8.5 fav over Miss ST are they stupid

#27
#27
If you want my honest opinion with the capping system I personally use I have this game coming down to a victory for Mississippi State. My method doesn't factor in favoritism. I play at work now each week and they pick 10 games and the winner takes all. They of course always have the UT game so I always play it by my capping method to cut out personal feelings. I use it for all games but still throw in "what I think" into the equation when picking sides except for UT games.

Anyway, from the info I have available, it tells me the final score will be:

Mississippi State 23
Tennessee 21

So I will definitely play MSU +9 on our work board this week.
 
#28
#28
DownNDirty said:
If you want my honest opinion with the capping system I personally use I have this game coming down to a victory for Mississippi State. My method doesn't factor in favoritism. I play at work now each week and they pick 10 games and the winner takes all. They of course always have the UT game so I always play it by my capping method to cut out personal feelings. I use it for all games but still throw in "what I think" into the equation when picking sides except for UT games.

Anyway, from the info I have available, it tells me the final score will be:

Mississippi State 23
Tennessee 21

So I will definitely play MSU +9 on our work board this week.
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I'm up about 5 grand so far this year but I've only bet on UT once....the UCLA game. Laid a grand on the Vols and was considering going huge...glad I didn't . I ended up winning 9/10 opening week and recovered my big bet. I really think you take State and the points on this one...especially if it's moved to 9 already. I don't like betting on the Vols' games usually & I'll probably stay away from this one.
 
#30
#30
rockytophigh said:
I'm up about 5 grand so far this year but I've only bet on UT once....the UCLA game. Laid a grand on the Vols and was considering going huge...glad I didn't . I ended up winning 9/10 opening week and recovered my big bet. I really think you take State and the points on this one...especially if it's moved to 9 already. I don't like betting on the Vols' games usually & I'll probably stay away from this one.
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I'm calling BS. I play every week. NOBODY goes 90%. If you can pick games at 60% you are way ahead of the game. Give us 10 picks this weekend. If you hit 9 out of 10, I'll eat my words and pay you to handicap my games for the rest of the year.
 
#31
#31
volsfan55 said:
8.5 fav over Miss ST are they stupid

If we win it will be a nail bitter!
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They who?

I am consistently baffled by the lack of understanding about how point spreads are established and who establishes them by those that deride them.
 
#33
#33
Voldaddy said:
I'm calling BS. I play every week. NOBODY goes 90%. If you can pick games at 60% you are way ahead of the game. Give us 10 picks this weekend. If you hit 9 out of 10, I'll eat my words and pay you to handicap my games for the rest of the year.
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:popcorn:
 
#34
#34
Voldaddy said:
I'm calling BS. I play every week. NOBODY goes 90%. If you can pick games at 60% you are way ahead of the game. Give us 10 picks this weekend. If you hit 9 out of 10, I'll eat my words and pay you to handicap my games for the rest of the year.
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In all fairness, he didn't say he consistently goes 90%. He said he went 9-10 on one particular weekend. It is possible in the short term.
 
#35
#35
I was at the MS. State and Vandy game Saturday and I couldn't tell whether Vandy's offense sucked or State's defense was good, vice versa I couldn't tell whether State's offense was good or Vandy's defense sucked. I do know State will compete with the Vols on who has the most penalties. Each TD drive that Vandy had State commited 3 to 4 penalties. State's punter had a 24 yard punt and a 18 yard punt. The 24 yard punt was kicked from the back of the endzone and left vandy on the 20 yard line, which was one of their TD drives. Anthony Dixon, for State, was gaining about 5 yards right up the middle every thing he touch the ball. After watching State play Saturday, I do believe the Vols will win this game, not by much but they will win. GO VOLS!
 
#36
#36
Well the way I went from $25 to over $1200 was a slow process. I actually started out with a $25 moneyline bet on a team that was a fairly big underdog because I thought they'd win and they did so immediately I shot up to something like $85. I only hit about 55% from there but won enough and played smart enough to stay ahead. I also liked playing parlays and then could do $1 bets on parlays. Every Saturday I'd do at least 10 parlay bets with anywhere from 4-15 teams and I hit some of them to keep getting higher.

If the above poster says he went 9-10 the first week I could believe that. No one can stay on a clip like that but its possible week to week. I done a "miracle parlay" 14 team bet when the college basketball season started the same year I started playing. I bet some college bb, some pro basketball, and a couple of hockey games. It came down to the last hockey game of the night as I had won all 13 other games. I'll never forget the game either because it was the LA Kings vs the Red Wings in LA. At that time the Kings had taken something like 7 out of the last 8 against Detroit and won all home games. The spread was +1 for the Kings so they just had to not lose by 2. They were up 3-1 in the second period that night and of course the Kings fell apart and Detroit scored a goal in the second to make it 3-2 and then 3 in the 3rd to make it 5-3. That payout on a $2 bet was over $700,000. I don't think I have ever been so devastated lol.

But anyway I've seen enough people hit good clips to where someone definitely could make a 9 out of 10 run. Last year a guy on one of the handicapping forums during college basketball hit 87% for a week and he bet on nearly 40 games that week. If I would have still been playing online I would have definitely tailed him for the rest of the season. He wound up about 62% on the year.
 
#37
#37
Voldaddy said:
I'm calling BS. I play every week. NOBODY goes 90%. If you can pick games at 60% you are way ahead of the game. Give us 10 picks this weekend. If you hit 9 out of 10, I'll eat my words and pay you to handicap my games for the rest of the year.
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Sometimes people get on a roll I don't know the guy but why lie...hell 2nd weekend of the season I went 12-2-1
and if I can anyone can.Its all luck of the draw or the flip of a quater its right 50% of the time!
 
#38
#38
If I get 60%, I'm feeling good. That's how bookies make a lot of money. 90% on a consistent basis---impossible.
 
#41
#41
There is a book called Smart Money I think and its about a guy who bet for a bigshot in Vegas in the 90s and its a very good read. Don't want to steer this too far off topic but since this thread was discussing spreads I thought I'd throw this out there.
 
#44
#44
cotton said:
In all fairness, he didn't say he consistently goes 90%. He said he went 9-10 on one particular weekend. It is possible in the short term.
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No doubt. I'm calling BS on his reading comprehension skills, lol. I'm at work and can't access my betus account but I can look up the 1st weekend. I went 9/10. I'm still up quite a bit this year but it always seems to get tougher mid season. Lost $600 on the Giants last night....grrrrr....I hate betting on pro football. I wish we had 2 college games every night.

Oddly enough, quite a bit of my bets are on schools I've seen UT play at home over the years that I thought were scrappy. ECU, Akron, Air Force, etc.
 
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