No one but those in the locker room know just how deep, how broad, and how bad the talent, training, and culture were last year -- nor what the new staff is facing.
If the change in staff and some personnel has removed the things that were wrong, then this team should/could go 9-3 or even better.
If, after all the changes, the culture is better, but the lack of training and skill development is still bad, then this team could go 4-8.
Frankly, the opener won't show us anything. Ask me after the Pitt game, and I'll put a prediction out there and stand by it.