2024 Official Seed List Watch Party Thread

#1

bleedingTNorange

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#1
It’s that time of year, where we start paying more and more attention to bracketology and checking in daily on scores around college basketball. For those who are new or unfamiliar with this thread, I’ll explain…

I will post a seed list based on bracketmatrix, for those unfamiliar with that site I highly recommend them. They take inputs from over 100+ bracketologists and then based on those seed lists they take the average and create their seed list. It has proven for years to be very accurate and for those who follow this stuff close we all know there’s never one person consistently who’s just the best every year, so this to me has always proven to be the best method. So I post a seed list including Tennessee, as well as usually 2 seeds up or down each way to show who we are competing with for a seed. Based off this I’ll post daily games and who we want to root for to ultimately help our seed for the NCAAT, and obviously Tennessee winning is the biggest factor each time out. I’ll also post some other data from various sites about our projected seeds, such as Barttorvik & Teamranking.

So with that said, let’s roll…

-Barttorvik projects:
1.7 seed @50.8% and currently 3rd overall seed.

-Team Rankings seed projections:
1 seed: 41.8%
2 seed: 32.9%
3 seed: 13.9%
4 seed: 6.1-%


Bracketmatrix Seed Lost:
Purdue
Connecticut
Houston
North Carolina
——————————
TENNESSEE
Arizona
Kansas
Wisconsin
——————————
Marquette
Baylor
Auburn
Creighton
——————————
Dayton
Kentucky
Illinois
Duke
 
Last edited:
#6
#6
I know it's still early but I'm starting to like Tennessee getting the #1 seed in South and first two games in Memphis..

That would be nice. But long way to go as you said. February is going to be a brutal month. Last year it humbled us. So we have a lot of tough games to win. I think we can do it though.
 
#8
#8
It’s that time of year, where we start paying more and more attention to bracketology and checking in daily on scores around college basketball. For those who are new or unfamiliar with this thread, I’ll explain…

I will post a seed list based on bracketmatrix, for those unfamiliar with that site I highly recommend them. They take inputs from over 100+ bracketologists and then based on those seed lists they take the average and create their seed list. It has proven for years to be very accurate and for those who follow this stuff close we all know there’s never one person consistently who’s just the best every year, so this to me has always proven to be the best method. So I post a seed list including Tennessee, as well as usually 2 seeds up or down each way to show who we are competing with for a seed. Based off this I’ll post daily games and who we want to root for to ultimately help our seed for the NCAAT, and obviously Tennessee winning is the biggest factor each time out. I’ll also post some other data from various sites about our projected seeds, such as Barttorvik & Teamranking.

So with that said, let’s roll…

-Barttorvik projects:
1.7 seed @50.8% and currently 3rd overall seed.

-Team Rankings seed projections:
1 seed: 41.8%
2 seed: 32.9%
3 seed: 13.9%
4 seed: 6.1-%


Bracketmatrix Seed Lost:
Purdue
Connecticut
Houston
North Carolina
——————————
TENNESSEE
Arizona
Kansas
Wisconsin
——————————
Marquette
Baylor
Auburn
Creighton
——————————
Dayton
Kentucky
Illinois
Duke
Thanks for making this thread BTO! My favorites thread of the year.

So far so good with Kansas, Baylor, Auburn, and Dayton all taking L’s today. Wish that Duke and Kentucky could have joined that list but they both barely made out with wins.
 
#14
#14
Bama at Georgia on Wednesday. Hope the pups can hold serve on home court and us take care of business on Tuesday. Give us some buffer going to Rupp
 
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#16
#16
It’s that time of year, where we start paying more and more attention to bracketology and checking in daily on scores around college basketball. For those who are new or unfamiliar with this thread, I’ll explain…

I will post a seed list based on bracketmatrix, for those unfamiliar with that site I highly recommend them. They take inputs from over 100+ bracketologists and then based on those seed lists they take the average and create their seed list. It has proven for years to be very accurate and for those who follow this stuff close we all know there’s never one person consistently who’s just the best every year, so this to me has always proven to be the best method. So I post a seed list including Tennessee, as well as usually 2 seeds up or down each way to show who we are competing with for a seed. Based off this I’ll post daily games and who we want to root for to ultimately help our seed for the NCAAT, and obviously Tennessee winning is the biggest factor each time out. I’ll also post some other data from various sites about our projected seeds, such as Barttorvik & Teamranking.

So with that said, let’s roll…

-Barttorvik projects:
1.7 seed @50.8% and currently 3rd overall seed.

-Team Rankings seed projections:
1 seed: 41.8%
2 seed: 32.9%
3 seed: 13.9%
4 seed: 6.1-%


Bracketmatrix Seed Lost:
Purdue
Connecticut
Houston
North Carolina
——————————
TENNESSEE
Arizona
Kansas
Wisconsin
——————————
Marquette
Baylor
Auburn
Creighton
——————————
Dayton
Kentucky
Illinois
Duke
We will have played 8 games, roughly 25% of our schedule, against these top 16 teams (15 really since we’re included) by the time the regular season wraps up. That’s insane. We’re 2-3 currently and I believe we will end up 4-4.

Edit: For comparison, Purdue, who has the number 1 SOS according to TeamRankings, will have 7 games against these teams when the regular season ends.
 
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#19
#19
I wouldn’t get too caught up in being the last 1 seed as opposed to one of the top 2 seeds as at that point you’re really splitting hairs. There have also been some years where I thought some 2 seeds have gotten a better draw than some 1’s. Although I’d be lying if I said that I don’t desperately want to get the first 1 seed in program history.
 
#20
#20
Kansas? Yes. Purdue and North Carolina? I don’t know. They would be close games. Kansas is a shell of itself though. We would definitely beat them right now.
North Carolina traded Caleb Love for Harrison Ingram, plus most of significant players returned..

Nice turnaround from last year's underachievement.
 
#21
#21
I wouldn’t get too caught up in being the last 1 seed as opposed to one of the top 2 seeds as at that point you’re really splitting hairs. There have also been some years where I thought some 2 seeds have gotten a better draw than some 1’s. Although I’d be lying if I said that I don’t desperately want to get the first 1 seed in program history.
Agreed ,Wichita State got a #1 seed a few years ago what was their reward Kentucky in 2nd Round..
 
#23
#23
Kansas? Yes. Purdue and North Carolina? I don’t know. They would be close games. Kansas is a shell of itself though. We would definitely beat them right now.
I’m not saying they wouldn’t be close games. I’m just saying we look like a better team than them. North Carolina is in the process of going through a cakewalk in the ACC and not being tested. And I honestly think Wisconsin is a more well rounded than Purdue. Come tournament time Edey won’t be getting 10 free throws per game.
 
#24
#24
I’m not saying they wouldn’t be close games. I’m just saying we look like a better team than them. North Carolina is in the process of going through a cakewalk in the ACC and not being tested. And I honestly think Wisconsin is a more well rounded than Purdue. Come tournament time Edey won’t be getting 10 free throws per game.
I disagree with that last sentence unless you mean he gets like 20 per game. Refs love him
 

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