Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#16,351
#16,351
Berry4Heisman14 said:
Has anyone wondered if they’ve had this virus somewhat recently before It blew up?
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I believe I have a mild case. In day 12 of self-quarantine. My symptoms started right after a 3-day period during which both kids came home for spring break- one from Rice and one from Georgetown- and a friend from Savannah came in for cancer treatment and stayed two nights at my workplace where I am now holed up. My symptoms are some dizziness in the morning, a little disorientation, occasional mild sweating, tiring a little quicker, and some sweating at night. But so far no cough, or chest pain, or shortness of breath.
 
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#16,354
#16,354
NurseGoodVol said:
Valid question. Natural immunity is better than acquired immunity in my book. I would prefer to be exposed and let my body take care of defending itself.... Except ebola. Ebola is a no go.
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George Carlin had a bit about swimming around New York and the pollution building their immune systems. That bit seems especially relevant now.
 
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#16,355
#16,355
InVOLuntary said:
They won't shut critical supply chains down. Have a friend that owns a small trucking company. He doesn't do LTL. He does some intercompany stuff for some auto parts manufacturers. Those plants have shut down. Others are needing regular commodities moved and he can shift to those. He aint happy though. The last time the companies shut down was a few months ago during the GM auto strike he was shut down. He more than made up for it when the strike ended. Let's hope that happens again over all of industry.
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Yeah but a lot of those contract carriers are now being forced to take brokered loads which cuts into profits. Luckily, demand is high currently so hopefully the high demand can offset the extra costs of having to pay brokers. The American Trucking Association states freight movement increased 18% this week when compared to just last week with food and perishable demand up 33%.
 
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#16,356
#16,356
Stew Cook said:
I imagine there may have been an isolated case or so, but... I'd say if so, it has been blown way out of proportion. Seems like panic theft was happening across the board.
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Oh I don’t doubt it was blown out of proportion. What hasn’t been recently?
 
#16,357
#16,357
hUTch2002 said:
Yeah but a lot of those contract carriers are now being forced to take brokered loads which cuts into profits. Luckily, demand is high currently so hopefully the high demand can offset the losses of having to pay brokers. The American Trucking Association increased 18% this week when compared to just last week with food and perishable demand up 33%.
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Truckers have to love this. High demand with no traffic. Probably a first.
 
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#16,358
#16,358
RavinDave said:
I believe I have a mild case. In day 12 of self-quarantine. My symptoms started right after a 3-day period during which both kids came home for spring break- one from Rice and one from Georgetown- and a friend from Savannah came in for cancer treatment and stayed two nights at my workplace where I am now holed up. My symptoms are some dizziness in the morning, a little disorientation, occasional mild sweating, tiring a little quicker, and some sweating at night. But so far no cough, or chest pain, or shortness of breath.
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My old grandmother would have said that it sounds like you've got the "creeping epizutum."
 
#16,359
#16,359
Electric Orange said:
So giving them a few more years is more important than building immunity in people who have only experienced a fraction of the time alive that older people already did?
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I believe there is another factor not being considered. The longer the exposure, the more likely your body gets overwhelmed. Just my theory here, but which would you rather have, a small touch and go exposure, or a lengthy continual exposure? I'm thinking the fatality rate increases, as well as the average age of mortality decreases with longer periods of exposure.
 
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#16,361
#16,361
RavinDave said:
I believe I have a mild case. In day 12 of self-quarantine. My symptoms started right after a 3-day period during which both kids came home for spring break- one from Rice and one from Georgetown- and a friend from Savannah came in for cancer treatment and stayed two nights at my workplace where I am now holed up. My symptoms are some dizziness in the morning, a little disorientation, occasional mild sweating, tiring a little quicker, and some sweating at night. But so far no cough, or chest pain, or shortness of breath.
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Sounds serious, drink more.
 
#16,362
#16,362
hUTch2002 said:
Oh I don’t doubt it was blown out of proportion. What hasn’t been recently?
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I vaguely remember it being said but couldn't remember exactly what was said. This was all I found. It was from January 26.

There’s been a shortage in China for days now. A lot of US retailers are out of stock or have limited stock and China seems to be a large US supplier of masks. Saw a blurb saying the US supply is being purchased and sent to family members in China.
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#16,364
#16,364
1972 Grad said:
The market didn't start going down until a month later. Anybody else sell stocks then, or was Burr the only guy in the country?
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Sen. Burr just requested the Senate Ethics Committee to open an investigation into his stock selling. Doesn't sound like something a guilty man would do, but that's just me.
 
#16,368
#16,368
Stew Cook said:
I believe there is another factor not being considered. The longer the exposure, the more likely your body gets overwhelmed. Just my theory here, but which would you rather have, a small touch and go exposure, or a lengthy continual exposure? I'm thinking the fatality rate increases, as well as the average age of mortality decreases with longer periods of exposure.
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I definitely never considered that. Interesting take though. Im not advocating necessarily my questions. They're just questions.

Maybe theres a maximum rate of exposure?
 
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#16,369
#16,369
CoronaPlot.jpg

Here's a Matlab plot I generated of what I'm afraid is going to happen with the current approach we're using in the US. The curve on the left is right now with everyone staying at home as much as possible. However, the one on the right is after the quarantines and closures have been lifted, causing a massive secondary spike in the number of COVID-19 cases over a shorter period of time.

We can't keep everything locked down for too long without sparking not only a recession, but possibly a global depression, so this secondary spike is inevitable IMO.
 
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#16,370
#16,370
On perhaps the scariest note, does it seem like Trump is getting along with Congress now? This could be serious.
 
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#16,371
#16,371
Matt2496 said:
View attachment 267374

Here's a Matlab plot I generated of what I'm afraid is going to happen with the current approach we're using in the US. The curve on the left is right now with everyone staying at home as much as possible. However, the one on the right is after the quarantines and closures have been lifted, causing a massive secondary spike in the number of COVID-19 cases over a shorter period of time.

We can't keep everything locked down for too long without sparking not only a recession, but possibly a global depression, so this secondary spike is inevitable IMO.
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What if a mutation occurs with 2nd spike?
 
#16,373
#16,373
Electric Orange said:
I definitely never considered that. Interesting take though. Im not advocating necessarily my questions. They're just questions.

Maybe theres a maximum rate of exposure?
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Hmm... just guessing that a persons immune system could hold off some, but maybe harder for a lot. Maybe a critical exposure that varies by age and health.
 
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