2020 Presidential Race

#46,527
#46,527
Matt2496 said:
I don't understand this strategy. The polls are swinging massively in your favor; the election is virtually neck and neck. Therefore, let's fire up Twitter and Tweet something stupid?

Really puzzling to me.
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Which polls are those?

Trump has definitely made gains in Ohio. To an extent that it's probably a "safe red" now. But in every other battleground state, Biden has a lead.

Morning Consult Polling Data - August 21st to August 30th

Arizona
Joe Biden (D) ........... 52%
Donald Trump (R ... 42%

Colorado
Joe Biden (D) ............ 51%
Donald Trump (R) ... 41%

Georgia
Joe Biden (D) ........... 49%
Donald Trump (R) .. 46%

Florida
Joe Biden (D) ............ 49%
Donald Trump (R) ... 47%

Michigan
Joe Biden (D) ............. 52%
Donald Trump (R) .... 42%

Minnesota
Joe Biden (D) .............. 50%
Donald Trump (R) ..... 43%

North Carolina
Joe Biden (D) ............. 49%
Donald Trump (R) .... 47%

Ohio
Joe Biden (D) .............. 45%
Donald Trump (R) .... 50%

Pennsylvania
Joe Biden (D) ............... 49%
Donald Trump (R) ...... 47%

Wisconsin
Joe Biden (D) ................ 52%
Donald Trump (R) ....... 43%
 
#46,528
#46,528

...
1. Betting Odds
Gamblers are giving Biden the edge over Trump: 50.7% to 48.3%. But a look at the trend line shows a large decline for Biden and a comeback for Trump from just 30 days ago. On Aug. 1, the odds were 61% for Biden and 36.4% for Trump.

2. Top Battleground States
With the exception of North Carolina, which is a virtual tie, the RealClearPolitics average shows Biden ahead in every other key battleground state. When averaged together, Biden is up over Trump 48% to 45.3% in six states: Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona.
The concern for the Biden camp comes with a comparison to 2016. Although Trump is on the losing end right now, his position is actually slightly ahead of where he was in the battleground states in 2016. Explained another way: Hillary Clinton was beating Trump more in the battleground states in 2016 than Joe Biden is now — and we know Trump actually won in 2016. So does the current trend imply an even larger Trump win?

3. Total Approval
Judging by the news coverage and social media, it would be easy to conclude that Trump is one of the most unpopular presidents of all time. However, Rasmussen Reports, the only polling organization that publishes Trump's job approval ratings on a daily basis, finds the 45th president is not nearly as unpopular as it may seem. His total approval among likely voters frequently bests that of President Obama at the same point in his presidency. All of the high marks since April 2018 have been set by Trump (compared to Obama). On Sept. 24, 2019 Trump's total approval hit 53% compared to Obama's 44% on Sept. 24, 2011.

4. Favorability Ratings
For the past year, Biden has, without exception, bested Trump in favorability ratings. Right now, Biden is significantly ahead of Trump, by 13.2 points. The concern for the Biden team comes with a comparison to 2016, when Hillary Clinton was, likewise, ahead of Trump every single day — but often by a bigger margin. And Trump won, in the end. RealClearPolitics tracking shows Trump has spent most of the past year in a better position than he was in 2016 (signified by red in the graph).
..
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#46,529
#46,529
volbeast33 said:
I’m a 76er fan so I agree that the NBA sucks lol
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uJgkM3.gif

The process will continue. LOL. Look forward to the next series. One of the best rivalries in sports.

Those early 80s Sixers series were more like Ali-Frazier fights that anything the current NBA would recognize. 81 ECF is maybe the best series in NBA history. 84 Finals was pretty great.

83 was so easy for you guys though. Fo' Fo' Fo'
 
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#46,534
#46,534
Joe Biden's speech the other day was in front of a whopping 6 people that caused a standing room only event.
LOL ............ that's so pathetic at an attempt for pitching a run for POTUS. The dude is a moron & will not take questions. He just grabs his little folder and walks off to the door like the moron empty suit that he is.

EgytdMdWAAARSRC.jpg
 
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#46,538
#46,538
BowlBrother85 said:
Just ask yourself one question: Why does the Trump campaign want Kanye West on the ballot in battleground states, if they are so confident that Trump is appealing to the black vote?
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I don't think you can apply logic to these ongoing contradictions. We have a POTUS running as if he is an outsider simply because he has abdicated all his duties except for trash tweeting and golf.

2022 will give us split government anyway even if Biden wins. It won't mean anything more than 2018 did for either party. Many Americans simply don't trust either side, so they will always vote to check the power in the White House. It is clear that the party out of the White House gets more of their agenda forward once the voters handcuff the party in power.

They are likely building a narrative that Trump is certain to win no matter what the polls say. The polls do only give Biden a slightly better chance than Trump when you consider the EC, which helps their cause. Then, if Trump loses, they will say it was stolen somehow and Biden should not get to appoint any federal bench or Supreme Court nominees.

So Biden better make Mitch McConnell a minority leader if he wants to even have a two-year presidency.
 
#46,539
#46,539
VolnJC said:
If these numbers play out...Trump wins
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What about white women voters? Or how about just women voters in general? That is why Trump will lose... and let's face it, there is no way in hell that Trump will get 19% of the black vote. That is living in dreamland. And I thought polls were always fake news?
 
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#46,542
#46,542
Doubling down on his cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs theory from last night

I'm guessing a death metal band and their groupies were flying somewhere and some Karen got concerned.
 
#46,547
#46,547
Rifleman said:
View attachment 303636

The process will continue. LOL. Look forward to the next series. One of the best rivalries in sports.

Those early 80s Sixers series were more like Ali-Frazier fights that anything the current NBA would recognize. 81 ECF is maybe the best series in NBA history. 84 Finals was pretty great.

83 was so easy for you guys though. Fo' Fo' Fo'
Click to expand...
That’s when I became a fan and will be till the day I die.... I hate the NBA by forcing them to fire Hinkie..... completely ruined the process.
 
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