Not at all. They either found something on Simpson/Bama's passing game or he was just green, but if we also keep him to only 5.9 YPA and 9 carries for 17 yds, we are winning this game.
They aren't "the red team" anymore...
Yes, they're still absurdly talented (78% BCR). But a ~2.2 average player ranking advantage over us is half or more than what it was once (5-6 points many seasons). We are fully capable, but on the road, we need to play at a very, very high level. Over the last 4 seasons we win 47% on the road. 25% vs ranked opps...which is, just coincidentally, what a 9 pt spread represents.
Now excuse me while I get off my fence
GDBO!!