FLVOL_79
GS-16 Classified
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- Feb 12, 2011
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Lol. No.You can harken back to 2016 all you want to... the electoral college map didn't look like this 4 years ago. Joe Biden has a much larger safety net than Hillary Clinton did. Just like Hillary, Biden needs to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and New Hampshire.... BUT, he has many more states in play than Hillary Clinton did. Biden is also showing slight leads in Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, Georgia and Iowa. Biden's path to 270 electoral college votes has many more scenarios than Hillary Clinton had 4 years ago. I don't see how anyone can credibly argue otherwise.
There is a strong possibility you will be calling her Madam President in the next four years. Just remember that. LOL.
That was showing a whopping 11% of the vote among third party candidates which you had to know was overblown. In reality, almost all of those voters ended up going with Trump. You don't have a strong 3rd party presence this time around to mask support for Trump.
Well you might have that if they included 3rd party candidates in 2020 polls. The Dems and gop decided that wasn't going to be done any longerThat was showing a whopping 11% of the vote among third party candidates which you had to know was overblown. In reality, almost all of those voters ended up going with Trump. You don't have a strong 3rd party presence this time around to mask support for Trump.
No, I think the bigger problem with the polling in 2016 was using “likely voters”That was showing a whopping 11% of the vote among third party candidates which you had to know was overblown. In reality, almost all of those voters ended up going with Trump. You don't have a strong 3rd party presence this time around to mask support for Trump.
So you think that 11% has changed their vote from Trump to Biden? Why?
That was showing a whopping 11% of the vote among third party candidates which you had to know was overblown. In reality, almost all of those voters ended up going with Trump. You don't have a strong 3rd party presence this time around to mask support for Trump.
Let them keep thinking that. You expect them to be optimistic and have hope.
To this point Biden had a lot going in his favor but that is fading. Also, I think Trump will continue gaining with minority voters. Remember in February Biden was a long shot with a good economy. Can no message win an election? I think they have no choice but to try this route.