Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#7,779
#7,779
TheColdVolTruth said:
I think it is also worth consideration that CDC estimates the flu data as well.

How CDC Estimates the Burden of Seasonal Influenza in the U.S. | CDC

Given the fact they are comparing estimated data for coronavirus to estimated data for seasonal influenza, one could argue the comparison is justified given the similarities of the data extrapolation. OTOH one could argue the comparison of one estimate to another estimate lends itself to inaccuracy, but I do think it is worth considering that even the flu data is estimated.

Also, the fact that many undiagnosed cases would drive the morbidity rate down would also, I would think, have an inverse effect on the infectious rate. If many more people have it, it would seem to be less deadly than the WHO's estimate of 3.4%, but it would seem to mean the virus is also more contagious and reach a larger percentage of the population.
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So the WHO’s, wait for it...... “ESTIMATE” is that corona is actually closer to 30x more deadly than Flu.

Interesting.
 
#7,782
#7,782
NorthDallas40 said:
I’d guess most of the sausage making details the CDC generates and shares with healthcare professionals will never see the light of day and I’d guess this case is no different.
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FOIA does apply to CDC, but it shouldn't have to come to that. I'm filing it as hearsay, under the circumstances.
 
#7,787
#7,787
Orange_Crush said:
Oh, now you've progressed to emotional ploys. You're really ticking all the boxes now, aren't you?

Here's the facts:

Mortality rate is a division between [# infected] and [# dead]. If either of those is an unknown variable, you can't calculate. It doesn't take me interpreting numbers to know that, and the smartest authorities in the world can't overcome that unknown--which they've admitted is unknown. The fact of the matter is that populations are largely untested, and the mortality rate projections plummet when testing increases to test the less symptomatic, and asymptomatic.

Korea is probably the most tested population on the planet, and their mortality rate is listed around .6%.

You unthinkingly repeated the claim that this is 10x more deadly than the flu--a claim made by those who freely admit that they don't know enough to know that. And you were called out on it. Having been called out on it, you've floundered by stacking up the fallacies and quadrupling down on the original appeal to authority. And doubling down on the excluded middle with the dumbass grandma comment.

I believe that it will be more deadly than the common flu. I do not believe that it will be nearly 10x more deadly, and that the numbers will bear that out as testing increases.

Now, take your lumps and move on. Stop doing this to yourself.
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The Flu is based on estimates too boy genius
 
#7,792
#7,792
Stew Cook said:
FOIA does apply to CDC, but it shouldn't have to come to that. I'm filing it as heresey, under the circumstances.
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I’d guess it would have to come to exactly that and I’d also guess the CDC isn’t too worried about what we the general public think of their confidential healthcare professional conference calls?
 
#7,793
#7,793
You better find alternative ways to spend some money. Even if you are afraid of this.

Buy some airline gift cards, buy some clothes online. Do something. If not, 2001 and 2008 are going to look like the good times.
 
#7,799
#7,799
VolnJC said:
Something seems off to me..how are the China and Italy cases so serious vs the rest of the world? Affected population age or alternative reporting criteria...different strain? 92% of the serious cases are in those two countries
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They kept playing basketball.
 
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