2024 Presidential Race

#38,676
#38,676
Buddy’s Bandit said:
Trafagler (only one to predict last two elections) is actually better for Trump than RCP. RCP takes the average of 8-10 polls (including CNN/ABC) so I dont consider them “right leaning” .
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RCP leans right. Not like Rasmussen but they do

Typically 3rd parties only receive 60-70% of national average in swing states on election day.

Typically 3rd parties lose 1/4 to 1/3 of polling support the last 90 days of campaign.

Today's announcement helps DJT but its moving it just a couple tenths at most. If Trump wins a state by .25%, this may have done it. If Trump wins by 1%, Trump would have won it either way....
 
#38,677
#38,677
BernardKingGOAT said:
You fold up like a 5 year old tent when asked about specifics of your dumbed downed claims. Actually makes for a decent troll because your responses generally illicit a laugh. I think you know it more entertaining than anything. Admit it
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You don't decide anything. You're nothing. I destroy you and your ilk at every turn, you're just too stupid to see it. hahahahahaha. You're friend did the airport departure thing earlier, you're too stupid to. hahahahahaha
 
#38,679
#38,679
Septic said:
Trumps platform is actually pretty good (IMO) and I think most rational people would identify it as being more preferential. The problem with Donny's platform is that he's the one on it.

It really can't be overstated that if Trump loses, it won't be because of policy - it will be because he or his handlers couldn't shut him TF up. His ego and his mouth are his own worst enemy.
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Wow a post from you that actually has merit.

You're spot on. It's really sad that people now have such tender feelings that they can't see what's better for the country and will vote based on genitalia AND skin color.

It's going to kill the Republic
 
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#38,680
#38,680
CobbVol said:
The sad fact is one of these is going to happen after the election:

1) We will have a socialist/communist administration in the WH for 8 years, or
2) We will have Trump in the WH for 4 years.
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If Kameltoe wins, there will never be another Republican president because the borders will be flung open so that anyone who can walk in will be allowed in and be given the right to vote. They will all vote for the ones that made it possible.
 
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#38,681
#38,681
BernardKingGOAT said:
Many of his so called supporters are fed up with both the Democrats and Trump. For many he was just a more common sense, moderate alternative. Which will weigh more heavily for them? Their disdain for Harris's policy positions or their dislike of Trump? You can't assume his endorsement of Trump will sway a huge majority of supporters his way
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Both sides will claim his endorsement will and it will not. Truth of the matter we will not know until election day and the votes are tallied.
 
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#38,685
#38,685
#38,686
#38,686
SpaceCoastVol said:
If Kameltoe wins, there will never be another Republican president because the borders will be flung open so that anyone who can walk in will be allowed in and be given the right to vote. They will all vote for the ones that made it possible.
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Yes, Kamala has a cameltoe. Probably similar to your wife's cameltoe. 😲
 
#38,688
#38,688
BigOrangeMojo said:
RCP leans right. Not like Rasmussen but they do

Typically 3rd parties only receive 60-70% of national average in swing states on election day.

Typically 3rd parties lose 1/4 to 1/3 of polling support the last 90 days of campaign.

Today's announcement helps DJT but its moving it just a couple tenths at most. If Trump wins a state by .25%, this may have done it. If Trump wins by 1%, Trump would have won it either way....
Click to expand...
RCP leans right by averaging the results of polls from mostly leftist sources?
 
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#38,689
#38,689
BigOrangeMojo said:
RCP leans right. Not like Rasmussen but they do

Typically 3rd parties only receive 60-70% of national average in swing states on election day.

Typically 3rd parties lose 1/4 to 1/3 of polling support the last 90 days of campaign.

Today's announcement helps DJT but its moving it just a couple tenths at most. If Trump wins a state by .25%, this may have done it. If Trump wins by 1%, Trump would have won it either way....
Click to expand...
I like stats…where do you go for your info. RCP , as you know, is an average of 8-10 polls by state. I like that but I want to make sure I am getting the right info. Seems to make sense to me.
 
#38,691
#38,691
SpaceCoastVol said:
Wow a post from you that actually has merit.

You're spot on. It's really sad that people now have such tender feelings that they can't see what's better for the country and will vote based on genitalia AND skin color.

It's going to kill the Republic
Click to expand...
Exhibit 439

Genitalia and skin color?

Biden was an old white male who got 81 million votes.
Genitalia and skin color have absolutely nothing to do with the tens of millions of "anybody but trump" votes.
 
#38,692
#38,692
BigOrangeMojo said:
That's not going to happen. RFK was already less than 3% in GA and leas than 4% in PA and WI. And those would have decreased closer to November.

If you want to assume that RFK would have got 3% in swing states, how does that get divided. A decent chunk will give Stein their protest vote, a good number will sit out. Trump may win the rest 60/40 but that's barely moving the needle. It's not flipping a state that Trump is down by more than 1%...
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I wonder how many of those RFK voters are protest votes vs true believers. If I thought he was the best possible option, getting him in Trump's cabinet to influence policy would be a strong motivator.
 
#38,693
#38,693
Buddy’s Bandit said:
I like stats…where do you go for your info. RCP , as you know, is an average of 8-10 polls by state. I like that but I want to make sure I am getting the right info. Seems to make sense to me.
Click to expand...
If you like stats, check out details of the Fed adjustment to rates over the last 40 years, and it's affect to the differing administrations' economic models

Always look at the leading indicators at the start of a new administration
 
#38,696
#38,696
The substance behind Kennedy endorsement is not the numbers….its’s symbolic. John/Robert /Jr Kennedy today are Conservative. The policy of the Democratic Party has left the Democrats!!
 
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#38,697
#38,697
Buddy’s Bandit said:
The substance behind Kennedy endorsement is not the numbers….its’s symbolic. John/Robert /Jr Kennedy today are Conservative. The policy of the Democratic Party has left the Democrats!!
Click to expand...
You really believe RFK Jr's endorsement carries anywhere near the weight of his father and uncle? Are you old enough to have actually been around while they were still around?
 
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#38,698
#38,698
USF grad in TN said:
I wonder how many of those RFK voters are protest votes vs true believers. If I thought he was the best possible option, getting him in Trump's cabinet to influence policy would be a strong motivator.
Click to expand...

5.7% third party voters in 2016. You might be at 6-6.5% before today. Id suspect most of his support were protest voters...
 
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