Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

[lawgator1]

Didn't say he doesn't have company.

 

[evillawyer]

Morning Joe coughs at least three times in this clip

 

[Rifleman]

A quick example to explain why the U.S. reaction isn't panic, but wisdom. The virus unchecked will infect 3 people for every carrier, so let's check our infections against that.

Actual daily new COVID-19 cases in U.S.

3/1 = 7
3/2 = 25
3/3 = 24
3/4 = 34
3/5 = 63
3/6 = 98
3/7 = 116
3/8 = 106
3/9 = 163
3/10 = 290
3/11 = 307
3/12 = 396
3/13 = 550
3/14 = 696
3/15 = 737

Right now we are holding the multiplier just under 1.4, but that isn't good enough. At this rate we'd have over 150,000 new cases on March 31st. From there, things get literally scary and that can't be allowed to happen.

Here is the current trajectory for the next 5 days if you want to see if these measures are working, but keep in mind that more testing coming online may skew this up:

3/16 1030
3/17 1430
3/18 2008
3/19 2800
3/20 3900

 

[volfanjustin]

No matter how much you say it, it’s still a lie.

In the US alone there are about 110 car accident fatalities per day, how many people have died in the US from this virus?

 

[OHvol40]

Didn't say he doesn't have company.

Everyone in the capital should wear one of those when in proximity to him from now on.

 

[DinkinFlicka]

In the US alone there are about 110 car accident fatalities per day, how many people have died in the US from this virus?

Do car accidents exponentially grow? Do you understand how basic math works?

 

[UT_VOLS13]

Supreme Court postpones March oral arguments over coronavirus concerns

 

[UT_VOLS13]

Kid Rock's Nashville Bar Refuses to Close Amid Coronavirus Concerns, Calls Mayor's Mandate 'Unconstitutional'

 

[UT_VOLS13]

Business asks government to act to avert 'devastating' hit

 

[Hunerwadel]

Do you always live in such fear as the rest of the lib members here?

I been scared of many things, but I have never lived in fear for myself. I do fear for others though.

 

[TheDeeble]

A quick example to explain why the U.S. reaction isn't panic, but wisdom. The virus unchecked will infect 3 people for every carrier, so let's check our infections against that.

Actual daily new COVID-19 cases in U.S.

3/1 = 7
3/2 = 25
3/3 = 24
3/4 = 34
3/5 = 63
3/6 = 98
3/7 = 116
3/8 = 106
3/9 = 163
3/10 = 290
3/11 = 307
3/12 = 396
3/13 = 550
3/14 = 696
3/15 = 737

Right now we are holding the multiplier just under 1.4, but that isn't good enough. At this rate we'd have over 150,000 new cases on March 31st. From there, things get literally scary and that can't be allowed to happen.

Here is the current trajectory for the next 5 days if you want to see if these measures are working, but keep in mind that more testing coming online may skew this up:

3/16 1030
3/17 1430
3/18 2008
3/19 2800
3/20 3900

That doesn't mean the viral spread is getting worse. It probably is, but all that means is we're testing more and finding new cases. The virus has been out there for 3 months. We already know there are sick people. Possibly a few hundred thousand. The logic may work if you were testing and documenting from the virus' first arrival, but we haven't been testing for and documenting cases since December. The US had only run a few thousand tests up to last week.

 

[Rifleman]

That doesn't mean the viral spread is getting worse. It probably is, but all that means is we're testing more and finding new cases. The virus has been out there for 3 months. We already know there are sick people. Possibly a few hundred thousand. The logic may work if you were testing and documenting from the virus' first arrival, but we haven't been testing for and documenting cases since December.

If the exponential growth is being skewed by a ramp up of testing we will gradually see that when the testing catches up. It may also be far above 1.4 because the testing isn't there to accurately show the spread.

Hopefully, we are below 1.0 right now, but it doesn't look like it, and the math will become clear in the coming days.

 

[508mikey]

Business asks government to act to avert 'devastating' hit

good luck with that -- they are better off going to their local hoodlums than their local politicians

 

[volfanjustin]

Do car accidents exponentially grow? Do you understand how basic math works?

I'm happy to see you have wifi in the bunker.

 

[Hunerwadel]

I'm happy to see you have wifi in the bunker.

I'm happy to see you read DinkinFlicka's post

 

[volfanjustin]

I'm happy to see you read DinkinFlicka's post

I try my best to skip them and usually do but every now and then I engage

 

[VolStrom]

good luck with that -- they are better off going to their local hoodlums than their local politicians

Yeah, all of those companies that used all of their excess cash to buy back stock instead of using it to purchase new equipment or hanging on to it get zero sympathy from me.

 

[volfanjustin]

Kid Rock's Nashville Bar Refuses to Close Amid Coronavirus Concerns, Calls Mayor's Mandate 'Unconstitutional'

and he is spot on, I hate going downtown Nashville but next time I do I will make sure to swing by and have a drink there to show my support

 

[Orange_Crush]

If the exponential growth is being skewed by a ramp up of testing we will gradually see that when the testing catches up. It may also be far above 1.4 because the testing isn't there to accurately show the spread.

Hopefully, we are below 1.0 right now, but it doesn't look like it, and the math will become clear in the coming days.

That sounds a lot different than your previous post.

 

[volbeast33]

From the Journal of Medical Virology on March 13th:



There are definitely areas in the genetic code where the virus commonly mutates. What this means to its affect on the human immune system is not yet known, but this probably explains a few of the false negatives that have happened and why some of the tests are unreliable.

I appreciate the info and enjoy learning as much info as can..... Dyno keeps claiming that young healthy people have several side effects after recovery.... I have asked for links on some of the stuff he claims but he either doesn’t provide a link or he posts a link that is not related to the topic we were discussing.

 

[DinkinFlicka]

I'm happy to see you have wifi in the bunker.

Actually I'm on my way to a meeting trying to make sure my staff is taken care of amidst a very imminent close since those of us paying attention are seeing how rapidly this is escalating. Even if there was no tangible fear of death this whole time, there's still going to be an economic fallout and halt in revenue.

Keep sauntering into bars while you can.

 

[OHvol40]

I appreciate the info and enjoy learning as much info as can..... Dyno keeps claiming that young healthy people have several side effects after recovery.... I have asked for links on some of the stuff he claims but he either doesn’t provide a link or he posts a link that is not related to the topic we were discussing.

Evidence from recovered cases is that it creates fibroids in your lungs. Doesn’t seem to be age dependent either.

 

[DynaLo]

Second source just informed me the mandatory quarantine is coming. Expect it this week and will be a minimum 2 weeks for everyone. You all have be warned.

Likely after the new assistance bill gets signed into law and possibly up to 4 weeks.

 

[VolnJC]

 

[allvol123]

Actually I'm on my way to a meeting trying to make sure my staff is taken care of amidst a very imminent close since those of us paying attention are seeing how rapidly this is escalating. Even if there was no tangible fear of death this whole time, there's still going to be an economic fallout and halt in revenue.

Keep sauntering into bars while you can.

Remember to start the meeting with....."folks the covid 19 began here 3 months ago and we are now at 70 deaths....a couple were even under 50 years old. Brace yourselves."