Road to Playoffs IMO - Post UK

#101
#101
VolCalls said:
The SEC should get 4 and COULD get 5 if the chips fall their way. We need enough chaos so the ACC and Big 12 only get one team. ND is in if they run the table, and the B1G will only get three - Oregon, OSU, Indiana.
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A lot of the ACC/Big 12 chaos already happened this weekend with Miami and Texas Tech losing to unranked teams.
 
#103
#103
deatojl said:
A lot of the ACC/Big 12 chaos already happened this weekend with Miami and Texas Tech losing to unranked teams.
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Yes but both of those could still find a way in, and you still have undefeated Georgia Tech and BYU. If all four of those have one loss or less that would likely leave a 5th SEC team out.
 
#104
#104
Dont see it happening with this defense. Most likely choke to UF on the road or drop one of the OKLA/Vandy games.
 
#108
#108
If I had to guess as of right now, here are the teams I would say are pretty safe bets to be in the playoffs:
Big 10: Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon
ACC: Whomever wins the CG
Big 12: Whomever wins the CG
SEC: Alabama, Georgia, A&M(unless they lose a couple)
G5 champ

If A&M gets in, that would leave 4 open spots.
Big 10 only gets a fourth team if USC wins out, including a win @Oregon(which would put them in danger) or Michigan wins out with a win over Ohio State.
Big 12 only gets a second team if BYU goes undefeated including a win @ Texas tech but loses a close game in the CG.
ACC likely only gets a second team if Miami wins out but doesn't make the CG.
ND will be debatable even if they win out with USC being their only decent win.
SEC would have Tennessee, Ole Miss, Missouri, and Vandy as potential candidates if they finish 10-2. For all four to finish 10-2(or better), that would mean we beat Vandy and Vandy beat Missouri and would also mean Missouri beats A&M.
 
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#110
#110
deatojl said:
If I had to guess as of right now, here are the teams I would say are pretty safe bets to be in the playoffs:
Big 10: Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon
ACC: Whomever wins the CG
Big 12: Whomever wins the CG
SEC: Alabama, Georgia, A&M(unless they lose a couple)
G5 champ

If A&M gets in, that would leave 4 open spots.
Big 10 only gets a fourth team if USC wins out, including a win @Oregon(which would put them in danger) or Michigan wins out with a win over Ohio State.
Big 12 only gets a second team if BYU goes undefeated including a win @ Texas tech but loses a close game in the CG.
ACC likely only gets a second team if Miami wins out but doesn't make the CG.
ND will be debatable even if they win out with USC being their only decent win.
SEC would have Tennessee, Ole Miss, Missouri, and Vandy as potential candidates if they finish 10-2. For all four to finish 10-2(or better), that would mean we beat Vandy and Vandy beat Missouri and would also mean Missouri beats A&M.
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This is possible, I could see it. I’m worried about the Big 12 or ACC getting 2 teams in. I think it’s highly likely they put notre dame in.

10-2 in SEC should get you in, but I think there may be as many as 3-4 teams vying for one spot.

All this based on how CFP has shaken out in past and how the rankings have been handled so far this year.

When do first official CFP rankings come out?
 
#111
#111
Adam Sandler said:
Need to win out, obviously.

Probably need uga and bama to win out for sake of our resume. Need our opponents on schedule to win as many games as possible while dropping games to us or others enough to not beat us out for spots. It would be tremendous for msu, ark, vandy, Kentucky, uf to cause some chaos with the teams currently slated ahead of us.

If 4 SEC teams make it (only 3 made it last year: Texas, uga, Tennessee), need one of ole miss or tamu to fall short, preferably in a late season collapse type of way or bad losses. If only 3 make it in, we are a long shot.

Bama, uga, 2 of ole miss/tamu/Tennessee (IF 4 SEC make it in)

Others to fall:

Ole miss (UNLIKELY):
Needs to lose at least 1 (if late in season or to really bad team), or maybe 2.
- at Oklahoma or against Florida at home look like only realistic possiblities

TAMU (50/50 Likelihood):
Needs to lose AT LEAST 2, and timing probably matters. Late season would be best, or losses to bad teams.
- possibilities include: lsu, mizzou, Texas

Oklahoma (LIKELY):
Needs to lose to us AND 1 of:
- ole miss, bama, Mizzou, lsu

Texas (LIKELY):
Needs to lose 1
- uga, Vandy, ark, tamu, msu

Vandy (LIKELY)
Needs to lose to us
- other potential losses to Mizzou, Texas, Auburn, kentucky

Mizzou (LIKELY):
Need to lose 1
- Possibilities: Vandy, Tamu, OU, ark

Non-SEC Needs (WHO KNOWS):
- BYU lose a couple, so only one Big12 gets in (presumably TTU)
- multiple ACC teams lose a couple, enough that only 1 team from that conference gets in of Miami/GT/Louisville/UVA
- ND lose to Pitt
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Ole Miss is losing to OU this weekend. It's all irrelevant, we aren't beating Fla in the Swamp. It's been 22 years and until we can it's considered a loss.
 
#112
#112
The cutoff is 4th in SEC standings to have the chance to make playoffs. Depending on who wins/loses in the SEC champ will determine if SEC gets 3 or 4.
It’s in our best interest for Alabama and Georgia to play in the SEC champ game
 
#114
#114
EastTNVol6240 said:
lol you’re pretty far off with this “boomer” assumption. And as I said. You’ll see 14-15 in a black and white ranking tomorrow. But you won’t believe it and will make 137 excuses. Then when we drop another you’ll have more when we hit that 20 mark.

Mediocre isn’t a generation Ricky. It’s a mindset. And you full on embrace it.
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Sounds like you want TN to lose another game. If we beat UK and OU, we will be favored the rest of the way. 10-2 gets you in the playoff.
 
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#115
#115
KeyVol14 said:
Sounds like you want TN to lose another game. If we beat UK and OU, we will be favored the rest of the way. 10-2 gets you in the playoff.
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Vandy was favored over the #10 team in the country. I would NOT assume we are favored the rest of the way.
 
#117
#117
KeyVol14 said:
LSU has looked like pretenders all year. At no point has there QB looked like a first round pick this year. Vandy will be tough but we’re almost automatic at home
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first of all that's not the same thing as being favored by Vegas. second of all I sure would not want to be the one saying LSU has looked like pretenders while Tennessee has also looked like a pretender.
 
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