2024 Presidential Race

#49,476
#49,476
BigOrangeMojo said:
No chance of that happening....

She gonna need to win popular vote by +3 to have any kind of chance of winning EC...
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Trump is leading in some polls now, and still could lose the battleground states..I have seen political pundits even discuss it. Your +3 narrative is just based on 2016 and 2020 paths that just happened to occur, but doesnt make it the only visble possibility.
 
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#49,477
#49,477
Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states and the candidates tie 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Joe Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points). Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58-39%).
That raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. In 2000 and 2016, it was the GOP candidate who lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.



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#49,480
#49,480
Orangeburst said:
Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states and the candidates tie 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Joe Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points). Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58-39%).
That raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. In 2000 and 2016, it was the GOP candidate who lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.



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She’s not sniffing the EC. Trump polls higher (3+) than the numbers presented and she’s doing suicide interviews praying. She wouldn’t be doing the interviews if she was up as your numbers say. She would be in protecting mode which is where Trump is.
 
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#49,481
#49,481
Majors said:
She’s not sniffing the EC. Trump polls higher than the numbers presented and she’s doing suicide interviews praying. She wouldn’t be doing the interviews if she was up as your numbers say. She would be in protecting mode which is where Trump is.
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Then the polls are very incorrect. much more than the 2% thatHalperin discussed.
 
#49,482
#49,482
Orangeburst said:
Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states and the candidates tie 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Joe Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points). Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58-39%).
That raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. In 2000 and 2016, it was the GOP candidate who lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.



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I don't know how they got her up 6 points in swing states given the RCP average has Trump up .7

www.realclearpolling.com

Top Battlegrounds – RCP Average

www.realclearpolling.com www.realclearpolling.com
 
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#49,493
#49,493
Ritzwatch said:
🙋🏽‍♂️

Well, not really because of dislike of Harris, but certainly I dislike what I believe her real policies to be, as well as her apparent disingenuousness when discussing them.

More importantly, most importantly, I am a parent of a three teenage boys, and I appreciate the fact the globe wasn’t on the verge of WW III when Trump was president. I can only *hope* we could return to relative peace if he were re-elected. Who knows?🤷‍♂️
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Well, you assume that Trump's conceding Ukraine to Putin, or bombing Iran to be a tough guy, makes the world safer. I disagree with that assessment for reasons previously stated many times.
 
#49,495
#49,495
Majors said:
Because they have to defend her getting dragged around. They’ll need to make Bret be the bad guy to take the heat away from how bad she was.
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I've only seen about 5 minutes of it and it seemed ok, not really remarkable. Pretty much how Trump has done when not interviewed surrounded by cult members.
 
#49,496
#49,496
Orangeburst said:
she might literally be the worst major party candidate to run in a general election in modern history. she has got nothing, not even likeability. not even the people that will vote for her like her or support her..
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she has as many presidential primary votes as you pal
 
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#49,498
#49,498
lawgator1 said:
I'm not endorsing her.

I'm saying Trump had to be kept out of the White House. Just look at the loooooooonnnnngggggg list of officials in his last administration who say the man is dangerous and unfit at so many levels.
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He’s only dangerous to those that’s been bought and paid for.
 
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#49,500
#49,500
Orangeburst said:
Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states and the candidates tie 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Joe Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points). Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58-39%).
That raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. In 2000 and 2016, it was the GOP candidate who lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.



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If Harris's campaign's own polling didnt show her seriously behind, she would never have sat down for the beating she got on Fox today by Brett Baier.
 
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