2025 SEC Championship Game 12-8 4pm ET Georgia vs. Bama

who wins?

  • Total voters
    5
#2
#2
Looking at the remaining schedules...
aTm - @mizzu, sc-jr, and @tu, I think they run the table
gumps - lsu, okie, @aubie, I think they run the table.

ole miss and the north ga leghumpers dont look like they have any losses remaining.
candy and tu may end up with 1 or 2 more losses... they play each other on 11-1

Tiebreakers... only aTm controls its destiny with 2 weeks to go.

Texas A&M reaches SEC Championship if ...
Beat Texas OR
Auburn beats Alabama, Mississippi State beats Ole Miss

Alabama reaches SEC Championship if ...
Beat Auburn, Texas beats Texas A&M OR
Beat Auburn, Mississippi State beats Ole Miss OR
Beat Auburn; Alabama wins three-way tie with Ole Miss/Georgia based on SEC opponent winning percentage

Georgia reaches SEC Championship if ...
Auburn beats Alabama OR
Texas beats Texas A&M OR
Ole Miss beats Mississippi State; Georgia wins three-way tie with Alabama/Ole Miss based on SEC opponent winning percentage

Ole Miss reaches SEC Championship if ...
Beat Mississippi State, Texas beats Texas A&M, Auburn beats Alabama

www.cbssports.com

Updated SEC Championship tiebreakers: What must happen for Texas A&M, Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss

After another chaotic college football Saturday, here is where things stand in the race to the SEC title
www.cbssports.com www.cbssports.com
 
Last edited:
#4
#4
VolCalls said:
I think there’s going to be a 4-way tie of one loss teams. Who goes in that scenario - Bama and A&M?
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That’s what sounds right to me. I mean you can’t put GA in over Bama, and you can’t put Ole Miss in over GA. I’ll be very surprised if it isn’t Bama and aTm in that situation. Yet, I guess according to the OP we will refer to SEC opponents winning % in such a case. I just don’t care enough at this stage to try and figure who has the best path. Revisit after next Saturday is what I’m thinking.
 
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#5
#5
DirtyDawg said:
That’s what sounds right to me. I mean you can’t put GA in over Bama, and you can’t put Ole Miss in over GA. I’ll be very surprised if it isn’t Bama and aTm in that situation. Yet, I guess according to the OP we will refer to SEC opponents winning % in such a case. I just don’t care enough at this stage to try and figure who has the best path. Revisit after next Saturday is what I’m thinking.
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Nothing will change since none of those four play a conference game next Saturday. The above scenario is what it will be going into the final weekend.
 
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#6
#6
VolCalls said:
Nothing will change since none of those four play a conference game next Saturday. The above scenario is what it will be going into the final weekend.
Click to expand...
So UGA is pulling for UT against Vandy, Texas against A&M, and Auburn against Bama.

Winning the SEC matters, but I won’t lie—letting Bama and A&M duke it out sounds fine to me. A first-round draw in the playoff will likely be an easier team than either of those.
 
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#7
#7
VolCalls said:
Nothing will change since none of those four play a conference game next Saturday. The above scenario is what it will be going into the final weekend.
Click to expand...
I didn’t even realize this, just hadn’t paid close attention. I’m certainly not 100%, but I feel pretty confident that if Bama beats Auburn they are in. Comes down to 3 games I guess, in Mississippi, in Alabama, and in Texas.

I think aTm takes care of Texas and Bama takes care of Auburn and it’s aTm vs Bama. Who knows though, that game in Alabama is on the plains! Ive seen some crazy shite happen in that stadium! Kinda cool though, being that it’s not going to be decided until the last week. Good football!
 
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#9
#9
unfrozencvmanvol said:
This website answers all SEC tiebreaker questions:

mred's SEC FB Standings Generator

Southeastern Conference Football Standings with Tiebreakers
bball.notnothing.net
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Interesting, A&M has to beat Texas. If they lose, they need lots of help. And Ole Miss’ only chance is if both A&M and Bama lose. Georgia just has to sit back and watch it play out.

To answer my original question based on four teams with one loss, it will be an Alabama-Georgia rematch.
 
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#10
#10
VolCalls said:
Interesting, A&M has to beat Texas. If they lose, they need lots of help. And Ole Miss’ only chance is if both A&M and Bama lose. Georgia just has to sit back and watch it play out.

To answer my original question based on four teams with one loss, it will be an Alabama-Georgia rematch.
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A&M's strength of schedule within the conference is terrible so that's why they are at such a disadvantage if they lose even one game.
 
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#11
#11
The SECCG is a meaningless game now. Should turn it into a play-in game between the 4th and 5th or 5th and 6th place SEC teams for the conferences last playoff spot.
 
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#13
#13
Visidog said:
So UGA is pulling for UT against Vandy, Texas against A&M, and Auburn against Bama.

Winning the SEC matters, but I won’t lie—letting Bama and A&M duke it out sounds fine to me. A first-round draw in the playoff will likely be an easier team than either of those.
Click to expand...
More UGA is pulling for Texas beating A&M above all else, followed by Auburn against Alabama to a lesser level (if A&M wins).

The way the SEC SOS numbers are, UT/Vandy doesn't really do much of anything (if even anything) at all for them (unless you're projecting for like not only UF to beat UT but also Arkansas to beat Texas AND Arkansas to beat Missouri...then it could actually do something).
 
#14
#14
TrueOrange said:
I mean, that is a way for the conference to make less money off of it.
Click to expand...

You think Bama really wants to play in the championship game this year? Hell no

They lose and they are basically out of the playoffs.

I don't necessarily agree with that scenario, but it's where we are.

With the current setup, having to play the championship game is a curse anyway. Risk for additional injuries, etc before the playoffs just means both teams trying to get out of the game intact. Last thing anyone wants is another Pro Bowl type situation.

Might as well make the game mean something in being a play in game.
 
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#15
#15
TrueOrange said:
I mean, that is a way for the conference to make less money off of it.
Click to expand...

I think it would draw more eyeballs. Do you really GAS about the game if the Vols aren't in it?

I could be completely off base but I'd be more interested in a play-in game than a championship game that has little to no bearing on the playoffs.
 
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#16
#16
TrueOrange said:
More UGA is pulling for Texas beating A&M above all else, followed by Auburn against Alabama to a lesser level (if A&M wins).

The way the SEC SOS numbers are, UT/Vandy doesn't really do much of anything (if even anything) at all for them (unless you're projecting for like not only UF to beat UT but also Arkansas to beat Texas AND Arkansas to beat Missouri...then it could actually do something).
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I know Smart has talked about wanting to play in the SECCG, but UGA is projected to be a four seed if it misses the game, while the loser of the SECCG likely won’t get a bye in the playoff. That seems like a serious problem for the conference—sitting out means UGA would play 14 games if it makes the national championship, while the SECCG loser would have to play 16.
 
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#17
#17
TAMU v UGA is gonna be an interesting matchup. TAMU cannot play anything like they did against SC. You are coming back from a 4 TD deficit against UGA.
 
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#19
#19
A&M will beat tessus. Tessus can’t run the ball, and that is A&M’s Achilles heel. A&M’s receivers will run circles around the tessus secondary.
 
#20
#20
zooguy said:
A&M will beat tessus. Tessus can’t run the ball, and that is A&M’s Achilles heel. A&M’s receivers will run circles around the tessus secondary.
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Looks like A&M is 38th nationally defending the pass and also 38th nationally defending the run. Doesn't seem like one is more their heel than the other.
 
#21
#21
TrueOrange said:
Looks like A&M is 38th nationally defending the pass and also 38th nationally defending the run. Doesn't seem like one is more their heel than the other.
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They gave up 203 rushing yards to UTSA, 268 to Arky, and 207 to Mizzou.

That’s were they are most vulnerable - a team that can run the ball and keep it away from their offense. Mizzou had two 100 yard rushers - they just couldn’t pass the ball - A&M made them one-dimensional.
 
#22
#22
stolitonic said:
You think Bama really wants to play in the championship game this year? Hell no

They lose and they are basically out of the playoffs.

I don't necessarily agree with that scenario, but it's where we are.

With the current setup, having to play the championship game is a curse anyway. Risk for additional injuries, etc before the playoffs just means both teams trying to get out of the game intact. Last thing anyone wants is another Pro Bowl type situation.

Might as well make the game mean something in being a play in game.
Click to expand...

The playoff committee has basically confirmed that they are not dropping anyone out of the playoffs who was already in the Top 12 before they competed in their Conference Championship game. They will simply shift someone out of the top 12 who was idle during Championship week.
 
#23
#23
Visidog said:
I know Smart has talked about wanting to play in the SECCG, but UGA is projected to be a four seed if it misses the game, while the loser of the SECCG likely won’t get a bye in the playoff. That seems like a serious problem for the conference—sitting out means UGA would play 14 games if it makes the national championship, while the SECCG loser would have to play 16.
Click to expand...
Maybe. It depends on the record of each team before the Championship games and then who wins the conference and by how much. The only reason UGA is currently projected to get a top 4 seed is because they currently rank higher than Texas Tech. But Texas Tech most likely plays in the Big 12 championship game against a ranked opponent while UGA will be idle. If current #5 Texas Tech wins the Big 12 with only 1 loss, I would say it's pretty likely that they jump UGA. Especially if they beat a 1 loss top 12 BYU team in the Championship game. I am less convinced that BYU can jump 4-5 spots to get a BYE if they beat Tech in the B12CG, but I suppose it's a possibility.

Indiana and OSU are probably going to meet undefeated in the B1G title game. Unless 1 team dominates the other, both can be safely assumed to receive a BYE in that scenario.

And the SEC winner will almost assuredly get a BYE, even if it's Bama with 2 losses. And in the event OSU loses to Michigan, Bama and A&M would both get BYEs if Bama beats an undefeated A&M in the title game.
 
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#24
#24
Carp said:
Maybe. It depends on the record of each team before the Championship games and then who wins the conference and by how much. The only reason UGA is currently projected to get a top 4 seed is because they currently rank higher than Texas Tech. But Texas Tech most likely plays in the Big 12 championship game against a ranked opponent while UGA will be idle. If current #5 Texas Tech wins the Big 12 with only 1 loss, I would say it's pretty likely that they jump UGA. Especially if they beat a 1 loss top 12 BYU team in the Championship game. I am less convinced that BYU can jump 4-5 spots to get a BYE if they beat Tech in the B12CG, but I suppose it's a possibility.

Indiana and OSU are probably going to meet undefeated in the B1G title game. Unless 1 team dominates the other, both can be safely assumed to receive a BYE in that scenario.

And the SEC winner will almost assuredly get a BYE, even if it's Bama with 2 losses. And in the event OSU loses to Michigan, Bama and A&M would both get BYEs if Bama beats an undefeated A&M in the title game.
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All fair. Things have a way of shaking out. But UGA does get to play currently 1-loss GT after Thanksgiving and will have a much better resume (assuming a win) than TT will (though without a conference championship).

it’s a bad precedent for a team that doesn’t play in a conference championship to get a bye over a team that did. I bet the committee will avoid that result.
 
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#25
#25
UGA will have certainly better wins than TT for sure, but UGA will also have played 1 less game in that scenario. And that's likely a big deal to the CFP committee.

I think GT is going to beat UGA anyways. They should have won last year with better play calling (and better officiating).
 
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