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He was basing the self defense mostly on Zimmerman's account of the incident.
The witness's account does nothing good or bad for Zimmerman since he only saw it after the fight started. Had someone seen that TM did actually initiate everything - then he would likely be clear and no questions asked.
Unfortunatley, at this time, that is all we have to go on.
You seem to be confused as to who the burden of PROOF falls on here. As LG has said, the ploce have NO EVIDENCE to charge Zimmerman with at this time. I have not declared him squat, I have oniy taken the emotion, that clouds your judgement, out of the equation. It is not what the investigators THINK happenned, it is what can be PROVED.
Zimmerman might have stalked TM and killed him in cold blood, but that is not what the evidence says happened.