Recruiting Forum Football Talk II

Status
Not open for further replies.
#167,906
#167,906
Frankwillie87 said:
We are actually over 50% right now with 48/85 players being blue-chips. The issue is that in the past all of the outside analysis on the BCR didn't include transfers for multiple reasons (prospects being overrated initially, transfers generally having less time to acclimate to the schemes, amount of time it would take to include transfers, etc).

So really there isn't enough concrete analysis on teams that have achieved a BCR higher than 50% due to transfers. You are right that we will meet the conditions to crest the BCR threshold after the 2017 class falls off for recruiting classes, (assuming that people from the 2017 class don't remain on the roster in this year of free eligibility), but if someone were to be the first below the BCR threshold to win a NC it's much more likely for it to be a team that clears the BCR threshold "unofficially" by taking in highly-rated transfers.

As it pertains to our team, our BCR doesn't include Cade Mays, Deangelo Gibbs, Brandon Kennedy, Aubrey Solomon, and likely doesn't include J.J. Peterson and Bryce Thompson ( the last two were such late additions they weren't initially added to the classes on NSD if I recall correctly).
Click to expand...
While I get all that, it isn't "BCR". The author has admitted there could be a better/more complicated system, but BCR is just meant to be a quick and dirty, yet reliable, metric. It only goes off the last 4 recruiting classes (composite), no attrition. It won't matter if the 2017 guys stay or not, BCR is blind to all that.

But if it was turned into a wider metric, I'd guess the percentage would just go up of course anyway. As it stands, we are just 1 class away though.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Frankwillie87
#167,909
#167,909
The thing about Navy (most of whom are upperclassmen) Is that the “not practicing tackling and blocking” excuse should have worked for about a quarter. Most of these guys have played college football before and know how to tackle/block, they didn’t just invent tackling/blocking in the off-season.

They just got whooped....badly!!!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Rocky_Top_Vol13, VolsDoc81TX, OptimusPrimerib and 8 others
#167,910
#167,910
Devo182 said:
What percentages are you giving us in those games? By my odds, there's a 50% chance we don't win more than 1 of the 5.

Aub 40%
TAMU 40%
UF 30%
UGA 25%
Bama 15%
Click to expand...

We're not better than any of these teams if JG plays like "starter JG"... we're just not.. realistically, hope to win 1 of 3 against the west and split UGA and UF.. Be competitive against the others and take care of business against the teams we should beat. That'll give us 7-3 and we should be celebrating in the streets with 7 wins this year. Fast forward to 2021 and we need to win 3 out of those 5.

Since I've been a serious fan, the most we have won is 9 games.. I'd kill to have a team that wins 9-11 games consistently every year and end up in the title conversation every four years or so. I think we're trending that way, but we're not there yet. Baby steps..
 
  • Like
Reactions: ngavolgirl, turnuptheVOLtage, JacketVol and 3 others
#167,912
#167,912
Devo182 said:
Given Tua was out most of our game, they are arguably going to be better. TAMU is expecting their best team in a while.
Click to expand...
Mac Jones is expected to be Alabama's QB this year (same guy that came in after Tua went down). They'll still be Alabama but it will be hard to replicate the production right away of Jeudy and Ruggs.
 
  • Like
Reactions: JacketVol and Ned Ray McWorkher
#167,921
#167,921
scvolfan7 said:
I’m literally just talking about what was discussed on the VQ podcast today. I’m not trying to push anything
Click to expand...
dee.jpg
 
  • Like
Reactions: Brillovol, Rocky_Top_Vol13, bigorange and 12 others
New posts
Status
Not open for further replies.
Advertisement





Back
Top