2026 Official Seed Watch List Thread

#226
#226
Make sure you don't lose at South Carolina and I think 6 seed is the floor.

4 seed imo is the ceiling...we'd need to 3-0 finish make SECT title game AND some chaos ahead of us to get a 3 seed I think after dropping the game last night.

3 seed and 6 seed both lead to not playing your bracket's 1 seed until EE matchup...if you're a 4 or 5 then you likely play them in the Sweet Sixteen.
 
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#227
#227
MoCo_Vol said:
Make sure you don't lose at South Carolina and I think 6 seed is the floor.

4 seed imo is the ceiling...we'd need to 3-0 finish make SECT title game AND some chaos ahead of us to get a 3 seed I think after dropping the game last night.

3 seed and 6 seed both lead to not playing your bracket's 1 seed until EE matchup...if you're a 4 or 5 then you likely play them in the Sweet Sixteen.
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I agree with this. I also don't think we fall to a #6 this late in the game unless we drop another 2-3 games. I think we're a solid #5 with a chance at a #4 if we win our last three and make the SEC Tournament title game.

Depending on how the NCAAT bracket shakes out, there could be some interesting 8/9 vs. 1 games in the 2nd round. I wouldn't put it past Kentucky to be in one of those and beat a team like UConn. SMU also has a collection of dangerous shooters and if they're on, watch out.
 
#228
#228
MoCo_Vol said:
Make sure you don't lose at South Carolina and I think 6 seed is the floor.

4 seed imo is the ceiling...we'd need to 3-0 finish make SECT title game AND some chaos ahead of us to get a 3 seed I think after dropping the game last night.

3 seed and 6 seed both lead to not playing your bracket's 1 seed until EE matchup...if you're a 4 or 5 then you likely play them in the Sweet Sixteen.
Click to expand...
I can’t see the chaos that would get us an opening to take a 3 no matter what we do. As you said, that makes advancing tough. We need to wish for the best matchup at the one line.
 
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#229
#229
Stoerner Fumbles said:
I can’t see the chaos that would get us an opening to take a 3 no matter what we do. As you said, that makes advancing tough. We need to wish for the best matchup at the one line.
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Yep, of the 1 seeds I think Duke is the worst matchup for us, they have length everywhere...only 2 players on the entire team under 6'6"

Arizona is another I'd probably wanna avoid... Iowa State or Michigan are both really good, but they have less length top to bottom for their roster.
 
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#233
#233
This might sound crazy BUT I think a loss late in the season is always a good thing. I get that we want to win every game but sometimes it’s good to remind the guys what if feels like
 
#234
#234
CornbreadVol said:
This might sound crazy BUT I think a loss late in the season is always a good thing. I get that we want to win every game but sometimes it’s good to remind the guys what if feels like
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I tend to agree. There would be a huge target on their back if they carried a long winning streak into the NCAAT. They’d likely be setup to lose to this year’s Cinderella. We’re a bunch of freshman. Not even close to a dominating team rolling through the schedule while smashing opponents.
 
#236
#236
Dougie_D said:
As of right now, the bracket matrix has one SEC team (Florida at the 3) with the NEXT SEC team as the last 4.
The top 16 has 5 B10 and 5 B12. That's 10 spots ( 2 conferences) vs 6 spots (4 conferences).
So to me, it feels like the stronger conferences are B10 and B12.
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Stronger at the top, but maybe not overall.
 
#237
#237
BallerVolFan said:
I feel pretty good about 1 of the 2 winning between NC State and Cincy. If I had to pick one, it would be Cincy. Lower rated than NC State going up against a team that is more apt to drop further (TTU missing Toppin will be used against them in some way if they start to lose). Either one would be great and I know UVA is lower on the 4-seed line but I’m not sure how readily they would drop them below teams with 3+ more losses than they have.
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I felt pretty good about one winning between NC State and Virginia. Turned out I was spot on!
 
#238
#238
Michigan State beating Purdue right now at Purdue. I think we probably don’t want that.

Edit: Michigan State picks up a massive win on the road
 
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#239
#239
Updated seed odds per TeamRankings.com:

Bracketology:
5 seed: 27.9
6 seed: 21.6%
4 seed: 20.8%
3 seed: 12.0%
7 seed: 9.1%


Updated seed list entering Saturday:
3 seed
Purdue
Nebraska
Kansas
Gonzaga
——————————
4 seed
Michigan State
Virginia
Texas Tech
Alabama
——————————
5 seed
Vanderbilt
Tennessee
Arkansas
North Carolina
——————————
6 seed
St. John’s
BYU
Louisville
Wisconsin
——————————
7 seed
Villanova
Kentucky
Iowa
North Carolina State
 
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#240
#240
There’s zero argument that Tennessee can’t get to a 4, our resumes are very similar to Alabama & Vanderbilt who are both ahead of us and 2 of our 3 remaining games are against those teams. I think if you run the table you’re a 3/4, obviously to get to a 3 we’d need quite a bit of help but it’s not out of the question.
 
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#241
#241
Today’s slate:
12pm: Iowa vs. Penn State
12pm: Virginia vs. Duke
12pm: NCST vs. Notre Dame
2pm: Louisville vs. Clemson
2pm: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky
4pm: Kansas vs. Arizona
4pm: Texas Tech vs. Iowa State
4pm: Nebraska vs. USC
4pm: Wisconsin vs. Washington
5:30pm: BYU vs. West Virginia
8:00pm: Villanova vs. St. John’s
8:30pm: Arkansas vs. Florida
8:30pm: Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina
10:30pm: Gonzaga vs. St. Mary’s
 
#242
#242
Of the 9 teams ahead of us on matrix, 7 are in action and all 7 are on the road, 8/8 if you want to include Arkansas in that mix as well. Tons of home teams we want to win today which can be a good thing obviously, but also a chance for others to get big time road wins to boost their resume, either way great day of CBB.
 
#243
#243
bleedingTNorange said:
Updated seed odds per TeamRankings.com:

Bracketology:
5 seed: 27.9
6 seed: 21.6%
4 seed: 20.8%
3 seed: 12.0%
7 seed: 9.1%


Updated seed list entering Saturday:
3 seed
Purdue
Nebraska
Kansas
Gonzaga
——————————
4 seed
Michigan State
Virginia
Texas Tech
Alabama
——————————
5 seed
Vanderbilt
Tennessee
Arkansas
North Carolina
——————————
6 seed
St. John’s
BYU
Louisville
Wisconsin
——————————
7 seed
Villanova
Kentucky
Iowa
North Carolina State
Click to expand...
I don’t understand what about Gonzaga’s resume is impressive. I get their NET is high but their third best win is … Saint Mary’s at home? Alabama and Kentucky at neutral sites aren’t incredible top two wins either. And they have a horrendous loss to Portland
 
#244
#244
Vol49er said:
I don’t understand what about Gonzaga’s resume is impressive. I get their NET is high but their third best win is … Saint Mary’s at home? Alabama and Kentucky at neutral sites aren’t incredible top two wins either. And they have a horrendous loss to Portland
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I could see where them losing to SMC today and they fall a good bit, they do it twice (today and conference tourney) and I definitely think they drop a good bit
 
#245
#245
bleedingTNorange said:
There’s zero argument that Tennessee can’t get to a 4, our resumes are very similar to Alabama & Vanderbilt who are both ahead of us and 2 of our 3 remaining games are against those teams. I think if you run the table you’re a 3/4, obviously to get to a 3 we’d need quite a bit of help but it’s not out of the question.
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I agree but I think our fate still depends on what happens between the Ark vs FL game regardless if we go 3-0.
This is how I see it:
If Ark beats FL I think that KEEPS the other SEC teams at the 5 seed. FL would slide to 3 and Ark becomes a lock at 5. I doubt the committee would put TN on a different line of Arkansas if that happens.
If FL wins, they get a lock at 2 , Arkansas ends up on the 5 seed line(along with Bama) but TN slides up into the 4 spot.
 
#246
#246
Dougie_D said:
I agree but I think our fate still depends on what happens between the Ark vs FL game regardless if we go 3-0.
This is how I see it:
If Ark beats FL I think that KEEPS the other SEC teams at the 5 seed. FL would slide to 3 and Ark becomes a lock at 5. I doubt the committee would put TN on a different line of Arkansas if that happens.
If FL wins, they get a lock at 2 , Arkansas ends up on the 5 seed line(along with Bama) but TN slides up into the 4 spot.
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#248
#248
BtO: are you suggesting that the FL vs Ark results has no factor in where TN ends up? If not, please explain. That’s all I’m saying. I think that specific game decides where TN can be placed more than any other game besides our own game today.
 
#249
#249
Dougie_D said:
BtO: are you suggesting that the FL vs Ark results has no factor in where TN ends up? If not, please explain. That’s all I’m saying. I think that specific game decides where TN can be placed more than any other game besides our own game today.
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I think it has the same importance as about 5 others
 
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