Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#12,079
#12,079
DinkinFlicka said:
Actually I'm on my way to a meeting trying to make sure my staff is taken care of amidst a very imminent close since those of us paying attention are seeing how rapidly this is escalating. Even if there was no tangible fear of death this whole time, there's still going to be an economic fallout and halt in revenue.

Keep sauntering into bars while you can.
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Also, can you not do a teleconference?
 
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#12,080
#12,080
rjd970 said:
It's still less people than what we are doing now. Plus, underlying health conditions or not, in Italy where it is supposedly a COVID-19 apocalypse, it has killed 6 people of 50 years old total, health condition or not.

Read that again. 6 people under 50 years old in Italy, and hasn't killed a single person under 30.
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Where in my post did I mention death numbers? Merely stating that underlying health conditions as a basis for quarantine along with age would reach a huge number of the population.
 
#12,083
#12,083
DinkinFlicka said:
Actually I'm on my way to a meeting trying to make sure my staff is taken care of amidst a very imminent close since those of us paying attention are seeing how rapidly this is escalating. Even if there was no tangible fear of death this whole time, there's still going to be an economic fallout and halt in revenue.

Keep sauntering into bars while you can.
Click to expand...
And that's very sad, very irresponsible of some to push this panic because some will likely lose their car or homes from this
 
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#12,084
#12,084
Rifleman said:
A quick example to explain why the U.S. reaction isn't panic, but wisdom. The virus unchecked will infect 3 people for every carrier, so let's check our infections against that.

Actual daily new COVID-19 cases in U.S.

3/1 = 7
3/2 = 25
3/3 = 24
3/4 = 34
3/5 = 63
3/6 = 98
3/7 = 116
3/8 = 106
3/9 = 163
3/10 = 290
3/11 = 307
3/12 = 396
3/13 = 550
3/14 = 696
3/15 = 737

Right now we are holding the multiplier just under 1.4, but that isn't good enough. At this rate we'd have over 150,000 new cases on March 31st. From there, things get literally scary and that can't be allowed to happen.

Here is the current trajectory for the next 5 days if you want to see if these measures are working, but keep in mind that more testing coming online may skew this up:

3/16 1030
3/17 1430
3/18 2008
3/19 2800
3/20 3900
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I'm glad you stopped at 5 days because I think the equation started changing last week. With all the restrictions on social interaction, improved sanitation practices, and viral awareness many of the variables won't remain constant so the numbers should flatten.
The one guy in New Rochelle would have been quarantined this week preventing all those cases.
 
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#12,087
#12,087
volbeast33 said:
I appreciate the info and enjoy learning as much info as can..... Dyno keeps claiming that young healthy people have several side effects after recovery.... I have asked for links on some of the stuff he claims but he either doesn’t provide a link or he posts a link that is not related to the topic we were discussing.
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Lung lesions and liver damage have been seen in certain patients, but I'm not sure how often and what the circumstances. Clinical studies with a good number of patients are going to take time to complete by nature. We will see the virology lab papers and animal studies first.
 
#12,088
#12,088
DynaLo said:
Where in my post did I mention death numbers? Merely stating that underlying health conditions as a basis for quarantine along with age would reach a huge number of the population.
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But it won’t reach the full population which is what we are doing now. You could even further decrease it by saying everyone under 40, health condition or not is exempt from quarantine. Most people with asthma and what not would stay home anyway if they are smart.

Not trying to argue....I’m just saying there are better ways to target our response instead of the blanket restrictions being done now.
 
#12,090
#12,090
volfanjustin said:
And that's very sad, very irresponsible of some to push this panic because some will likely lose their car or homes from this
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Trump declared the State of frickin' Emergency! You can say he was forced to by the media or backed into a corner but, hey, guess what? He was impeached and acquitted! His one constant is that he'll do whatever he wants. To wait until now after everything the past 4 years has seen, and give in to a decision that will absolutely fist this economy, you REALLY this isn't legit? Do you honestly think this is no worse than anything that has happened before? All the scientists are wrong? All the professionals are wrong? All the business/franchise/team owners are wrong? Does the media have the ability to turn them all upside down, after being unable to orchestrate the impeachment of the single most unlikable POTUS of all time? Seriously?
 
#12,092
#12,092
Wireless1 said:
I'm glad you stopped at 5 days because I think the equation started changing last week. With all the restrictions on social interaction, improved sanitation practices, and viral awareness many of the variables won't remain constant so the numbers should flatten.
The one guy in New Rochelle would have been quarantined this week preventing all those cases.
Click to expand...

Since the virus has a 2-14 day incubation period and can be transmitted by asymptomatic individuals, it will be hard to predict how long it takes for these measures to show up in the trend line.
 
#12,093
#12,093
DinkinFlicka said:
Trump declared the State of frickin' Emergency! You can say he was forced to by the media or backed into a corner but, hey, guess what? He was impeached and acquitted! His one constant is that he'll do whatever he wants. To wait until now after everything the past 4 years has seen, and give in to a decision that will absolutely fist this economy, you REALLY this isn't legit? Do you honestly think this is no worse than anything that has happened before? All the scientists are wrong? All the professionals are wrong? All the business/franchise/team owners are wrong? Does the media have the ability to turn them all upside down, after being unable to orchestrate the impeachment of the single most unlikable POTUS of all time? Seriously?
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Emo. Shuns.
 
#12,097
#12,097
Up to 4k active cases now which is 0.001% of the population. ..if the numbers were to get up to China levels and reach 80k that would be 0.24% it would take 327k cases to equal 1% and remember 93% of those are mild so if it gets 4 times worse than China we are looking at needing 5,600 beds
 
#12,100
#12,100
VolnJC said:
Up to 4k active cases now which is 0.001% of the population. ..if the numbers were to get up to China levels and reach 80k that would be 0.24% it would take 327k cases to equal 1% and remember 93% of those are mild so if it gets 4 times worse than China we are looking at needing 5,600 beds
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Let me know when we hit 300 thousand like H1N1
 
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