Iran

#6,180
#6,180
Vol8188 said:
American’s didn’t install a theocrat. Iranians did because they didn’t like secular path they were one.

It’s absurd to blame America for Iranians abandoning secularism 24 years later, yes.

At some point Iranians need to accept that they have agency.
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They have agency for sure. So do we.
 
#6,182
#6,182
From Grok:
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To estimate the odds of a 79-year-old man living to at least 83 years old, we can use life expectancy data and survival probabilities from actuarial tables or population studies. Based on general demographic data for the United States (e.g., from the Social Security Administration or CDC life tables), we can derive a reasonable estimate.For a 79-year-old man in the U.S., the average life expectancy is approximately 8-9 additional years, meaning they are expected to live to around 87-88 years old. However, this is an average, and we need the probability of surviving at least 4 more years (to age 83).According to the Social Security Administration’s 2020 actuarial life tables (one of the most recent comprehensive datasets), the probability of a 79-year-old man surviving to age 83 can be approximated by looking at annual survival probabilities. On average, for men in this age group, the annual mortality rate is roughly 4-5% per year, meaning the survival probability per year is about 95-96%. Over 4 years, the cumulative survival probability can be estimated as:\[ \text{Survival probability} \approx (0.955)^4 \approx 0.83 \]

This suggests an approximately 83% chance of surviving from age 79 to 83, assuming average health and no specific risk factors. In betting terms, the odds of living to 83 are roughly 83% (or about 5:1 in favor of survival).
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#6,187
#6,187
You guys are turning this into some kind of defensive position on Trump’s survivability past this term. Touchy touchy. Don’t be so tense. The original comment I made was a prediction that Trump would not leave office if he is alive for the next term. Let’s keep the main thing, the main thing.
 
#6,192
#6,192
Vol8188 said:
We didn’t install some religious fanatic. The Iranians did that.
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Oh I know. The point there was we installed a dictator in 1953 that oppressed the Iranian people to the point they sided with religious fanatics. If we didn't install the Shah in 53 then maybe the Islamic Revolution in 79 never happens. That was my point with regard to how we ended up creating the current Iranian regime. I never said we installed the Ayatollahs. The Iranian people did in response to our meddling.
 
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#6,193
#6,193
hog88 said:
Be thankful we did use a couple nukes in 1945. Dropping those two bombs has prevented another one from being used since.
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I'm sure the Japanese in Hiroshima and Nagasaki aren't thankful.

You need to stop being so selfish and think about other human beings for once.
 
#6,194
#6,194
Firebirdparts said:
You are very impaired with regards to your understanding of football and evil. This is insane. total brainwashing.

In the 20th century, communists killed about 60 to 100 million of their own citizens. Not in a war, just come to your house and kill you. Torture you first, of course. Don't want to leave that out.
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I said single act. As in one decision or move rather than thousands of different actions and moves. There's a reason nuclear bombs are considered weapons of mass destruction. Because they do more damage in one action than any other weapon.
 
#6,195
#6,195
Orangeslice13 said:
How can you be so sure it wasn’t Hamas?

My issue with you is you ignore anything that Hamas does and latch on to every piece of propaganda that Hamas puts out. Most of them are debunked as lies and you move to the next without acknowledging the lies. And you seriously lack consistency you have not called out Hamas one single time.


Was that child the one wearing the explosive vest?
Why is Hamas putting explosives on children?
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Wow, talk about accusations in a mirror.
 
#6,197
#6,197
CobbWebb71 said:
This aged well...about 12 days
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Oh but I thought Iran were religious fanatics who couldn't be trusted to not use a nuke the second they develop it. That's why we had to attack them.

And now we're trusting the same religious fanatics that would use a nuke if they had one with a ceasefire?

Look at the end of the day either Iran is a rational player on the world stage or a bunch of religious fanatics that can't be trusted. You can't have it both ways. You can't tell me that we had to attack them because they can't be trusted but then turn around declare victory when they agree to a ceasefire like any other rational actor.
 
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