The Atlanta Braves

#146,429
#146,429
mr.checkerboards said:
So, anyone want to tell me how to not suck at betting? I've quit doing parlays and gone to straight bets. I'm now basically just doing over unders and spreads on lines I can get at -110. Do most of yall just tail people or how do you find the info to decide how to bet?
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I wouldn't follow anybody's picks. Two bits of advice I have - doesn't mean you'll win (obviously) but I find that it is just more fun this way:

- Rely on your own intuition to find lines or odds that appear mispriced to you. In other words, don't place bets based on your prediction of the outcome of the game. Place a bet when, for example, a team is a 3 point favorite but that seems low to you (i.e., you think they should be giving more than 3). Bet underdogs when it seems like they are getting too many points. For example, I'm not betting Alabama moneyline tonight necessarily because I think they'll win, but because I don't think they should be the underdog and the line "feels" mispriced to me. If Alabama was the favorite, I still think Alabama would win the game, but I wouldn't bet them on the moneyline.

- Perhaps it was pure chance, but I noticed this season, particularly in CFB, that when I liked the underdog ATS oftentimes they ended up winning the game outright. So as the season went on I ended up betting a lot of underdogs to win straight up and won some money that way. The cool thing about those bets is that you don't need to win over 50% of them to make money because you're getting odds like +180, +200, etc. on the moneyline.

Also, never bet parlays. Books love dudes that love parlays.
 
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#146,431
#146,431
05_never_again said:
I wouldn't follow anybody's picks. Two bits of advice I have - doesn't mean you'll win (obviously) but I find that it is just more fun this way:

- Rely on your own intuition to find lines or odds that appear mispriced to you. In other words, don't place bets based on your prediction of the outcome of the game. Place a bet when, for example, a team is a 3 point favorite but that seems low to you (i.e., you think they should be giving more than 3). Bet underdogs when it seems like they are getting too many points. For example, I'm not betting Alabama moneyline tonight necessarily because I think they'll win, but because I don't think they should be the underdog and the line "feels" mispriced to me. If Alabama was the favorite, I still think Alabama would win the game, but I wouldn't bet them on the moneyline.

- Perhaps it was pure chance, but I noticed this season, particularly in CFB, that when I liked the underdog ATS oftentimes they ended up winning the game outright. So as the season went on I ended up betting a lot of underdogs to win straight up and won some money that way. The cool thing about those bets is that you don't need to win over 50% of them to make money because you're getting odds like +180, +200, etc. on the moneyline.

Also, never bet parlays. Books love dudes that love parlays.
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Thnx. Will look into this, I tried chasing dogs before at one point but wasn't having any luck hitting anything.
 
#146,432
#146,432
mr.checkerboards said:
Thnx. Will look into this, I tried chasing dogs before at one point but wasn't having any luck hitting anything.
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There’s no one size fits all approach to it. I’ve been doing this for 10 years. Some years are better than others but discipline is the main thing.

Got some stuff going on today but during the game tonight I’ll type out some of what I’m looking for/looking at.
 
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#146,433
#146,433
mr.checkerboards said:
Thnx. Will look into this, I tried chasing dogs before at one point but wasn't having any luck hitting anything.
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If you are going to bet them ML, make a smaller bet and give it time - obviously underdogs are not going to win games with regularity but you don't have to hit a high % of these kinds of bets for it to be profitable.

I had a lot of luck with it this CFB season...which means it'll probably revert next year.
 
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#146,434
#146,434
TBrown said:
There’s no one size fits all approach to it. I’ve been doing this for 10 years. Some years are better than others but discipline is the main thing.

Got some stuff going on today but during the game tonight I’ll type out some of what I’m looking for/looking at.
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Thnx. I'll see it in the morning if it's super late. 9pm is about the latest I can stay up having to get up as early as I do.
 
#146,435
#146,435
What really kinda killed me though was the MCB. I was getting lines I loved on the Vols in game and kept betting them. I basically wiped out my whole account with that loss. Since then it's like I'm off on everything.
 
#146,437
#146,437
BigOrange15 said:
MCB got me too, I thought for sure we were going to push Purdue's ****.
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I'm not kidding. At one point I think I counted 8 in game bets I had made.
I was chasing jt because I had some ok luck on in game bets in the past. I hit one Sea vs Ten. And one Titans vs Dolphins. The wins weren't huge though so they didn't last very long.
I asked though because I really don't have a system to when or what I bet it's usually just whatever I feel like. I was wondering of there were certain stats people go by.
 
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