2016 Election

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#5,826
#5,826
DMR Poll:
Over 40% of GOP might change their minds before Monday.
71% of Trump supporters say they are firm.
61% of Cruz say they are firm
28% of caucus voters haven't made their minds up

Bloomberg Politics DMRegister GOP Poll Fav/Unfav:
Carson: 72/22
Rubio: 70/21
Cruz: 65/28
Trump: 50/47
Jeb!: 41/53
Christie: 40/44
Paul: 40/41
 
#5,828
#5,828
Vol8188 said:
Paul's ahead of Christie and several others who you think will stay in the race? Why?
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Because Paul is down 5 point to Christie in New Hampshire and is in 9th place at 2.8% Does Rand want to keep his seat in the Senate or continue running a failed Presidential campaign???
 
#5,829
#5,829
carlos86 said:
Because Paul is down 5 point to Christie in New Hampshire and is in 9th place at 2.8% Does Rand want to keep his seat in the Senate or continue running a failed Presidential campaign???
Click to expand...

I think the outcome of NH will have a major impact on who stays, who goes. I think it is far more imprtant than Iowa this year.
 
#5,830
#5,830
carlos86 said:
Because Paul is down 5 point to Christie in New Hampshire and is in 9th place at 2.8% Does Rand want to keep his seat in the Senate or continue running a failed Presidential campaign???
Click to expand...

He will win his senate race. The publicity from the presidential campaign is more significant. He gets more time on national TV. Americans watch pay way more attention to national politics than we do local politics.

And no GOP candidate is going to win New Hampshire in the general, so I'm not overly concerned.
 
#5,832
#5,832
Gramps said:
Ob I don't see the different focus groups, on my phone that may be the problem. I see a lot of tweets, I must admit I don't talk tweet.

On front page it say Rubio was the winner. He may very well be. I think of the candidates in attendance Jeb, Rand and Rubio had the best night. One could declare either one the winner. I then would put Christi 4th, Kasich 5th, Carson 6th Cruz 7th.


IMO the big overall winner was Trump. He made a brilliant move by skipping, having his veterans event. He controlled the airtime and it was FREE.
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Yeah. The tweets are the results of the focus groups. Both conservative and moderate conservative. Each persons group was scored. Ups and downs for all major talking points.


I thought it was interesting. Carry on.
 
#5,834
#5,834
Obsessed said:
Yeah. The tweets are the results of the focus groups. Both conservative and moderate conservative. Each persons group was scored. Ups and downs for all major talking points.


I thought it was interesting. Carry on.
Click to expand...

Who was the winner from the different groups
 
#5,835
#5,835
Gramps said:
Who was the winner from the different groups
Click to expand...

It showed each of them scoring well in certain areas and failing in others.

Examples:

Cruz jumping on mods- fail
Christie jumping on Hillary- win.

Rubio essentially scored the highest overall.
 
#5,836
#5,836
Gramps said:
I think the outcome of NH will have a major impact on who stays, who goes. I think it is far more imprtant than Iowa this year.
Click to expand...

Christie and Carson should be out after New Hampshire. The only ones with the money to make it to Florida are Bush, Rubio, and Trump.
 
#5,837
#5,837
Vol8188 said:
He will win his senate race. The publicity from the presidential campaign is more significant. He gets more time on national TV. Americans watch pay way more attention to national politics than we do local politics.

And no GOP candidate is going to win New Hampshire in the general, so I'm not overly concerned.
Click to expand...

Paul also lacks the funding to make it past New Hampshire.
 
#5,838
#5,838
It also suggested that Rubio could pull a large portion of the Latino vote which could hurt Hillary.
 
#5,840
#5,840
carlos86 said:
Christie and Carson should be out after New Hampshire. The only ones with the money to make it to Florida are Bush, Rubio, and Trump.
Click to expand...

The establishment can raise money fast for a candidate. Look at John McCain in 2008. He was low on cash, put everything on the line in NH, he won NH then exploded in the polls and cash.
 
#5,846
#5,846
The 2012 Iowa Caucuses poll is almost the same as this years poll

pre-IA 2012 poll had Romney 24%, Paul 22%, Santorum 15%...

Final Des Moines Register Poll:
Trump 28
Cruz 23
Rubio 15
 
#5,849
#5,849
I found this interesting. An article written after the 2008 election.
 

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