I wasn't exactly asking the question to see if we can win the whole thing. People are saying we're too small to make the Elite 8. Tons of teams with our size have done very very well. Please follow along better.
The raw odds of any given team making the Final Four is 1 in 16. But not all teams are created equal.
I think your odds of making it to the Sweet Sixteen are excellent. I'd put you at about 1 in 6 to make it to the Final Four. So what's that, about 18 percent? Seems right.
I see the Vols in the "sweet 16" against OSU. I'd call it a miracle if the beat the Buckeyes.
As long as the Gators don't make it that will be fine with me. I have Georgetown as the dark horse. They'll play UNC in the regional with the winner advancing to the Final 4!
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