War in Ukraine

[FLVOL_79]

Interesting. I thought she was demonstrating how large Pootins b-hole was going to be after Ukraine and NATO got done with him.

Same difference

 

[USF grad in TN]

Institute for the Study of War
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3
Click here to read the full report.

Kateryna Stepanenko, Karolina Hird, George Barros, and Frederick W. Kagan​

May 3, 6:45 pm ET​

Ukrainian officials reported with increasing confidence that the Kremlin will announce mobilization on May 9. Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate Chief Kyrylo Budanov said on May 2 that the Kremlin has begun to prepare mobilization processes and personnel ahead of the expected May 9 announcement and has already carried out covert mobilization.[1] Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council said that high-ranking Russian officials are trying to legitimize a prolonged war effort as the Third World War against the West, rather than the "special military operation” against Ukraine, as Russian President Vladimir Putin has hitherto framed Russia’s invasion.[2] ISW has no independent confirmation of Russian preparations for mobilization.

A significant Ukrainian counteroffensive pushed Russian forces roughly 40 km east of Kharkiv City.[3] A senior American defense official reported the Ukrainian operation, which is consistent with social media reports from both Ukrainian and Russian sources that Ukrainian troops took control of Staryi Saltiv on May 2.[4] This Ukrainian counteroffensive is very unlikely to affect Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Izyum, as the Russians have not been relying on GLOCs from Kharkiv to support their operations in Izyum but have been using routes further to the east and well beyond the most recent Ukrainian counteroffensive’s limit of advance. The Ukrainian counteroffensive may, however, unhinge the Russian positions northeast of Kharkiv and could set conditions for a broader operation to drive the Russians from most of their positions around the city. This possibility may pose a dilemma for the Russians—whether to reinforce their positions near Kharkiv to prevent such a broader Ukrainian operation or to risk losing most or all of their positions in artillery range of the city.

Russia’s long-term intentions regarding the status of Mariupol and other occupied areas seem confused. Some anecdotes from Mariupol indicate that Russia may plan to incorporate Mariupol and the surrounding environs into the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR), and possibly annex the DNR to the Russian Federation. Other anecdotes suggest that Russia could directly absorb Mariupol into Rostov Oblast. These inconsistencies could simply be artifacts of reporting or confusion on the ground, but they could also indicate actual confusion about Russia’s long-term plans for governing the Ukrainian regions that Moscow’s forces currently occupy. These anecdotes clearly support the assessment that Putin has no intention of ceding occupied territories back to an independent Ukraine and is, at most, considering exactly how he intends to govern regions that Russia has illegally seized.

Key Takeaways

• Russian forces resumed air, artillery, and ground assaults on the Azovstal Steel Plant following the conclusion of the May 2 evacuation efforts.
• Russian forces continued to regroup on the Donetsk-Luhansk axis in likely preparation for a westward advance in the direction of Lyman and Slovyansk.
• The Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted a counteroffensive that likely pushed Russian forces up to 40 km east of Kharkiv City.
• Russian forces conducted limited ground offensives in Zaporizhia Oblast in the vicinity of Huliapole and intensified reconnaissance operations in the vicinity of Odesa amid growing tensions in Transnistria.

 

[hog88]

You have to admit, that if the Russian people are buying this tripe - Russian's are the best in the business when it comes to disinformation.

I read an article the other day that said that Pootin isn't looking to gin up support for his war. Instead he's just pumping out nutty stuff infused with plausible explanations, whether or not it's true doesn't matter..... It's all with the goal of creating murkiness and confusion. He want's to appear to be the "leader" that people can turn to and who can sort through the murkiness he intentionally created. The people get tired of trying to make sense of it - so they start believing the guy who has been there for them.

If it works, it's genius. But the system relies on truth being kept from the masses - the plan falls apart if the Russian people get wind of it and wise up.

Sounds eerily similar to what goes on here.

 

[Burhead]

The EU is preparing to increase military aid to Moldova. Meanwhile Belarus has launched a surprise military readiness checks on its armed forces.

 

[IluvdoubleD's]

Finlands PM is easy on the eyes.

Keep my Woman's name out yo mouth.

Durham schoolboy who wrote to Ukraine president gets reply

 

[Rickyvol77]

Pro Jew nazis

“U AreNt tHeRe. GO YoURseLF aN rEpORt” - donjo

 

[FLVOL_79]

Pro Jew nazis

Pro Jew Nazis and Gay Nazis. What a world we live in! Hitler would roll over in secret mountain side grave.

 

[Paper_Towel]

Uh ooohhhhhhhhh

 

[MontyPython]

There it is.

In the event that Ukraine boots Russia completely out of its original territory, there is a 0.0% chance that Putin would remain in power. This begs the question whether this is something the US would like to see happen politically, because if Putin reads the tea leaves of such a huge loss, would he resort to tactical nukes? I think it's a real possibility, as Putin would likely take a dirt nap with a straight-on loss to Ukraine.

 

[AM64]

Free speech

Unrelated, but just a thought. Is burning a rainbow flag or another of the left's new icons free speech like burning the US flag, or is it a hate crime?

 

[MontyPython]

I'm not convinced that Marjorie Green is a woman.

100% correct.

Marjorie Greene is Lee Corso's evil twin brother.

 

[MontyPython]

@volgr This Bud's for you!

A Super-Short Guide to Why Ukraine is Kicking Russia’s Ass in Putin’s Ukraine War
April 30, 2022 Brian E. Frydenborg
A quick-and-dirty brief on why Zelensky’s Ukraine is winning so handily and Putin’s Russia losing so badly on the battlefield

SILVER SPRING—Below is a breakdown of some of the major aspects of why Ukrainian military forces are performing so much better on the battlefield than Russian military forces.

The Ukrainian Military’s Clear Advantages Over the Russian Military
Versus their Russian foes, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are in a much better overall position and of a much higher quality even though Russia has more and heavier weapons platforms such as tanks, artillery, planes, helicopters, and naval ships (I have explained away that last one already).

Ukraine actually has more troops. Far more. There is no shortage of Ukrainians willing to fight for Ukraine; at some points, there have been more volunteers than Ukraine has been able to accommodate, and large numbers of Ukrainians living abroad have been returning home to fight. So Russia is trying to carry out an offensive against what is actually a numerically superior force. Not a good strategy at all.

Ukraine’s individual troops are by far better equipped and supplied. They often have weapons that can easily knock out any Russian vehicles (and even, sometimes, Russian aircraft), more body armor, more night-vision goggles. No wonder the Russians are constantly getting beat when they engage in firefights.

Ukrainian forces have far higher morale. I have discussed how insanely poorly led, ill-equipped, ill-supplied, ill-trained, and ill-informed Russian soldiers in this war generally are. They are losing or stagnating everywhere they are fighting. And many of them have died, many more seeing their comrades die. Instead of “leaving no man behind,” the Russians frequently abandon their dead and wounded, so disorderly are many of their retreats. In contrast, it seems Ukraine has suffered far fewer losses, but while the Russians have died for just about nothing, Ukrainians are sacrificing for a very successful effort thus far. Their morale is high and they are passionately willing to freely defend their homes and families and fellow Ukrainians, which cannot be said to be the same for the Russians.

Ukrainians are fighting on home turf. Often, units in a particular area are from that area. They often know the terrain intimately, whereas the Russians do not. The advantages that play out on the battlefield from this are numerous, resulting in better intelligence and fewer losses for Ukrainians, more losses for Russians, more efficient operations for Ukrainians, slower operations for Russians.

Ukraine’s logistics and far better and far simpler. Unlike Russia, which has terrible logistics and needs to resupply or reinforce from Russia or the parts of Ukraine it occupied before February 24, Ukrainians are fighting often where they can easily bring in fresh supplies, new equipment and weapons coming in from the West, and their own reinforcements and new recruits. As they are often supplying themselves with interior lines, their supplies and troops need to traverse far smaller distances than Russian supplies and troops. In part as a result of that, those Russian supplies and troops are exposed to Ukrainian units that know their own home turf, resulting in those Russian supplies and convoys often being destroyed or ambushed before they can reach their final destination. And the next point greatly enhances this point…

Ukraine has a lot of help coming in, increasing help, from the rest of the world (Russia does not). Recently, this has included MiG aircraft parts that are significantly increasing the number of planes Ukraine can get into the sky. But it is also increasingly including heavy weapons like tanks (better than what the Russians have) and artillery (also better than what the Russians have), so much so that U.S. defense officials at the Pentagon now estimate Ukrainians actually have more operable tanks in Ukraine than the Russians, and these newest heavy weapons are already having an impact.

 

[allvol123]

Man that is going to get a response, if Volgr can put down the vodka bottle.

 

[TVOLS]

In the event that Ukraine boots Russia completely out of its original territory, there is a 0.0% chance that Putin would remain in power. This begs the question whether this is something the US would like to see happen politically, because if Putin reads the tea leaves of such a huge loss, would he resort to tactical nukes? I think it's a real possibility, as Putin would likely take a dirt nap with a straight-on loss to Ukraine.

I wish I could find the video of Biden a few weeks ago, but he said something to affect that Putin wasn't going to get anymore of Ukraine. I took it as the losses that have already happen is acceptable. Nothing like what Zelensky said posted today. I've looked for video and can't find it, seen it on Neil Cavuto.

 

[Hoosier_Vol]

 

[Hunerwadel]

Unrelated, but just a thought. Is burning a rainbow flag or another of the left's new icons free speech like burning the US flag, or is it a hate crime?

Burning either one is pretty much just a waste of matches.

 

[DonjoVol]

Huh?

You're a VP. You're smart and you know how to multi task. Having conversations about multiple topics should be no problem.

 

[DonjoVol]

100% correct.

Marjorie Greene is Lee Corso's evil twin brother.

View attachment 452783

View attachment 452784

They look nothing alike

 

[DonjoVol]

“U AreNt tHeRe. GO YoURseLF aN rEpORt” - donjo

You should

 

[Rickyvol77]

You're a VP. You're smart and you know how to multi task. Having conversations about multiple topics should be no problem.

I can but what you said had no context to the conversation.

 

[DonjoVol]

I can but what you said had no context to the conversation.

Sure it does

 

[USF grad in TN]

I wish I could find the video of Biden a few weeks ago, but he said something to affect that Putin wasn't going to get anymore of Ukraine. I took it as the losses that have already happen is acceptable. Nothing like what Zelensky said posted today. I've looked for video and can't find it, seen it on Neil Cavuto.

An alternate meaning might be that he has Crimea but can't have any more. I didn't see it but it would be interesting to know what he meant.

 

[Hunerwadel]

@volgr This Bud's for you!

A Super-Short Guide to Why Ukraine is Kicking Russia’s Ass in Putin’s Ukraine War
April 30, 2022 Brian E. Frydenborg
A quick-and-dirty brief on why Zelensky’s Ukraine is winning so handily and Putin’s Russia losing so badly on the battlefield

SILVER SPRING—Below is a breakdown of some of the major aspects of why Ukrainian military forces are performing so much better on the battlefield than Russian military forces.

The Ukrainian Military’s Clear Advantages Over the Russian Military
Versus their Russian foes, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are in a much better overall position and of a much higher quality even though Russia has more and heavier weapons platforms such as tanks, artillery, planes, helicopters, and naval ships (I have explained away that last one already).

Ukraine actually has more troops. Far more. There is no shortage of Ukrainians willing to fight for Ukraine; at some points, there have been more volunteers than Ukraine has been able to accommodate, and large numbers of Ukrainians living abroad have been returning home to fight. So Russia is trying to carry out an offensive against what is actually a numerically superior force. Not a good strategy at all.

Ukraine’s individual troops are by far better equipped and supplied. They often have weapons that can easily knock out any Russian vehicles (and even, sometimes, Russian aircraft), more body armor, more night-vision goggles. No wonder the Russians are constantly getting beat when they engage in firefights.

Ukrainian forces have far higher morale. I have discussed how insanely poorly led, ill-equipped, ill-supplied, ill-trained, and ill-informed Russian soldiers in this war generally are. They are losing or stagnating everywhere they are fighting. And many of them have died, many more seeing their comrades die. Instead of “leaving no man behind,” the Russians frequently abandon their dead and wounded, so disorderly are many of their retreats. In contrast, it seems Ukraine has suffered far fewer losses, but while the Russians have died for just about nothing, Ukrainians are sacrificing for a very successful effort thus far. Their morale is high and they are passionately willing to freely defend their homes and families and fellow Ukrainians, which cannot be said to be the same for the Russians.

Ukrainians are fighting on home turf. Often, units in a particular area are from that area. They often know the terrain intimately, whereas the Russians do not. The advantages that play out on the battlefield from this are numerous, resulting in better intelligence and fewer losses for Ukrainians, more losses for Russians, more efficient operations for Ukrainians, slower operations for Russians.

Ukraine’s logistics and far better and far simpler. Unlike Russia, which has terrible logistics and needs to resupply or reinforce from Russia or the parts of Ukraine it occupied before February 24, Ukrainians are fighting often where they can easily bring in fresh supplies, new equipment and weapons coming in from the West, and their own reinforcements and new recruits. As they are often supplying themselves with interior lines, their supplies and troops need to traverse far smaller distances than Russian supplies and troops. In part as a result of that, those Russian supplies and troops are exposed to Ukrainian units that know their own home turf, resulting in those Russian supplies and convoys often being destroyed or ambushed before they can reach their final destination. And the next point greatly enhances this point…

Ukraine has a lot of help coming in, increasing help, from the rest of the world (Russia does not). Recently, this has included MiG aircraft parts that are significantly increasing the number of planes Ukraine can get into the sky. But it is also increasingly including heavy weapons like tanks (better than what the Russians have) and artillery (also better than what the Russians have), so much so that U.S. defense officials at the Pentagon now estimate Ukrainians actually have more operable tankss in Ukraine than the Russians, and these newest heavy weapons are already having an impact.

volgr just read this post:

 

[DonjoVol]

An alternate meaning might be that he has Crimea but can't have any more. I didn't see it but it would be interesting to know what he meant.

Crimea is majority ethnic Russian. So according to the ministry of truth here and their followers it belongs to Russia right?

 

[Paper_Towel]

I'm sure people were saying the same thing in 1939