Carp
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That’s a calculation all these guys need to make. He’s making 10mil at a place he can likely stay employed for a good while. It’s hard to pass up that kind of money in a stable situation.Drink ain't gonna win anything at Mizzu. But I don't think he's that good of a coach anyways, so staying there and going 8-4 every year probably keeps him employed for a decade or more.
With how much Ole Miss spends in NIL, playoff every couple of years isn’t an unreasonable expectation.Ole Miss has a NIL collective that, at the moment, is better funded and run than many other schools that have much more resources. Until Arkansas creates something like that (which isn't impossible), it is just hard to consistently expect 8 or 9 wins a year. And BTW, I don't think Ole Miss's expectations should be CFP contention every year even though that's where they've been the last few years. What Lane is doing there is incredible and way above what their expectations should be, honestly. He's the exception that proves the rule. It's unreasonable to expect that just like it is unreasonable for UGA to expect Kirby to win just as much as Saban.
Arkansas is a tough job because the only SEC schools you clearly have more resources than are Miss St, Vandy, Kentucky, Missouri, and maybe South Carolina. To go 9-3 in any given season, you're probably going to have to go 5-3 in SEC play, which is hard if two-thirds to three-fourths of your conference opponents have resource advantages over you.
For me, and I am not Kiffin, it would come down to do I want to do something that has already been done (LSU) or something that has not (Ole Miss). Ole miss had a shared natty in 1960 but even then they were not ranked #1 in either the AP or UPI. Lane has a chance to do what has never been done there. He has a chance to be a legend in the state. He could stay there, win 9-10 games a year and get to be the coach until he retires and nobody would complain if he didn't win it all. However, he has as good a shot at a title where he is right now as he would at LSU. LSU is going to take a year or 2 before they are back even if Lane goes there. They will lose some guys to the portal and lose some recruits. Other schools will use his job hopping ways to tell recruits he is unstable and they can't count on him because he will take the next hot thing on the map. Ole Miss can just stay good, win 9+ games every year, and he can be the greatest coach they ever had.
But will he?
