I don't think we are in total disagreement here, and I am really not wanting to engage in silly squabbles during this crisis.
If you keep making up strawman positions and attributing them to me without any basis in anything I've ever said, I'm sure you can totally make your self feel better, but it won't get you the proof you need for your extreme assertions about 1,000s of cases in January. If you provide that proof, then I will be in total agreement with you.
I change my mind based on contradictory evidence.
Obviously, our day zero is somewhat earlier than our current first confirmed case and our testing was slow to ramp up. That is exactly why I'm trying to look at the daily cases to try and get the actual picture of where we are. If we had great surveillance of the virus from the beginning, then I would just use those numbers as they would already be solid.
On the other hand, if we had thousands of cases in January we would be in a very stark place right now. That is just basic math.