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They don't like Democrats in a deeply red state like Oklahoma, and people in states like that are generally very skeptical of politicians from "the other" party who claim to be moderate. We just saw in Tennessee a popular, moderate, two-term ex-governor get whacked in a Senate race. Scott Brown won in Massachusetts in that special election after Ted Kennedy died, but was replaced with a progressive (Elizabeth Warren) the first chance they got. I bet she doesn't last long.
We'll be watching her closely.
If the incumbent actually took time out of his busy schedule to campaign, he might have won.