All things STOCKS

Interesting things still happening in BTC and I think issues there are leading equities. Someone got liquidated around 2:30 AM last night and then there were a couple other flushes after that before bouncing hard starting at about 7:30 AM this morning.

The low from April is just about 11% away...wonder if it makes it down there before this drawdown is over.
 
Interesting things still happening in BTC and I think issues there are leading equities. Someone got liquidated around 2:30 AM last night and then there were a couple other flushes after that before bouncing hard starting at about 7:30 AM this morning.

The low from April is just about 11% away...wonder if it makes it down there before this drawdown is over.
Unfortunately, I think it does. We are due.


The good news...I'm usually wrong. :)
 
The fact that our market relies so heavily on a rate cut is scaring me a little. I'm trimming my portfolio to hold more cash.

When and how much lower rates are is one of the unknowns and lower mortgage rates and borrowing costs could stimulate the lagging housing industry. Plus every drop makes the government’s debt more manageable.

Tariff increases and inflation bumps are less likely. Longer term AI will help bottom lines. Unemployment isn’t a big deal unless baristas going on strike is going to cripple the economy. It’s a good time for young people to learn a trade instead of pursuing social studies degrees.

The big 3 - inflation, unemployment, and interest rates - are far from catastrophic levels. Strong corporate profits would help generate tax revenue, but full employment helps more. And lagging corporate profits wouldn’t be too disruptive if it’s due to CapEx expenditures instead of weak revenue.
 
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Truly, truly shocked today went that well.

Thought it was a morning head-fake followed by a tumble.


Weelp, go USA!!

Head fake 2 days in a row? My dad said bull and bear traps rarely go consecutively. And he's about as old as you probably are 🤣

Today was either going to be how it went or a free fall. I genuinely feel the latter is a possibility sometime soon.
 
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