I didn't say we would win. I said I'd prefer it if we did win.
A few things working in our favor that aren't brought up much...
1. Oregon has a new head coach. A man who's never been a head coach. He's only been an OC on bad Colorado teams and then the OC for Oregon the last 3 years. Before Colorado he was a QB coach for awhile.
2. On paper we are almost identical in talent based on rivals rankings the last 4 years. Obviously we've had more attrition and they've had MUCH better coaching the last few years but the talent level is still closer than many admit.
3. Oregon plays @ UVA the week before. They likely crush the cavaliers but they still have to travel across the country a week before we play them. Not a huge deal but worth noting.
At the very least I bet the final score is much closer than the spread.