TheColdVolTruth
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- Oct 23, 2013
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Think BA has more issues than just the Max although I'll admit, the current price is a bit tempting
Their order book continues to shrink. I think the future of air travel has changed considerably. I think leisure travel will bounce back to pre covid levels long before business travel recovers. That's not to say that business trips will be forever cancelled, but businesses have now seen the cost efficiencies of video conferencing. Some business travel will return, but I think there are some job functions and meetings that will be handled remotely going forward. This will impact the legacy carriers more than the discount carriers. I think Allegiant, Alaska, and Spirit may be better plays than Delta, United , and American, but fewer planes total will be a negative for Boeing long term. The defense aspect has value, but I don't yet have enough conviction on anything air travel related to be invested at this point.
