2018 Midterm Election Thread

[Matt2496]

There's going to be a wave but it might be one you can body surf and not need a board.

Nowhere near the tsunami y'all were hoping for tho.

 

[Boston Vol]

Don't need Bozo O'Rourke in there. Come on Ted.

Cruz is going to win

 

[Boston Vol]

lol Tennessee senate race already called

 

[Big Gucci Sosa]

Dems +2 in house

 

[RikidyBones]

Dems +2 in house

watching fox news huh?

 

[volinbham]

The scenarios 30 years ago were clearer. The means of communication more narrow. They could depend on projecting because the projections verified in the past. But those assumptions are not bearing out recently. There is an inherent advantage going on that does not get reflected in the polls.

to counter that they have insanely more data now.

I'd also separate pollsters from forecasters. Pollsters job is to collect the mood of the electorate. They have to adjust it for sample representation using registration data, past voting patterns etc. Forecasters take the polls plus all the expected voting patterns and ....

The Trump surprise was more turnout than expected in rural areas AND prior Dems switching to vote for Trump. And Russia of course

 

[volfanhill]

If you voted for Donna Shalala you need to jump off a bridge

 

[volfanjustin]

lol Tennessee senate race already called

Fox is slow on these calls

 

[Carl Pickens]

lol...I know a few rural white GA males flipping the other way. Maybe we'll see a complete reversal.

What kind of comparison are you trying to make here? ...has racist overtones to me

 

[Big Gucci Sosa]

watching fox news huh?

Yeah. Can’t watch liberal ****

 

[ETV]

I will ask my friend in China. IT is tomorrow there.

Pffft. Fake news.

 

[volinbham]

Nationally what are other big races to look at? Tuned out

best advice would be hit Real Clear Politics and look at the House and Senate maps - anything in the "toss up" category is one to watch.

 

[Grand Vol]

Michigan way closer than the polls suggested.

 

[volfanjustin]

So much for the libs here who said Tennessee would never vote for a woman

 

[RikidyBones]

lol...I know a few rural white GA males flipping the other way. Maybe we'll see a complete reversal.

I dont believe that for a minute. I'm around rural people often and it's all Kemp. even the Democrat ones. the democrats I know had a little shouting match during the uga vs Tennessee game about over half of them saying they are voting Kemp. it was an entertaining experience to say the least.

 

[ETV]

There's going to be a wave but it might be one you can body surf and not need a board.

One of us can go to the bathroom and make a bigger wave then what we're witnessing tonight.

 

[SandoVOL]

I know it's early, but it appears Blackburn is beating the brakes off Bredesen right now

Similar numbers to the gov race right, 69% fox is all but saying Blackburn is final.

 

[SLICKYINC]

Where’s all the Bredesen koolaid drinkers. Lulz...

 

[lawgator1]

to counter that they have insanely more data now.

I'd also separate pollsters from forecasters. Pollsters job is to collect the mood of the electorate. They have to adjust it for sample representation using registration data, past voting patterns etc. Forecasters take the polls plus all the expected voting patterns and ....

The Trump surprise was more turnout than expected in rural areas AND prior Dems switching to vote for Trump. And Russia of course

One of two things is true.

Either people in that group are not being polled in proportion to their true number or they are not answering accurately when polled.

Maybe both.

 

[95 Vol Alum]

5 minute get drunk drinking game on CNN. The woman doing the race recaps says “At this point” every 5 seconds.

 

[Big Gucci Sosa]

Lol. Fox hitting Taylor swift

 

[Pepe_Silvia]

Bredesen getting skull-dragged.

 

[Grand Vol]

One of two things is true.

Either people in that group are not being polled in proportion to their true number or they are not answering accurately when polled.

Maybe both.

I stated why some time ago.

 

[InVOLuntary]

lol Tennessee senate race already called

She smoked him like a cheap Clinton cigar.

 

[Smokey123]

Last I heard Broward was already in. So you are saying open numbers aren't panhandle? Not trying to argue just asking as I am not sure

From what I’ve read and seen most of the panhandle is counted, which is what got Ron the lead larger. Dade, Palm beach, Broward still a lot of votes to count. It’d be a big comeback but is still possible