At this writing, the game is at 3:00 minutes left in the 4th quarter. How do we sum up this game for our battle with them?
As much as you can tell about the beauty of a woman with long flowing hair and a nice backside if you only see her from that angle. You need more than one point of reference to use game performance as a predictor.
That said, we have other points of reference. I am not the devotee to recruiting rankings that some are. That said, they have some value in giving a relative comparison of the talent of two teams. According to the 247 roster composite, WVU has the 43rd most talented team while Pitt is 45th. That game played out about how 247 would have predicted.
UT is 19th. UT should have a talent advantage and an objective look at the two teams... would tend to confirm that in terms of size, speed, athleticism, etc.
The
unknowns may weight heavier than the knowns... but based on the knowns....
Pitt
Pitt did surprise me. They couldn't run. Hammond looked good at times but the rest avg'd less than 3 ypc. Slovis and their passing O was more effective than I thought they would be. They had no offensive balance. Their 38 rushing attempts yielded 76 yds while their 24 passing attempts yielded 308 yds. I thought they would be one dimensional... the other way. Their OL was thought to be a pretty big plus coming in. They gave up 5 sacks and couldn't get push/lanes vs WVU's small 3-3-5 (their front 3 avg's 283 lbs).
They were a HUGE surprise on the other side of the ball. Their defensive front was supposed to be the strength of their team. They flat out couldn't stop the run when WVU committed to it. They were a top sack team last year but only managed 3 against WVU in spite of Daniel's relative lack of mobility. They were better but not
amazing vs the pass when you consider WVU's relative lack of talent at WR. WVU has one "dude"... and he made the play that lost the game for them. Pitt's secondary is vulnerable. They scheme well... I just don't think they're very talented.
UT
UT obviously played a lesser opponent. Still, UT had offensive balance before they began to start trying to shorten the game. In the end, UT had 24 passing attempts for 351 yds and 51 rushing attempts for 218 yds. I don't know how much UT held back on O other than going heavy run after getting a big lead... and even before. Pretty obviously they didn't let Hooker run much to avoid injury. UT ran effectively even after Ball State began to load up against it. So as much as you can tell by playing an outclassed opponent... UT's O is going to be very, very good. They OL was pretty effective in spite of BSU putting extra help in the box for much of the game.
UT's pass pro looked much improved. Yeah it was Ball State but I believe Neu felt pretty good about his DL going in. IIRC, the OL struggled in pass pro last year vs BGSU. To me, UT seemed to be "working on some things" in the pass game. They didn't take the top off though you have to believe they could have at any time. UT definitely has more WR's that can help. IMO, they have to draw it down to 5-6 to get ready for each game. They played almost everyone it seemed.
On D... they played hard. The guys look to have skills and talent- development. I may be in the minority but I am increasingly convinced that it isn't a matter of talent and skill but rather scheme/playcalling. Maybe they were holding back or working on fundamentals or making sure they played lots of guys? But they have to be more aggressive or else it will be worse than last year.
UT's edge rushers got off well a few times. But the CB's consistently gave up hitches, quick outs, and slants because they were playing 10 yards off. How can you expect to ever get to the QB when the opponent can pick up 5-8 yds on an "automatic" short pass? IMO, the Vols left 4 or 5 sacks minimum on the field because they didn't play tight and jam the WR's off the line. Again IMO... #4 is a liability. I was hopeful he could get better and don't know what it is but he just gets beat over and over. I think BSU's QB was even focused on throwing his way when he got pressured. Whatever the deal is with Turnage... they need him. He got in late. He plays noticeably more physical than the others.
Other than a handful of runs, the D did what it should have done vs the run. Two INT's is good. But the passive, bend don't break feel of the scheme is troubling.
This game
Bottom line: Based on those two games and other tidbits... UT is much more talented and better than WVU on O. The fact that Pitt couldn't stop WVU's run game is encouraging. Plus Pitt still can't cover good WR's. UT's improved OL play plus Pitt's lack luster performance vs WVU is also encouraging. UT may have 5 guys or more as good or better than Ford-Wheaton. JT Daniel isn't a runner. So when you combine Hooker/Milton with Small and company... it looks like a big plus for UT in the run game or when the pocket breaks down. The question remains on D.
I think UT will open up more. Based on WVU, UT should be able to take advantage of Pitt's aggressive front and break off some big runs. UT will score points. UT's WR's should have no trouble getting open short or deep. If the pass pro holds up... they'll score LOTS of points.
Pitt's inability to run the ball is encouraging. Their passing success is not. UT has to tighten up. They have to play physical off the line. Then they have to use that to get pressure on Slovis. Fortunately, he's not a big run threat. If UT plays aggressive, pressure D then Pitt will score but will be limited. UT will shorten Pitt drives and get the ball back to the O. If they continue to give 10 yd cushions then they'll be on the field all day plus give up a lot of points. Again, I don't think this is a player problem outside of a guy or two. I think it is scheme and playcalling... which can change as part of this week's game plan.