‘23 VA ATH Cameron Seldon (Tennessee Commit)

Portfolio, long-term thinking. I like it.

Thank you Spyre. Keep ignoring the ignorants.
Exactly. Stack the roster with good talent right now. Then in a year or two when you have the depth go all in for the big fish you need to take the next step. Rome wasn't built in a day and neither is a CFB roster.
 
EVALUATED 07/06/2022
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Brian DohnNATIONAL RECRUITING ANALYST
PROJECTION
2-3 RoundDAY 2


Strong build with size to be receiver or linebacker. Size is not verified through measurements but in-person evaluation meshes with listed 6-foot-2, 220 pounds. Has strength throughout frame. Has multi-sport profile as basketball player and Class 1A state champ in 100 meters. Holds school record of 10.74 seconds. Dominant high school player at small school on Virginia's northern neck. Explosive in open field with high-level speed to finish plays in open field. Takes snaps at running back, quarterback and receiver on offense. Smooth athlete with ability to churn out YAC. Good ball skills. Gets off line of scrimmage well and quickly gets into route. Comfortable playing in traffic. Has speed to get behind defensive. Demonstrates ability to close on ball in the air. Willing to be physical at the top of routes and in challenging for 50-50 balls.

Change of direction, burst and short-area quickness show best when playing edge or blitzing as linebacker. Impacts game in each phase. Step up in competition will be enormous after playing at smallest classification in Virginia. Has to continue to develop ball-tracking skills and show he can elevate and high-point balls in close quarters. Has limited varsity experience because of covid-related issues with school's schedule. Played four games as a sophomore and five games as a junior. Elite level prospect with build to play early in college at Top 15 program. Potential to be early-round NFL draft selection.
 
Honest to goodness not trying to throw a wet blanket on your post... but the average points is the most relevant thing right now.
To a degree, though statistical means can sway things in funny ways too. As can very small/very large classes. But yeah, in some general way, averages/quality matter a ton.

Ofc all of this is baked into the formulas in one way or another (though tending to the top end players over the mean). It's also been shown (Bill C's work) looking at the 10 best players in each class is a better predictor than the 25.

Regardless we're over a 90 average, which would be a top 10 class last year with a full class, which we'll no doubt have. I've always seen a 90+ average as a nice metric for teams that really want to compete. We are right there, on top of an elite O scheme and coach. It will be plenty good as long as the defense gets its share of talent (another bit of Bill C's work is that recruiting stars matter more on D than O. Not exactly shocking, but interesting to see proven out. About an 8% swing. I imagine even more in our style scheme).
 
Exactly. Stack the roster with good talent right now. Then in a year or two when you have the depth go all in for the big fish you need to take the next step. Rome wasn't built in a day and neither is a CFB roster.

Good post. This the way to get it done the right way.
 

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