All things STOCKS

[Jax_Vol]

Honestly, I dont know. She's underperformed by such a wide margin for a long time I dont understand why anybody pays her any attention...

Her biggest skill isnt running a fund but convincing investors that she's good at it.....

I just checked. ARKW is down nearly 10% YTD. The QQQ and other benchmarks are up nearly 10%...

Image is everything....?

Can't put gas into your car with 'image' but it worked for her.

My memory is really fuzzy, but seems she had a monster year right before pandemic. She caught the attention of people "working" from home. I was on her nightly mailing list for about a year. Lost money on that. I liked the little glasses she wore... Horn-dawg to the end..

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

Image is everything....?

Can't put gas into your car with 'image' but it worked for her.

My memory is really fuzzy, but seems she had a monster year right before pandemic. She caught the attention of people "working" from home. I was on her nightly mailing list for about a year. Lost money on that. I liked the little glasses she wore... Horn-dawg to the end..

She did well in 2020. She knocked it out of the park. But since then, she has been in the bottom 1% by a wide margin...

 

[Jax_Vol]

She did well in 2020. She knocked it out of the park. But since then, she has been in the bottom 1% by a wide margin...

I never did buy her funds. But, remember buying one of her holdings after she had accumulated a mass. Wasn't good of course..

Now that I recall details, the stock symbol was actually MASS.

Hmmm...maybe that should have tipped me off.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

The QQQ has doubled the past 5 years. Other innovation heavy benchmarks have done better than that.

ARKW is down 7% in that same timeframe.

I bought ARKW 5/6/2022 at $60. It’s gained 128%.

Also bought 4 years ago:
ARKF (+20%)
ARKG (-8%)
ARKK (+10%)

Fortunately I took the smallest position of the 4 in ARKG. (1) ARKK, (2) ARKW, (3) ARKF, (4) ARKG with a large gap in my allocation between (2) and (3).

They’ve performed poorly in down markets and have done well in the up markets. I’ll probably start selling some covered calls if the overall market goes up about 10% from here.

 

[InVOLuntary]

Any thoughts here on the IPO REA?

 

[DinkinFlicka]

4 full months into 2026, and I'm stoked to be significantly outperforming the major indices (even the Russell!)

 

[Jax_Vol]

Any thoughts here on the IPO REA?

For the USA part of that in Georgia, I would be afraid that our OSHA has ruined hole digging for everyone.

Back a hundred years ago, we could dangle men off the Hoover Dam with a kite string, or send 50 brave souls down a West Virginia shaft with a lunch pail & candle.

Now days, if one guy squeezes, the Safety guy shuts everything down for a six-week deep dive generating a Cause and Effect diagram.

Now Brazil may still have their Brazilian nuts, but ours are in our wife's purse.

It'll be at $12 by Christmas IMO..

 

[InVOLuntary]

Anyone thinking about jumping on the SpaceX ipo?

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Anyone thinking about jumping on the SapceX ipo?

Thinking about, yes. Likely to buy at the IPO? Probably not. It could react differently being a total valuation of over a trillion, but it seems like these high profile IPOs soar on day one and retail investors buying in at that time lose up to half of their investment for the next several months and might get back to even in a year or two. Facebook and Google might have been exceptions.

I’d only be long around the IPO if I was allocated shares from a broker at the IPO price.

I think that SpaceX and TSLA might eventually combine into one company, so I’d rather buy TSLA shares. But I don’t think I’ll speculate on that possible arbitrage.

 

[Jax_Vol]

Anyone thinking about jumping on the SpaceX ipo?

Yes on that one!

Pondering it...

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

I wouldn’t get drawn in after the initial day 1 run up. The initial pop could even continue for a few days considering the hype along with the huge trillion+ valuation. And the mood of the overall market around the IPO date. Getting shares at the announced IPO price might work out.

Long term it will be interesting. Will it mostly be a space vehicle company? Mostly the owner of a communications satellite network? A massive tech conglomerate? Will Mars, the Moon, defense, and space exploration government contracts plateau, grow, or shrink?

Institutional and fund money will sustain a huge market cap. Can it go to $10 trillion? $20 trillion? $50 trillion?

Maybe owning shares of T-Mobile along with GE Aerospace present a simikar opportunity?

 

[05_never_again]

The market doesn't seem to care at all about oil going up anymore. Highest levels since 4/12 in WTI, and highest since mid-March in Brent. I think it's moved on to earnings season barring a restart of the war, although there's no end in sight for this blockade either.

 

[lawgator1]

The market doesn't seem to care at all about oil going up anymore. Highest levels since 4/12 in WTI, and highest since mid-March in Brent. I think it's moved on to earnings season barring a restart of the war, although there's no end in sight for this blockade either.

Its a weird situation. Seems like neither side wants to start shooting again, but neither does anyone feel compelled to give up whatever economic leverage/pressure they might have.

 

[walkenvol]

Honestly, I dont know. She's underperformed by such a wide margin for a long time I dont understand why anybody pays her any attention...

Her biggest skill isnt running a fund but convincing investors that she's good at it.....

I just checked. ARKW is down nearly 10% YTD. The QQQ and other benchmarks are up nearly 10%...

QQQ up 7.75% YTD …. Wish it was 10%

 

[DinkinFlicka]

Three outta four ain't too bad!

Encouraging to see Azure growth, GOOG absolutely crushed EPS, and AMZN was perfectly adequate.

I can't say META is surprising.

 

[Jax_Vol]

Three outta four ain't too bad!

Encouraging to see Azure growth, GOOG absolutely crushed EPS, and AMZN was perfectly adequate.

I can't say META is surprising.

Seems to be all about the AI.

Taking a vote:

Overhyped?

Underhyped?

Not a real thing?

The next dot.com bubble?

Something in the middle?

Something else?

 

[DinkinFlicka]

Seems to be all about the AI.

Taking a vote:

Overhyped?

Underhyped?

Not a real thing?

The next dot.com bubble?

Something in the middle?

Something else?

It's obviously the future of the market for the next hot minute, but we're going to have to see how it fully shakes out the workforce before fair value can be determined.

That's my take.

I also love the photo CNBC uses any time they front page an article about META (the one with Zuck wearing those stupid META Oakley's).

 

[Jax_Vol]

It's obviously the future of the market for the next hot minute, but we're going to have to see how it fully shakes out the workforce before fair value can be determined.

That's my take.

I also love the photo CNBC uses any time they front page an article about META (the one with Zuck wearing those stupid META Oakley's).

Lol...yeah, that is funny. Boy, META taking a beating here.

Think I will ask my Google AI assistant what it thinks of AI.

Could also ask Alexia, Arlo the door camera, plus my smart ceiling fans.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Like dot coms in a sense that it’s revolutionary and mandatory.

Unlike dot coms in that investors with knowledge or experience of/with the dot com bubble are far more aware or skeptical of getting burned. But also seeing that the best of the survivors have become huge US companies.

AI is more sophisticated than dot com. It wasn’t hard to slap up web pages. The internet itself was still very new in commercial applications. Fully utilizing AI takes a lot more effort and vision. But once implemented comes with a vast amount of savings and any business that doesn’t adapt it will be left behind.

So it’s a new thing. It’s a very real thing. It isn’t rolling out as quickly as dot com applications.

The cloud and smart phones barely existed when dot com hit and things like e-mail and search were primitive. WANs and LANs were the big, new shiny tech things.

There was a lot of fraud around the dot com bubble. Accounting principles weren’t well established. Companies put banner ads on each other’s web sites and booked massive amounts of inflated revenues. So many companies became way overvalued if priced in the equity markets as a multiple of sales.

On the hardware side, China dumping and stealing IP wasn’t something that many saw coming. JDS Uniphase is exhibit A. It looked like a perfect business selling all of the picks and shovels. There were no guardrails with China and they priced them into oblivion.

So long story short. It’s different largely based on the dot com bubble experiences.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

I’m glad to see a real, non-tech business killing it today. CAT.

 

[Jax_Vol]

I’m glad to see a real, non-tech business killing it today. CAT.

Go USA!!!

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Go USA!!!

Turns out it’s only up 5% in the pre-markets. But it has had a very nice longer term run.

Maybe it’s time to revisit the names that ought to do well with the government stimulated spending on all things manufacturing, infrastructure, and power generation and distribution.

URI
MLM and other materials or engineering (KBR?).
etc

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

GOOGL is up 7-8% in the pre-market. Even though it’s blowing through its 52-week high, don’t forget that if the Waymo spin off ever gets rolling it will generate a lot of investor interest.

30x

$2.3 trillion market cap

0.24% dividend yield… they could easily raise the amount every year for decades.

77.5% institutional ownership.

 

[JFreak]

Nice lil fakeout this AM.

 

[InVOLuntary]

This Ai thing has so many applications. I'm taken a back ny just the regular user interface. I use a Samsung phone and drive a Ford F250 pickup. It has the new android auto interface. It does so much more than just control the phone like it used to. It now uses Gemini. You cam literally ask it anything and it will converse with you onnthe subject.