After Kiffen bolted, word was that Brian Kelly (at Cincinnati at the time) was among a number of coaches that politely told the UT athletic dept 'No thank you' to our HC position offer. Of course, Mr. Kelly went on to accept the Notre Dame position, while DD eventually accepted the UT position.
The first upcoming BCS poll comes out this weekend, and the *computer* rankings have the 5-0 Irish as #1. Meanwhile, we Vols are slightly above mediocreville having cracked the top 25 for the first time in years, and now sit at 3-2.
So, would it have made a difference had Kelly come to UT? I offer the following based on 2 factors only: recruiting and win/loss record.
Interestingly, Notre Dame's recruiting record is nearly identical to the Vols over the past 3 years, per Rivals:
2010
Notre Dame #14
UT #9
2011
Notre Dame #10
UT #13
2012
Notre Dame #20
UT #17
Average 3-year recruiting rank:
Notre Dame 14.6
UT 13.0
So, based solely on recruiting records, both teams are building top-20 teams.
The actual team records, though, seem to tell a very different story:
2010
Notre Dame 8-5
UT 6-7
2011
Notre Dame 8-5
UT 5-7
2012
Notre Dame 5-0
UT 3-2
Total 3-year record:
Notre Dame 21-10
UT 14-16
Obviously, ND looks far better on paper. But, would Kelly have posted a better record than DD had he come to UT? The quality of Notre Dame's opponents raises questions about the strength of their team v. UT, as follows:
2010
Notre Dame (played 2 ranked opponents - no top 10)
UT (played 5 ranked opponents - 3 top 10)
2011
Notre Dame 8-5 (played 2 ranked opponents - no top 10)
UT 5-7 (played 6 ranked opponents - 3 top 10)
2012
Notre Dame 5-0 (played 2 ranked opponents - 1 top 10)
UT 3-2 (played 2 ranked opponents - 1 top 10)
Total # of 3-year ranked opponents:
Notre Dame (6 ranked opponents - 1 top 10)
UT (13 ranked opponents - 7 top 10)
Until this year, the Irish have clearly had cupcake schedules, while the Vols have played in the toughest conference in the nation.
So my take on what effect Brian Kelly would have had on UT had he elected to be our HC is as follows: While the jury is still out on both he and DD, neither Kelly's recruiting record nor his win record suggest that he would have had more success than DD if he were in Knoxville.
At the end of the day, I believe our current team (with tough losses only to very strong UGA and FL teams) would stand toe to toe with Notre Dame on the field right now. By the end of the season, I expect both teams to be ranked pretty close to one another in the top-25.
I know Irish fans will be pumped to see that #1 computer rank this weekend, and it definitely sucks to watch their quick 'turnaround'. But, in reality, DD has built a Vol team that is ever bit as good as them, and I think we just need to keep in mind that the SEC is a brutal, brutal conference.
The worm will turn folks. Keep the faith. GBO!
http://www.volnation.com/forum/tenn...omparing-programs-tn-vs-nd-2.html#post7353493
Post by Jack will make you sick.
http://www.volnation.com/forum/tenn...omparing-programs-tn-vs-nd-2.html#post7353493
Post by Jack will make you sick.
From my understanding the statements from Kelly in Jack's post are pretty spot on. Hamilton - the gift that keeps on giving. He became enamored with the Kiffin's, which was helped by Majors' relationship with Monte. He is no longer our AD as a result.
Kelly was my #1 choice by far. He had very successfully built 2 programs from little to nothing. He has an innovative offensive mind, like Spurrier. You knew one side of the ball was taken care of with your head coach, very unlike the current situation. He is a non-nonsense guy - team discipline would have been right. He is a great fund raiser and communicator to the fan base. IMO had he received and accepted the UT job he would not have left for ND, even though it is his dream job. All evidence from his past history indicates that he jumps into the job he has and will not turn from it until it is completed. He left Cincy because he had done everything that could be done at that school. They needed serious facilities upgrades that would have taken maybe hundreds of millions of dollars as well as a switch of conferences over time to achieve top tier status. The commitment to do that over a relatively short period of time was not there. It is Cincy - versus an Ohio State. He rightly moved on.
So the answer is Hamilton blew it for all of us and we would not be having these Dools goes or stays arguments. We would be competing for SEC championships again. Real deal players know real deal coaches and they sign on with them when they are presented the opportunity. That is happening at ND.
Wow. That is interesting.
At the time we hired Kiffin, I remember Kelly being the other name that got lots of talk. With Lane bringing Monte with him, I thought Kiffin was the better hire. Remember, it wasn't considered as much a rebuilding job back then. It seemed like the Kiffins would be able to recruit and give us a bigger national profile and both had succeeded at a high level (Monte as DC for the Bucs and Lane as OC for USC).
Kelly had a few more question marks. Could he take a program up to a National Championship level? Could his offense work in the SEC? Could he recruit at a level necessary to succeed in the SEC? (Obviously, these questions seem silly considering who we have now, but back then, fans weren't happy with utter mediocrity).
I still think Kiffin would have gotten us built up if not for the USC job (and sure, I have no respect for Kiffin and the way he bolted). Would Kelly have done better? I don't know. I don't think Kelly would have bolted after one year though. Notre Dame wouldn't have been desperate like USC was (remember Carroll put them in a tough spot with the timing of his decision) and I doubt they would have tried to swipe our coach. Plus, I would think Kelly must be more loyal than Kiffin (probably 99% of people are). ND may have been his dream job, but it's also Urban Meyer's and he never bolted. So, in retrospect, hiring Kelly over Kiffin would have been beneficial, just because it would have saved us from Hamilton panicking and hiring Dooley. But who could have predicted that turn of events?
...Also, if Jack's story is accurate and that's the way the hiring went down, then I have even less respect for Hamilton than I did before. That's not how you handle a big hire. You don't tell someone that they basically have a job and should make travel plans and then go back on it like that. No wonder no one wanted to work for Hamilton when the job came open again.
From my understanding the statements from Kelly in Jack's post are pretty spot on. Hamilton - the gift that keeps on giving. He became enamored with the Kiffin's, which was helped by Majors' relationship with Monte. He is no longer our AD as a result.
Kelly was my #1 choice by far. He had very successfully built 2 programs from little to nothing. He has an innovative offensive mind, like Spurrier. You knew one side of the ball was taken care of with your head coach, very unlike the current situation. He is a non-nonsense guy - team discipline would have been right. He is a great fund raiser and communicator to the fan base. IMO had he received and accepted the UT job he would not have left for ND, even though it is his dream job. All evidence from his past history indicates that he jumps into the job he has and will not turn from it until it is completed. He left Cincy because he had done everything that could be done at that school. They needed serious facilities upgrades that would have taken maybe hundreds of millions of dollars as well as a switch of conferences over time to achieve top tier status. The commitment to do that over a relatively short period of time was not there. It is Cincy - versus an Ohio State. He rightly moved on.
So the answer is Hamilton blew it for all of us and we would not be having these Dools goes or stays arguments. We would be competing for SEC championships again. Real deal players know real deal coaches and they sign on with them when they are presented the opportunity. That is happening at ND.