I think my cousin (UGA fan) nailed it. Heupel is Mark Richt 2.0. He's going to win us games against elite teams and then lose to nobodies when it matters most.
They're going to keep moving up before the game so espn can hype the game like it's going to be competitive. After the game, they'll fall back and we will be the #3 seed.
You are correct but I wouldn't give up hope just yet. Pac 10 is a crazy conference. TCU is very beatable. There is plenty of football left to play. Winning and Winning big are all the Tennessee fan base should focus on.