Accuscore.com predicts UF win 76%

#27
#27
Everybody relax. In my NCAA '12 dynasty with Tennessee, I lost a squeeker to Florida in season 1 on my way to only losing 3 games all year. But the 2012 season?!? Undefeated national champions.

I'd say my PS3 endeavors carry about as much weight as Accuscore, but may have lost some validity because Janzen was still in the game.
 
#28
#28
I can't even imagine what this system is supposed to be able to extrapolate data-wise from a total of four games against garbage opponents that would let it run any kind of a meaningful simulation between these two teams.

UF with a 2/3 to 3/4 chance of winning seems about right, but pulling that number out of my arse is about as meaningful as any kind of a computer simulation at this point.
 
#29
#29
dlw4n said:
Everybody relax. In my NCAA '12 dynasty with Tennessee, I lost a squeeker to Florida in season 1 on my way to only losing 3 games all year. But the 2012 season?!? Undefeated national champions.

I'd say my PS3 endeavors carry about as much weight as Accuscore, but may have lost some validity because Janzen was still in the game.
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You didn't go undefeated the first time? smh. NCAA 12 is about the easiest game in the world. After about 20 games, you realize you can run the same play every down on both AA and Heisman for both offense and defense. You'll win 50-10 everytime. Gone undefeated with North Texas, Northern Illinois, Middle Tennessee... that includes wins over teams like Alabama. 1 play on each side of the ball... wish it were that easy in real life for UT. Go Vols!!!
 
#33
#33
The_Orange_Pearl said:
You didn't go undefeated the first time? smh. NCAA 12 is about the easiest game in the world. After about 20 games, you realize you can run the same play every down on both AA and Heisman for both offense and defense. You'll win 50-10 everytime. Gone undefeated with North Texas, Northern Illinois, Middle Tennessee... that includes wins over teams like Alabama. 1 play on each side of the ball... wish it were that easy in real life for UT. Go Vols!!!
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Some of us don't run the same plays every time and cheese the game. Where's the fun in that?
 
#34
#34
This year Accuscore.com says:

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 52% of simulations, and Tennessee 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 21% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Tennessee wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mike Gillislee is averaging 101 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Rajion Neal is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEN -3 --- Over/Under line is 47

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
 
#38
#38
Computers give a decent baseline, but then you must adjust according to special factors such as injuries, big homefield advantage, early season games, etc.

I'd say in which case those factors would favor UT
 
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#43
#43
I liked it better when we just went out and played the game, without getting all hung up over what technology simulates and talking (big) heads think. According to them, James Hunter and Da'Rick Rogers are real threats, Tyler Bray has four picks already this year and Kneeland Stadium is going bankrupt. Game on. Let's play.
 
#44
#44
LA Vol said:
I liked it better when we just went out and played the game, without getting all hung up over what technology simulates and talking (big) heads think. According to them, James Hunter and Da'Rick Rogers are real threats, Tyler Bray has four picks already this year and Kneeland Stadium is going bankrupt. Game on. Let's play.
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pffft we gotta see what accuscore says about storming the field 1st.
 
#45
#45
DD4ME said:
pffft we gotta see what accuscore says about storming the field 1st.
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97.5% chance that the Gator Boys will be tired, sore and not 100% after playing hard last week and having to travel two weeks in a row, which will obviously factor into the storm the field probability.
 
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