I don't think we get a #1 seed, but we absolutely deserve a 2 unless we lose today. Recent record should absolutely matter, but what puts us over the top imho is wins versus top 5 teams, and
Duke: 1 win over top 5, 2-2 last 4, both losses to unranked teams
Purdue: 1 win over top 5, 3-2 record...