BearCat204
Second Chances
- Joined
- Aug 6, 2008
- Messages
- 68,727
- Likes
- 49,101
You're not aware of how probability works. I agree that we should be favored in 11 of our 12 games this year (including Oklahoma, Georgia, and @ Florida). But even assuming generously that we have a 66% chance of beating each of those three teams, it is probable that we will lose to at least one of those three teams. Hence, why I predict a 10-2 regular season record.
I have predicted 10-2 personally, but this is the number (11-1) that keeps popping into my thoughts.
8-4 people are reasonable. But I just think that nobody we play this year can flat out beat us 10 out of 10 times.
Oklahoma is the most balanced team we will play. I think they are our second best opponent and i still think we take them.
Baylor, Oregon, Ohio State are about the only teams I see as being able to dominate a us. And none of them are on our schedule.
Talent....
ROFL.
Bama won a title with a horrible offense but a dominant defense - before Saban displaced the Bear. We have a DOMINANT defense. We need Dobbs, but 6-6?
AV
You're not aware of how probability works. I agree that we should be favored in 11 of our 12 games this year (including Oklahoma, Georgia, and @ Florida). But even assuming generously that we have a 66% chance of beating each of those three teams, it is probable that we will lose to at least one of those three teams. Hence, why I predict a 10-2 regular season record.