGE related lease termination. For instance, of 657 lease
terminations to date by DOGE, only 1 lease was in CDP's portfolio - a NOAA lease
which was already anticipated since mid-2024.
 
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#18,818
#18,818
Not really sure the market has any idea what to make of the decision. Higher downside risks to growth, yet inflation is above the Fed's target (and has been to varying extents for years). Presser seems kind of hawkish; no real thought of a 50 bp cut and said it can be thought of as a "risk management" cut. If anything, it seems a sentiment like that from the Fed chair is what markets would want.

Market initially sold off, now rallying back to slightly above where it was pre-announcement, lol
 
#18,820
#18,820
$IONQ on a tear

If you have not already, you might want to look into quantum computing stocks.
 
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#18,821
#18,821
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Morgan Stanley doesn’t cover CDP. But they published a couple of paragraphs 6 months ago.
====================================

CDP - mission critical space. CDP (not covered) has a total of 195 properties in
their portfolio with 90% of its revenue coming from defensive/IT focused portfolio.
More than 1/3 of their tenants are the U.S. government, as CDP has been partnering
with the government for over 30 years. The company has developed over 13mn sqft
of built-to suit or pre-leased properties, typical under government contracts, where
leases commence before move-in due to the length of accreditation process. CDP
has low level of capex as tenants invest heavily in the building. Approx. 80% of
CDP's defense/IT portfolio contains high security improvement and they believe they
are the largest owner of SCIF (Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility)
buildings, with 6M sft, other than the U.S government. SCIF facilities lead to high
tenant retention, as SCIFs are 1) expensive to build- 3x the cost of normal office 2)
time intensive 3) cannot be relocated, and 4) catch 22 scenario- companies need a
contract to access a SCIF but require a SCIF to secure a contract. CDP expedite
process and save tenant time and money by efficiently designing construct SCIF by
credentialed PM's. CDP also owns ATFP (anti- terrorism force protection) buildings,
designed to minimize casual ties from a terrorist attack on DOD (Department of
Defense) facilities. These buildings cost about 20% more than a typical office
building to construct and CDP believe ATFP buildings lead to long term demand
from DOD.
We toured two of CDP's key assets: The National Business Park (NBP) in Annapolis
Junction, MD, and Columbia Gateway (Columbia, MD). NBP is the crown jewel of
their portfolio, generating 26% of total rental revenue with 34 properties, 4.2mn
total SF that are 99% leased. NBP contains over half of the BWI Class A space and
has demonstrated strong renewal rates with 89%-97.5% retention rate during 2020-
2024. Currently, 1 project is under development at NBP with 138k SF at a total cost
65m. Columbia Gateway has 29 properties with 2.5mn total SF and 92% occupancy
rate. CDP believe they are insulated from DOGE as the portfolio supports priority
knowledge based national defense mission which they believe has permanence and
receive steady funding over the long term. Most CDP's leases are with procurement
authorities of the specific agencies of congress, not with the GSA. Also, DOGE
priorities explicitly exempt from potential defense budget cut. CDP didn't see impact
to their Portfolio from DOGE related lease termination. For instance, of 657 lease
terminations to date by DOGE, only 1 lease was in CDP's portfolio - a NOAA lease
which was already anticipated since mid-2024.
Click to expand...
Thank you Thunder!!
 
#18,823
#18,823
#18,824
#18,824
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Concentration in a handful of names like Buffett or be overly diversified?

www.barchart.com

Warren Buffett’s Rare Warning About Diversification: ‘If You Have a Harem of Forty Women, You Never Get to Know Any of Them Very Well’

Warren Buffett’s quip about harems underscores his philosophy of focused investing, cautioning against over-diversification and diluted returns.
www.barchart.com www.barchart.com
Click to expand...
I concur. Read a book about Charlie. Been awhile but think he said that all you really need are 4-5 strong ones.
 
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