Recent content by MJA

70% of the BETS are on the Vols, that doesn't mean 70% of the MONEY is on them. When spreads move against the public betting (70%), it usually means the sharps and big bettors are betting the opposite way, outweighing the 70% by betting much more money than the public is.

No they just hate Tenn and are out to make them look bad, etc. :loco:

45

This is really my only point. Vegas is a neutral source, and with an infinite amount of money riding on any given game, they have to do their homework. That's fine that you think they're wrong, that's the beauty of the whole thing...you get to win money when/if that happens.

Good post. So despite all of that, Tenn will win by 20+?

But wouldn't the public opinion/perception lean with Tenn in this case? I feel like that argument doesn't fly when it's an SEC team at home vs. a MWC team. Even so, the "line" is like the prediction of thousands of people betting thousands of dollars. It's a consensus. If the line is bad, it...

Thank you. It's a common misconception for many, so I don't blame him really. With Boca Vol's input, I'll step back from my renegade. I'll be in Knoxville on the 29th and am excited to take in a game there, should be memorable win or lose. :mf_surrender:

Here are some spreads for those games. 2013: A.31* AUSTIN PEAY L -49' 45-0 S.07 W. KY. W -13' 52-20 S.28 S. ALABAMA L -17 31-24 O.19 S. CAROLINA W +7' 23-21...

How do you think you get equal betting? By making a good spread. Why is that such a foreign concept? If Tenn only being favored by 7 points was so wrong, the sportsbooks would lose hundreds of thousands from smart guys who prey on bad point spreads and load up on those bad spreads. The spread...

What do you want me to say to that? Nothing I could say would be taken very seriously by ya'll around here anyway. The best defense I have is that the best oddsmakers in the world (who are responsible for millions of dollars for Las Vegas sports books) believe that this game will be about a...

No where did I say it would be an easy win, or even a win. I expect a close, good, hard fought game.

Great bet. Auburn is favored by 21 points I believe in that game.

I wouldn't expect you to. I knew just about none of the names of Tenn players before recently. I think I heard of North, and I may have heard your QBs name (Worley?) because of how bad he was. That's about it. Chuckie Keeton is getting the most press of any player on either team by far.

I'm sure the same people predicting 20-30+ point blowouts will talk the same amount of sh*t after ya'll win by 7. What would I get eaten alive for when that happens? For predicting a close game?

Actually yes, you're right. The XP as well. MGM has it a 6 point spread, so if it's just a TD (no XP) then you push and get your money back.